Match Analysis: Manitoba Moose vs Chicago Wolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Game Overview
The Manitoba Moose host the Chicago Wolves in a Central Division matchup on Saturday, November 22, 2025. Both teams are in the middle of a busy stretch, with the Wolves coming off a recent road trip and the Moose looking to build momentum at home. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams possessing strong offensive units and solid goaltending depth.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Wolves have been one of the AHL's top offensive teams this season, ranking near the top in goals per game. They have a balanced attack and strong special teams, especially on the power play. Manitoba Moose have shown solid defensive structure and have been effective in limiting high-danger chances, but their offense has been inconsistent. Both teams have been trending upward in recent weeks, with the Wolves winning 4 of their last 5 and the Moose winning 3 of their last 5.
- The Wolves and Moose have split their last four meetings, with each team winning twice. The most recent matchup was a 4-3 overtime win for Chicago. The games have been close, with three of the last four decided by one goal.
- Chicago Wolves are missing their top defenseman due to injury, which could impact their ability to control the pace of the game. Manitoba Moose have a key forward listed as day-to-day, but are expected to be at full strength for this game.
- The game is being played in Winnipeg, where the Moose have a strong home record. The Wolves are on the second night of a back-to-back, which could affect their energy and depth. Weather is not a factor as the game is indoors.
- Both teams are in playoff contention and every point matters. The Wolves are looking to solidify their position in the top half of the division, while the Moose are trying to close the gap on the leaders.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Wolves: -117, Manitoba Moose: -124 | Chicago Wolves | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Chicago Wolves: 1.5 -315, Manitoba Moose: -1.5 215 | Manitoba Moose +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 102, Under: 5.5 -137 | Under | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Wolves 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Chicago Wolves at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This game is expected to be close, with both teams having strengths that could be exploited by the other. The Wolves' offensive firepower gives them a slight edge, but the Moose's home ice advantage and defensive structure make them a tough opponent. The game is likely to be decided by special teams or a key play in the third period.
Predicted Score: Manitoba Moose 3, Chicago Wolves 2