Match Analysis: Iowa Wild vs Chicago Wolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Casey’s Center, Des Moines, Iowa
Game Overview
This matchup features the Iowa Wild hosting the Chicago Wolves at Casey’s Center on Thursday, November 6, 2025. Both teams are in the Central Division of the AHL, making this a divisional contest with potential playoff implications. The game is part of Iowa’s second extended home stand, which could provide them with a boost in momentum and crowd support.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa Wild is currently in the midst of a four-game home stand, which may help them build rhythm and confidence. Their recent schedule shows a mix of home and away games, but they have had several home contests in the past week, which could benefit their defensive structure and offensive cohesion. Chicago Wolves, on the other hand, are coming off a road game and are starting a stretch that includes both home and away matchups. Their recent performance has been solid, but they have faced some tough competition.
- Historically, the rivalry between Iowa Wild and Chicago Wolves has been competitive, with both teams trading wins and losses over the past few seasons. Recent head-to-head matchups have seen close games, with several going to overtime or being decided by one goal. The last meeting between these teams was a tight contest, with Iowa edging out Chicago in a high-scoring affair.
- There are no major injury reports for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters appear to be at full strength, which means we can expect the best lineups from both sides.
- The game is being played at Casey’s Center, which is known for its strong home-ice advantage for the Iowa Wild. The crowd support and familiar surroundings could give Iowa an edge. Additionally, the weather in Des Moines is expected to be mild, with no travel disruptions anticipated.
- Both teams are motivated to secure a strong position in the Central Division. Iowa Wild is looking to capitalize on their home stand to build momentum, while Chicago Wolves are aiming to maintain their playoff push. The divisional nature of the game adds extra significance, as every point matters in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Wolves: -155, Iowa Wild: 105 | Iowa Wild | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Chicago Wolves: -1.5 180, Iowa Wild: 1.5 -250 | Iowa Wild +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 -130, Under: 5.5 -105 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iowa Wild 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Iowa Wild at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the current form, home-ice advantage, and recent head-to-head results, Iowa Wild is favored to win this matchup. The home crowd and the team's recent success at Casey’s Center are significant factors. However, Chicago Wolves have shown resilience and could make it a close game. The predicted outcome is a narrow victory for Iowa Wild.
Predicted Score: Iowa Wild 4 – 3 Chicago Wolves