Match Analysis: Iowa Wild vs Charlotte Checkers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Iowa Wild Home Arena
Game Overview
The Iowa Wild and Charlotte Checkers face off in a Central Division AHL matchup. Iowa is hosting after recently splitting games on the road against Charlotte, who swept Iowa in their 2024-25 encounters. Both teams are competing intensely in the early part of the schedule, with Iowa playing a heavy November slate including 13 games this month. Charlotte's strong offensive showing over Iowa last season (16-5 aggregate goals) adds intrigue to this rematch.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte Checkers have demonstrated dominance against Iowa recently, sweeping 4 meetings last season and outscoring them significantly. However, Iowa has a solid home presence and has been consistent in pulling competitive games at their arena, including the upcoming doubleheader with Charlotte. Both teams have scheduled games in quick succession, affecting fatigue and recovery.
- Charlotte leads recent head to head with a 4-0 sweep last season and a combined 16-5 goals over Iowa. Iowa will seek revenge on home ice after losses in their October 17 and 18 away games against Charlotte.
- Current injury reports are not available from provided data, suggesting no significant known absences for either team at this time.
- Iowaβs longer home stand in November and Charlotte's longer road trips may impact performance dynamics. The travel and consecutive game scheduling might affect player stamina and strategy. Weather or arena conditions are typical and neutral factors for the venue.
- Iowa is highly motivated to regain ground on Charlotte after the previous sweep. Charlotte aims to solidify dominance and continue momentum early in the season to improve playoff positioning.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte_Checkers: -200, Iowa_Wild: 150 | Charlotte Checkers to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Charlotte_Checkers_-1.5: 130, Iowa_Wild_+1.5: -170 | Iowa Wild +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over_5.5: -110, Under_5.5: -120 | Under 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte Checkers -18% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent dominance by Charlotte and their favorable moneyline odds, Charlotte is favored to win, but Iowa's home advantage and motivation to rebound suggest a close contest. The game is likely competitive with moderate scoring around the line set.
Predicted Score: Charlotte Checkers 3 – 2 Iowa Wild