Match Analysis: Hershey Bears vs Toronto Marlies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Giant Center
Game Overview
Hershey Bears host Toronto Marlies in a tightly contested AHL matchup. Both teams are evenly matched, with no clear favorite, but recent head-to-head trends and offensive patterns point to a high-scoring affair.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hershey Bears have split their last 10 games (5-5), showing inconsistency but strong offensive output at home. Toronto Marlies have also been inconsistent, but their recent H2H results against Hershey have seen high totals.
- In the last 26 meetings, the home team has won 15 times. The average total goals per game is 5.65. The last meeting ended 3-7 in favor of Toronto, and the last 5 Hershey home games against Toronto have all gone over 5.5 goals.
- No major injuries reported for either team, but secondary players may see increased roles, potentially impacting defensive stability.
- Hersheyβs home arena has historically seen high-scoring games against Toronto, and both teams are likely to push the pace given their recent form and lack of defensive dominance.
- Both teams are mid-table, so motivation is high to gain ground in the standings, but there is no playoff pressure yet, which may lead to more open, aggressive play.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -125, away: -105 | Toronto Marlies | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | home: 210, away: -285 | Toronto Marlies +1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: 100, under: -130 | Over 5.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Marlies 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of finding the net. Hersheyβs home advantage and recent trends favor a close game with multiple goals.
Predicted Score: 4-3