Match Analysis: Grand Rapids Griffins vs Charlotte Checkers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Van Andel Arena, Grand Rapids, Michigan
Game Overview
The Grand Rapids Griffins host the Charlotte Checkers on November 22, 2025, in an AHL regular season game marking the first meetings between these teams since the 2016-17 season. Both teams come into this game with solid competitive histories; Charlotte reached the 2025 Calder Cup Finals last season, while Grand Rapids has a strong home schedule advantage. This will be the second of back-to-back home games against Charlotte for the Griffins, with the last meeting having been on November 21, 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte Checkers have demonstrated strong form coming off a run to the Calder Cup Finals in 2025, and their recent record against western conference teams like Iowa is positive. Grand Rapids Griffins, under third-year head coach Dan Watson, have a solid home schedule and look to capitalize on home-ice advantage with a deep roster and strong defensive play.
- Historically, the Charlotte Checkers hold a slight edge with an overall record of 18-15-2-1 against Grand Rapids during past meetings, but the teams have not faced each other regularly in recent seasons, adding uncertainty to direct matchup predictions.
- No explicit information on injuries was found for either team ahead of this match, suggesting near full-strength lineups.
- Grand Rapids enjoys home-ice advantage at Van Andel Arena with fan support; the game is part of a home back-to-back against Charlotte. Weather or travel-related disruptions seem minimal. The motivation is high on both sides due to the rarity of these matchups this season and the rivalry element after years apart.
- Both teams have competitive incentives: Grand Rapids to defend home ice early in the 2025-26 season and Charlotte to continue momentum after a strong prior season. The Griffins will be seeking to assert dominance in this renewed rivalry, while Checkers aim to demonstrate continued playoff-contender form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte Checkers: -113, Grand Rapids Griffins: -129 | Grand Rapids Griffins win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Charlotte Checkers +1.5: -305, Grand Rapids Griffins -1.5: 210 | Grand Rapids Griffins -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -104, Under 5.5: -130 | Under 5.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Rapids Griffins -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Grand Rapids Griffins are favored to win narrowly, leveraging home advantage and recent schedules. Prediction favors a close game with Grand Rapids edging out Charlotte in potentially low-scoring, defensively tight hockey.
Predicted Score: Grand Rapids Griffins 3 – 2 Charlotte Checkers