Match Analysis: Detroit Red Wings vs Seattle Kraken – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan
Game Overview
The Detroit Red Wings (11-7-1) host the Seattle Kraken (9-4-5) in an NHL Atlantic vs. Pacific division matchup. Detroit has had strong recent form with a 2-1 win over the Rangers, leveraging a high shot volume and recent success in head-to-head contests. Seattle's offense has rebounded, scoring multiple goals in their last two games, entering on a four-game road trip. Both teams have injury concerns impacting key players on offense and in goal.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit is playing well at home with a 6-3-1 record and recently bounced back from an overtime loss with strong offensive pressure. Seattle has struggled for scoring consistency earlier but has found offensive form in the last two games with solid wins over Winnipeg and San Jose.
- Detroit has won the past three meetings against Seattle, giving them a psychological edge and confidence facing the Kraken at home.
- Detroit's goalie Matt Murray is day-to-day with a lower body injury; Jared McCann is out with a lower body injury until at least Nov 22. Seattle goalie Joey Daccord is out with an upper-body injury. Seattle's Kaapo Kakko is expected back around Nov 22, likely missing this game.
- The game is played at Detroit's home arena, Little Caesars Arena, providing them home-ice advantage. Seattle begins a challenging four-game road trip. Detroit plays two more home games this week, which may contribute to a strong home game mentality.
- Detroit aims to extend their winning streak against Seattle and maintain momentum at home. Seattle's recent offensive revival and road trip start give them motivation to prove resilience and competitiveness away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Red Wings: -175, Seattle Kraken: 135 | Detroit Red Wings win | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Detroit Red Wings -1.5: 150, Seattle Kraken +1.5: -190 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 (cover spread) | β β β ββ 52% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -122, Under 5.5: -103 | Over 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Red Wings -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Red Wings are favored to win at home given their recent form, home advantage, and head-to-head dominance. Seattle could challenge but may struggle against Detroit's strong defensive effort and depth.
Predicted Score: Detroit Red Wings 4 – 2 Seattle Kraken