Match Analysis: Detroit Red Wings vs New York Islanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan
Game Overview
The Detroit Red Wings host the New York Islanders in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Red Wings enter as the home favorite with a record of 12-7-1, while the Islanders bring an 11-7-2 record into this contest. This represents the second matchup of the season between these Atlantic and Metropolitan Division opponents, with Detroit looking to capitalize on home-ice advantage against a visiting New York team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Red Wings have demonstrated strong recent form, posting a 12-7-1 record with impressive home credentials (7-3-1 at Little Caesars Arena). The Red Wings have won three of their last four games, including victories over Anaheim (6-3), New York Rangers (2-1), and Seattle (4-2). Lucas Raymond has been a standout performer with consistent multi-point efforts. The New York Islanders maintain an 11-7-2 record with a 7-4-1 away record, suggesting competitive performance on the road. Bo Horvat leads the Islanders offensively.
- These teams have met once this season on October 23, 2025, with Detroit emerging victorious 2-7 in that encounter (indicating strong offensive output from the Red Wings). The series extends across three scheduled matchups this season, with a return engagement scheduled for December 16, 2025.
- Limited injury information is available from the provided data. Both teams appear to have their primary roster contributors available, with no major injury reports noted.
- The game is played on a Thursday evening, which may impact both teams' energy levels depending on recent travel schedules. Detroit's home-ice advantage at Little Caesars Arena is a significant factor, as the Red Wings have demonstrated superior performance at home (7-3-1) compared to their overall record.
- Detroit is motivated to maintain home-court dominance and continue their recent winning streak. The Islanders are seeking to prove their competitiveness on the road and potentially challenge the Red Wings' home fortress. Both teams are positioned in playoff-contention territory and require consistent wins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Red Wings -130 | New York Islanders +106 | Detroit Red Wings Win | β β β ββ 53% |
| Spread | Detroit Red Wings -1.5 (-220) | New York Islanders +1.5 (+176) | Detroit Red Wings Cover -1.5 | β β βββ 48% |
| Over/under | Over 6 (-112) | Under 6 (-112) | Under 6 Goals | β β β ββ 51% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Red Wings -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Detroit Red Wings at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Red Wings are favored to defeat the New York Islanders in this home matchup. The Red Wings' superior recent form, home-ice advantage, and favorable head-to-head history support a Red Wings victory. NumberFire's predictive model indicates a 52.8% win probability for Detroit, reflecting confidence in the home team while acknowledging the Islanders' competitive capabilities.
Predicted Score: Detroit Red Wings 3, New York Islanders 2