Match Analysis: Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 6:10 PM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Game Overview
Detroit Red Wings (9-6-0, 5-2-0 at home) host the Chicago Blackhawks (7-5-3, 4-3-2 on the road) in a cross-divisional NHL matchup. Chicago comes in riding a two-game win streak, including a 4-0 shutout in Calgary, while Detroit has lost two straight, most recently a 4-1 defeat to the Rangers at home. Detroit has won five straight against Chicago head-to-head.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit has a better overall points percentage, strong home form (5-2-0), but is 2-3 in their last five. Chicago is on a hot streak, allowing just 2 goals in their last two wins, and boasts improved defense (allowing under 30 shots per game) and balanced scoring. Both teams have similar goals per game (Detroit 2.87, Chicago 3.20), but Chicago allows fewer goals (2.60 vs. Detroitβs 3.07).
- Detroit has won five straight versus Chicago, including recent dominance at home[4]. This psychological edge is significant despite Chicagoβs recent form.
- No major injuries reported for either team that are expected to impact the starting lineup[2].
- No notable travel or scheduling issues. Both teams are at a similar spot in the season, with no major external disruptions.
- Chicago is surging, with momentum from consecutive road wins. Detroit is motivated to break their own slide and maintain home dominance against a rebuilding rival.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit -185, Chicago +154 | Detroit Red Wings | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Detroit -1.5 142, Chicago +1.5 -170 | Detroit Red Wings -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 114, Under 6.5 -135 | Under 6.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Red Wings -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicagoβs recent surge and defensive improvements make them a live underdog, but Detroitβs historical home advantage and H2H dominance are meaningful. The best value lies with Detroit on the moneyline and spread, but the strongest expected value is on the under, aligning with recent defensive trends and odds movement.
Predicted Score: Detroit Red Wings 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2