Match Analysis: Detroit Red Wings vs Anaheim Ducks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Game Overview
The Detroit Red Wings host the Anaheim Ducks in an NHL matchup featuring contrasting momentum trajectories. The Red Wings enter as home favorites despite recent struggles, while the Ducks arrive as the in-form team with strong recent performance and road success.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Red Wings (9-7-0) have lost 3 consecutive games while scoring only 2 combined goals, indicating severe offensive drought and defensive vulnerabilities. Anaheim Ducks (11-4-1) have won 9 of their last 11 games with 6 road wins, demonstrating consistent excellence and adaptability in hostile environments.
- Underdogs have won 10 of the Red Wings' last 11 home games at Little Caesars Arena. The Ducks have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games against Atlantic Division opponents. The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in 8 of their last 9 games as home favorites.
- No specific injuries reported in available data.
- Red Wings are 0-3 in their last three games as home favorites following a loss. The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents when trailing after the second period, indicating potential mental/competitive breakdown in critical moments.
- Red Wings face significant pressure to stop losing streak at home, but psychological momentum favors Ducks who are playing cohesive, confident hockey. Home ice advantage neutralized by recent home performance trends.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ducks +110 / Red Wings -130 | Anaheim Ducks +110 | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Ducks +1.5 -238 / Red Wings -1.5 +195 | Anaheim Ducks +1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 -112 / Under 6.5 -108 | Over 6.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anaheim Ducks 22% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Anaheim Ducks at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Anaheim Ducks to WIN as underdog value play with strong statistical support and superior current form.
Predicted Score: Anaheim Ducks 4, Detroit Red Wings 3