Match Analysis: Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: American Airlines Center
Game Overview
The Dallas Stars host the New York Islanders in a regular-season NHL matchup at the American Airlines Center on Tuesday, November 18, 2025. Both teams are performing solidly in their respective divisions, with Dallas leading the Central and New York competitive in the Metropolitan. The game is expected to be a high-paced, physical contest with playoff implications for both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dallas Stars enter the game with a record of 12-4-3, boasting a strong home record of 6-3-1 and leading the Central Division. Their offense is balanced, with consistent scoring from multiple lines and solid goaltending. The New York Islanders are 10-7-2 overall, with a 6-4-1 record on the road. Their offense is led by Bo Horvat, but they have shown vulnerability in away games, particularly against high-powered teams.
- Dallas has historically had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Islanders, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. The Stars have outscored the Islanders in those games, averaging 3.6 goals per game compared to New York's 2.2. The most recent meeting saw Dallas win 4-2 in overtime.
- Dallas is expected to be at full strength, with no major injuries reported. The Islanders are missing defenseman Adam Pelech, who is out with a lower-body injury, which could impact their defensive structure and penalty kill.
- The game is being played at the American Airlines Center, where Dallas has a strong home-ice advantage. The crowd support and familiar surroundings could give the Stars an edge. The weather is not expected to impact travel or game conditions.
- Both teams are in the thick of the playoff race, with Dallas looking to solidify their position at the top of the Central Division and New York aiming to close the gap in the Metropolitan. The Islanders will be motivated to prove themselves against a top-tier opponent, while Dallas will be eager to maintain their momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Stars: -175, New York Islanders: 135 | Dallas Stars | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Dallas Stars: -1.5 148, New York Islanders: 1.5 -186 | Dallas Stars -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 6 -113, Under: 6 -110 | Over | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Stars -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dallas is favored to win this game due to their strong home record, superior recent form, and the absence of a key defenseman for the Islanders. The Stars' offense should be able to capitalize on New York's defensive vulnerabilities, while their goaltending is expected to hold firm. The Islanders will likely put up a fight, but Dallas's depth and home-ice advantage should be decisive.
Predicted Score: Dallas Stars 4 – 2 New York Islanders