Match Analysis: Columbus Blue Jackets vs Montréal Canadiens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Monday, November 17, 2025
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio
Game Overview
Columbus Blue Jackets host the Montreal Canadiens in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Blue Jackets enter as home favorites with a -122 moneyline, while the Canadiens sit as underdogs at +102. This game features contrasting trajectories, with Columbus showing resilience at home despite recent inconsistency, while Montreal is struggling with a 2-3 record in their last five games and a devastating 7-0 loss to Dallas on Thursday.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus Blue Jackets: 9-7-2 record (4-3-1 at home). Won 2 of last 5 games but are 1-4 in their last 5 outings. Strong home record against the spread (9-1 ATS in road games suggests strong home performance). Montreal Canadiens: 10-6-2 record (5-2-1 away). Won 1 of last 5 games, currently riding a two-game losing streak. Defensively vulnerable: allowed 3.8 goals per game over last five games for Columbus. Montreal's recent form is concerning with a 7-0 defeat to Dallas showcasing defensive breakdowns.
- No specific H2H data provided in search results, but situational records show Montreal is 4-2-0 as underdogs versus Columbus' 1-4-0 as favorites this season. This suggests Montreal performs better when expected to lose, while Columbus underperforms when favored.
- Minimal injury information provided in search results. No significant roster absences identified for either team that would dramatically impact this matchup.
- Columbus plays with home-ice advantage at Nationwide Arena. Public money heavily favors Montreal (+105 with 97% of money vs Columbus' -125 with 3% of money), indicating sharp money is backing Columbus despite public sentiment. Montreal arriving for a back-to-back situation after Saturday's game suggests potential fatigue.
- Columbus desperately needs consistency after inconsistent play in November. Montreal is in survival mode after the brutal 7-0 loss to Dallas and will be motivated to avoid another blowout. Home-ice advantage typically provides motivation boost for Columbus.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus -122 | Montreal +102 | Columbus Blue Jackets | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Columbus -1.5 (+185) | Montreal +1.5 (-225) | Columbus -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115) | Under 6.5 | ★★★☆☆ 56% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Blue Jackets 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Blue Jackets to win 4-3. The combination of home-ice advantage, Columbus' strong situational record at home, and Montreal's defensive vulnerabilities creates a favorable environment for the Blue Jackets. While Montreal's 4-2 record as underdogs suggests value, Columbus' recent wins when favored with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter (3-0 record) provides additional confidence.
Predicted Score: Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Montreal Canadiens 3