Match Analysis: Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Game Overview
Early-season Central Division clash between two playoff contenders. Colorado has a slightly better record (2-0-0) and home advantage, while Dallas is also undefeated (1-0-0) and coming off a high-scoring win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are undefeated, but Colorado is marginally hotter, winning both games, including a recent victory over Dallas (3-2). Both offenses are clicking, with each team scoring 5+ goals in their most recent outings.
- Colorado won the last H2H meeting 3-2 (10/4/25), but both teams have traded wins recently, with the Avs also taking a 4-1 win in preseason (9/27/25).
- No major injuries reported for either side in the latest available data.
- Denverβs home ice and altitude can be a slight edge for Colorado. Early season, teams are still adjusting, and margins may be thin.
- High for both teams, as Central Division standings are tight. Neither wants to give early ground.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | COL -127, DAL +102 | Colorado Avalanche ML | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | COL -1.5 (+184), DAL +1.5 (-235) | Dallas Stars +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 6.5 (+110), Under 6.5 (-135) | Over 6.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado Avalanche 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Colorado Avalanche at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Avalanche win a close, high-event game, leveraging home ice and slightly superior recent form.
Predicted Score: Colorado Avalanche 4, Dallas Stars 3