Match Analysis: Cleveland Monsters vs Rochester Americans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
Game Overview
The Cleveland Monsters host the Rochester Americans in a regular season AHL matchup. Both teams are in the early stages of a compressed 2025-26 schedule, showing similar results so far but with slight edge to Cleveland in league standings[2][5].
Key Factors to Consider
- Cleveland Monsters have started their season with a winning record, while Rochester has struggled to pick up wins early on[2][5]. The Monsters have played only two games so far, making their stats less robust, but Rochester's defensive issues are notable.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited for the 2025-26 season. Over the previous season, Rochester finished slightly higher in the standings, but the current form suggests a tighter matchup[3].
- No specific injury news for either team is available in the provided data. This likely means rosters are near full strength.
- No travel-related or arena-specific factors are noted. The Monsters are at home, which typically provides a slight edge in AHL matchups.
- Both teams are early in the season and eager to set a positive tone for their campaigns. Clevelandβs home advantage adds motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cleveland Monsters: 118, Rochester Americans: -175 | Rochester Americans | β β β ββ 67% |
| Spread | Cleveland Monsters: 1.5 -225, Rochester Americans: -1.5 160 | Cleveland Monsters +1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 -104, Under: 5.5 -130 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rochester Americans -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 -4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Cleveland Monsters are undervalued by the market given recent results and home ice. Expect them to cover the spread and make the game more competitive than odds suggest.
Predicted Score: Cleveland Monsters 2 β Rochester Americans 3