Match Analysis: Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Alberta
Game Overview
The matchup features the Calgary Flames hosting the San Jose Sharks. Calgary has struggled this season with a 4-12-2 record, while San Jose has a stronger 8-6-3 record and is currently on a positive run of form.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Flames have poor offensive production, especially at home (2.29 goals per game), and overall a subpar record. The Sharks are showing genuine improvement and have points in seven straight games, with strong recent defensive performance limiting opponents to three goals or fewer in their last seven games.
- The Flames have historically dominated the Sharks, winning the last six matchups against San Jose and covering the puck line frequently in recent home games. However, Sharks have beaten stronger teams recently, showing improved quality.
- No specific injuries reported in the provided data influencing key players significantly for either team.
- Calgary plays at home, which usually is advantageous, but recent performance shows limited impact. Sharks are coming with momentum from recent wins and better road form compared to Flamesβ struggles.
- Sharks have momentum and motivation from a strong winning streak and improving confidence; Flames underperforming and seeking answers but lacking form and offensive support.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -166 (Calgary), +140 (San Jose) | Calgary Flames | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | -1.5 +160 (Calgary), +1.5 -192 (San Jose) | San Jose Sharks +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 +110, Under 6.5 -130 | Under 6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Flames -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Calgary Flames to win on the moneyline, but not covering the -1.5 puck line. Bet on under 6.5 total goals given low scoring forecasts.
Predicted Score: Calgary Flames 3 – San Jose Sharks 2