Match Analysis: Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Alberta
Game Overview
The NHL matchup features the New York Rangers visiting the Calgary Flames in a game with the Rangers slightly favored. The Rangers enter with a 3-4-2 record, while the Flames struggle at 1-7-1. The Flames are home underdogs despite the venue advantage, reflecting the current form and season prospects.
Key Factors to Consider
- New York Rangers have a modest performance record (3-4-2), showing more competitiveness compared to Calgary (1-7-1), which has struggled significantly this season, indicating an edge to the Rangers in terms of momentum and form.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited in the current sources, but the standings and odds imply Rangers have had a better track record this season against peers including the Flames.
- No explicit injury reports are available from the current sources, but goaltender Wolf is mentioned guarding the cage recently for a different game, suggesting NHL starters should be monitored for any last-minute changes.
- Playing at home, the Flames tend to have some advantage from venue familiarity, but their current model odds and poor record suggest form outweighs this benefit. The game being broadcast on ESPN+ adds to visibility but unlikely to affect outcome.
- Flames may be motivated to improve their poor start at home, whereas Rangers seek to solidify their better record on the road, creating a competitive dynamic.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Flames: +114, New York Rangers: -135 | New York Rangers win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Calgary Flames +1.5: -230, New York Rangers -1.5: +190 | Calgary Flames +1.5 (cover spread) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -112, Under 5.5: -108 | Under 5.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Rangers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Rangers are predicted to win this game based on better recent form, positive odds, and confidence metrics. The Flames’ home advantage is not expected to overcome their poor season start.
Predicted Score: New York Rangers 3 – Calgary Flames 2
