Match Analysis: Buffalo Sabres vs Calgary Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
Game Overview
The Buffalo Sabres host the Calgary Flames at KeyBank Center in a mid-season NHL matchup. The Sabres are coming off a recent shootout win against the Flames in November 2024, while the Flames have struggled on the road this season. Both teams are in the middle of their respective schedules, with Buffalo looking to build momentum at home and Calgary aiming to improve their away record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Buffalo Sabres have a home record of 6-3-2 and an overall record of 7-8-4, showing moderate strength at KeyBank Center. The Flames have a poor away record of 2-9-1 and an overall record of 5-13-3, indicating significant struggles on the road. Buffalo has shown resilience in close games, while Calgary has struggled to generate consistent offense away from home.
- Buffalo recently defeated Calgary in a shootout on November 9, 2024. Historically, Calgary had won six straight trips to Buffalo prior to that, but Buffalo now holds the edge in recent meetings. Key players like Nazem Kadri (Flames) and Tage Thompson (Sabres) have strong career stats against each other.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters are expected to be at full strength for this matchup.
- Buffalo's home crowd at KeyBank Center is known for being energetic, which could provide an advantage. Calgary is on a road trip, having played in several cities recently, which may impact fatigue levels.
- Buffalo is motivated to continue building on their recent home success and improve their playoff positioning. Calgary is desperate for points to climb out of the bottom of the standings and will be looking to bounce back from a poor start to the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Sabres: -159, Calgary Flames: 128 | Buffalo Sabres | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Buffalo Sabres: -1.5 163, Calgary Flames: 1.5 -205 | Buffalo Sabres -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 6.5 -107, Under: 6.5 -117 | Under | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buffalo Sabres -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Buffalo Sabres are favored to win this game due to their strong home record and Calgary's struggles on the road. The Sabres are expected to control the pace and capitalize on their home advantage, while Calgary may struggle to generate offense. A close game is anticipated, with Buffalo likely to edge out a win.
Predicted Score: Buffalo Sabres 3 – 2 Calgary Flames