Match Analysis: Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA
Game Overview
A highly competitive Atlantic Division matchup between the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs at TD Garden. Bruins are on a 6-game winning streak and have a slight home-ice edge, while the Maple Leafs look to rebound after recent back-to-back losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boston Bruins have won their last six games, showing strong offensive and defensive form, averaging 3.29 goals scored and allowed per game. Toronto Maple Leafs have been inconsistent, recently suffering two losses and conceding 5 goals in their last meeting with Boston.
- Last meeting was a 5-3 win for the Bruins at Toronto, with both teams evenly split in the last 10 games head-to-head at 5 wins each, indicating a competitive rivalry.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting key players. Both teams expected to start regular goaltendersβJeremy Swayman for Boston and usual starter for Toronto.
- Home-ice advantage favors Boston. The Bruins also have momentum from recent wins and a supportive crowd.
- Boston aims to extend their winning streak and solidify their standing in the Atlantic Division. Toronto seeks to recover from recent losses and halt Bostonβs dominance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins +120, Toronto Maple Leafs -142 | Boston Bruins | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Boston Bruins -1.5 -218, Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 180 | Boston Bruins -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 +100, Under 6.5 -120 | Over 6.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins 21% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Boston Bruins moneyline (+120) given their recent dominant form and home advantage; Bruins cover -1.5 spread at -218 due to strong defense and momentum; Over 6.5 goals at +100 supported by recent high-scoring meetings and offensive capabilities on both sides.
Predicted Score: Boston Bruins 4 – Toronto Maple Leafs 3