Match Analysis: Boston Bruins vs Carolina Hurricanes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-17
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Game Overview
Carolina Hurricanes (12-5-1) visit the Boston Bruins (12-8) at TD Garden in a high-stakes NHL matchup. Both teams are strong offensively, but Carolina is favored on the road due to superior recent form and offensive output.
Key Factors to Consider
- Carolina leads the NHL in offense (3.67 goals/game), while Boston averages 3.30 goals against per game. Boston has been strong at home (8-3-0), but Carolina is 6-3-0 on the road and has won 87.5% of games when favored at -188 or shorter.
- Recent H2H matchups show Carolina has dominated Boston, especially in games where they are favored. Carolinaβs relentless forecheck and shot volume (33.7/game) have overwhelmed Bostonβs defense (29.6 shots allowed/game).
- Boston is likely without #1 defenseman Charlie McAvoy, which weakens their defensive structure and ability to contain Carolinaβs high-powered attack.
- Carolinaβs offense is clicking, averaging 3.67 goals per game. Bostonβs defense has struggled, allowing 3.30 goals per game. Carolinaβs ability to generate shots and pressure will be a major factor.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning. Carolina is motivated to maintain their top spot in the Metropolitan Division, while Boston aims to defend home ice and stay competitive in the Atlantic.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Bruins +150, Carolina Hurricanes -180 | Carolina Hurricanes | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Boston Bruins +1.5 -162, Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +136 | Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 +100, Under 6.5 -120 | Over 6.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Carolina Hurricanes -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Carolina Hurricanes win in regulation, covering the spread and pushing the total over 6.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Carolina Hurricanes 4, Boston Bruins 3