Match Analysis: Anaheim Ducks vs Boston Bruins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
Game Overview
The Pacific Division-leading Anaheim Ducks (12-6-1) host the Atlantic Division contender Boston Bruins (12-9-0) in a pivotal NHL regular season matchup. Anaheim comes off a recent 7-game winning streak ended by a 3-game losing skid on the road. Boston is traveling west, boasting an 8-2 record in their last 10 games but suffering a recent 3-1 home loss to the Hurricanes. Anaheim's successful home record (6-1-0) contrasts with Boston's more mixed road form (4-5-0). Both teams are competitive playoff contenders with slightly different trajectories entering this contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Anaheim Ducks own a strong home record (6-1-0) and have averaged 3.58 goals for and 3.12 against, but have scored just four goals in their recent three losses. Boston Bruins have won 8 of their last 10 games but lost their most recent contest at home. Bruins are missing key players impacting lineup strength and depth, while Anaheim shows resilience and confidence after snapping a losing streak.
- The teams met earlier this season on October 23, 2025, with the Bruins hosting the Ducks. Details on the earlier result are limited, but both teams have shown balanced competitiveness historically. This matchup features two division leaders with similar point tallies (Anaheim 25 points, Boston 24 points) reflecting a tight rivalry aspect.
- Boston Bruins have key absences: defenseman Charlie McAvoy (out after being hit in face), forwards Elias Lindholm and Viktor Arvidsson (both lower-body injuries), and Casey Mittelstadt (upper body) sidelined recently. Lindholm's return is projected post-Nov 22. Anaheim has no major injury concerns reported, providing a likely full-strength lineup advantage.
- Boston faces the challenge of a cross-country flight starting a three-game California road trip. Travel fatigue and adaptation to local conditions may affect Bruins. Anaheim benefits from home ice advantage, energized by supportive fans and recent home success.
- Both teams are highly motivated competing for top division standings. Anaheim aims to bounce back from a losing skid and secure home dominance. Boston seeks to maintain momentum from recent wins despite injury setbacks and strengthen their position early in the West coast trip.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anaheim Ducks: -165, Boston Bruins: 133 | Anaheim Ducks win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Anaheim Ducks: -1.5 @ 1.60, Boston Bruins: +1.5 @ -2.00 | Anaheim Ducks cover -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5: -108, Under 6.5: -115 | Over 6.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anaheim Ducks -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Anaheim Ducks are favored to win due to home advantage, better recent form at home, and full-strength lineup. Boston Bruins will challenge strongly but may struggle with key injuries and travel fatigue, leading to a predicted tight game with Anaheim edging a moderate margin victory.
Predicted Score: Anaheim Ducks 4 – 2 Boston Bruins