Match Analysis: Botafogo vs LDU Quito - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-14
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
Round of 16 Copa Libertadores match between Botafogo and LDU Quito, with Botafogo favored at home given recent form and strong lineup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Botafogo shows superior recent form and consistent results in domestic and international matches, while LDU Quito has struggled recently and is underdog here.
- Limited recent direct encounters favor Botafogo, who have secured better results at home.
- No major injuries reported for either side impacting starting lineup significantly.
- Home advantage for Botafogo at Nilton Santos stadium and familiar conditions favor them; travel and altitude less favorable for LDU Quito.
- Botafogo motivated to progress deep in Copa Libertadores and capitalize on home advantage; LDU Quito under pressure as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo: -245, LDU Quito: 725, Draw: 360 | Botafogo | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Botafogo -1.25: -118, LDU Quito +1.25: -112 | Botafogo -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Botafogo to win outright, covering the spread comfortably and the match to have under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0
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