The UEFA Europa League group stage match sees SC Freiburg hosting FC Basel. Both teams come into the fixture with recent domestic wins and a strong motivation to start their European campaign positively. Freiburg has a slight edge due to home advantage and recent superior form.
Key Factors to Consider
SC Freiburg shows strong recent form with three wins in the last five matches, including a 3-1 win against VfB Stuttgart. FC Basel also arrives in good shape but with less convincing offensive output.
SC Freiburg holds a better historical record against FC Basel in head-to-head meetings, reinforcing their position as favorites.
No significant injuries reported for either side that could severely impact starting lineups or team performance.
Freiburg benefits from playing at home in the Europa-Park Stadion with familiar conditions; no adverse weather or travel issues reported.
Both teams aim to secure three points in the group stage opener, with Freiburg especially motivated to leverage home advantage and maintain momentum from recent wins.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
SC Freiburg -136, FC Basel +309, Draw +329
SC Freiburg
★★★★☆ 74%
Spread
SC Freiburg -0.5 at -131, FC Basel +50 at +101
SC Freiburg -0.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 3 goals -121, Under 3 goals -109
Over 3 goals
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
SC Freiburg 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3 0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: SC Freiburg at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.6% (Kelly Criterion)
UEFA Europa League group stage match between SC Braga and Feyenoord at Braga’s home ground, both teams known for solid attacking displays but somewhat vulnerable defenses.
Key Factors to Consider
Feyenoord have scored 2+ goals in all four away games this season, demonstrating strong attacking form but have conceded goals regularly. Braga have also been involved in high-scoring matches, with recent games frequently going over 2.5 goals, but Braga's defense has shown vulnerability, especially at home.
Recent encounters have shown competitive fixtures with both teams scoring; no outright domination by either side historically, but Feyenoord’s attacking firepower has been a challenge for Braga.
No specific high-impact injuries reported for either side affecting starting lineups significantly.
Home advantage for Braga, but Feyenoord’s current form and experience in European fixtures offer them confidence. Weather and pitch conditions are neutral with no reported impact.
Both teams highly motivated to secure group stage points early; Feyenoord aiming to build momentum after a strong start, Braga looking to prove strength at home in Europe.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 127, away: 203, draw: 257
Feyenoord
★★★☆☆ 69%
Spread
home_0: -155, away_0: 125
Feyenoord +0 (Draw no bet)
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
over_2.5: -126, under_2.5: -104
Over 2.5 goals
★★★★☆ 73%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Feyenoord 33%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Feyenoord at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Feyenoord to win on the moneyline, covering the spread is unlikely for Braga, and the match will go over 2.5 goals.
The UEFA Europa League group stage opener features FC Midtjylland hosting SK Sturm Graz. Both teams have shown strong recent domestic form with Midtjylland winning four of their last five matches and Sturm Graz securing a 2-0 away win in their latest fixture. Midtjylland’s home advantage and recent 3-0 away victory boost their confidence, while Sturm Graz has a historical edge in head-to-head results but struggled in recent European outings.
Key Factors to Consider
FC Midtjylland is in excellent form domestically, boasting four wins out of five games and a commanding recent away win (3-0 vs Aalborg BK). Sturm Graz also comes off positive momentum with a 2-0 away win but has struggled in Europa League previously, including a 0-3 loss to Sporting CP.
Historically, Sturm Graz holds a slight edge with 2 wins in the last 3 encounters, but recent form and home advantage favor Midtjylland.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players, suggesting both sides will field their strongest lineups.
Playing at MCH Arena provides Midtjylland a strong home atmosphere. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral without extreme factors.
Both teams motivated to start the group stage positively with strong domestic form backing their confidence. Midtjylland's desire to assert home dominance contrasts with Sturm Graz's aim to overturn recent European setbacks.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
FC Midtjylland -142, SK Sturm Graz +345, Draw +320
FC Midtjylland
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
FC Midtjylland -0.75 -114, SK Sturm Graz +75 -106
FC Midtjylland -0.75
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 3 -121, Under 3 +101
Over 3 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Midtjylland 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3 0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Midtjylland at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)
PAOK hosts Maccabi Tel Aviv in a UEFA Europa League matchup where PAOK enter as favorites due to stronger home form, deeper squad, and superior recent performances in European competitions.
Key Factors to Consider
PAOK shows solid home performance and consistent league form, though recent domestic matches include a goalless draw. Maccabi Tel Aviv struggles away with limited recent European impact.
Limited recent direct encounters; PAOK historically stronger in European and domestic contests indicating psychological and experience advantages.
No significant injuries reported for PAOK or Maccabi Tel Aviv impacting starting lineups or key players.
Match played at Toumba Stadion favors PAOK due to strong local support and travel fatigue for Maccabi Tel Aviv.
PAOK highly motivated to secure group stage advantage and bolster European credentials; Maccabi Tel Aviv aims to cause an upset but faces challenging away conditions.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
PAOK -155, Draw +300, Maccabi Tel Aviv +422
PAOK
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
PAOK -0.75 -116, Maccabi Tel Aviv +75 -104
PAOK -0.75
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.75 -103, Under 2.75 -117
Under 2.75
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
PAOK 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
PAOK moneyline win with a solid chance of a clean sheet and limited scoring from Maccabi Tel Aviv.
The UEFA Europa League final clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United brings together two historic Premier League rivals with a rich head-to-head record. Tottenham have enjoyed a strong run under manager Ange Postecoglou this season, winning all three meetings against Manchester United, including a 3-0 win at Old Trafford and a 4-3 victory in the League Cup quarter-final. Manchester United, despite recent struggles and injury issues, remain a formidable opponent looking to overturn recent form in a high-stakes final.
Key Factors to Consider
Tottenham have been in impressive form this season against Manchester United, remaining unbeaten in six consecutive matches with four wins and one draw under Postecoglou. Their attacking efficiency and defensive resilience have been notable, highlighted by a strong home and away record. Manchester United have faced injury challenges but have historically dominated the fixture with more overall wins. United's motivation to claim the Europa League and gain a trophy to salvage their season should not be underestimated.
Historically, Manchester United have been dominant with 34 wins in 59 matches against Tottenham, who have won 13 times with 12 draws. The average goals per game between these sides is approximately 2.83, indicating generally open and competitive matches. This season, Tottenham have reversed recent trends with three wins in three meetings against United, including a decisive 3-0 victory at Old Trafford and a thrilling 4-3 League Cup encounter.
Manchester United have been impacted by injuries leading into this match, affecting squad depth and options, while Tottenham have enjoyed a relatively healthier squad. Injury issues on the United side may impact their ability to field their strongest lineup, possibly favoring Tottenham in terms of squad freshness and tactical stability.
The match being a Europa League final raises the stakes significantly, likely increasing intensity and tactical caution from both teams. Tottenham’s home advantage at their stadium is a crucial factor, as atmosphere and fan support will be heavily on their side. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for May in London, with no significant external disruptions.
Tottenham enter the match with high confidence given their recent dominance over Manchester United this season. Their motivation is bolstered by the opportunity to secure a major European trophy, adding to their recent positive trajectory. Conversely, Manchester United have strong motivation to end a difficult season on a high note with a trophy, making this a fiercely contested final.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Manchester United: 140, Tottenham Hotspur: 180, Draw: 260
Tottenham Hotspur win
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Manchester United: -128, Tottenham Hotspur: 108
Tottenham Hotspur +0 spread (draw or win)
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120
Over 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tottenham Hotspur 20%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tottenham Hotspur at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tottenham Hotspur are favored to win this Europa League final due to their superior recent form, home advantage, and healthier squad. A tightly contested game with multiple goals is expected, but Tottenham’s tactical edge and momentum point towards them clinching the victory.
Manchester United lead 3-0 from the first leg in Bilbao. The second leg at Old Trafford will determine who advances to the final, with Athletic Club needing a historic comeback. United's dominant first-leg performance included goals from Casemiro and Bruno Fernandes (x2), while Athletic's Dani Vivian was sent off, leaving them shorthanded and demoralized.
Key Factors to Consider
Man Utd’s clinical first-leg display (3 goals in 30 minutes) contrasts sharply with Athletic’s inability to capitalize domestically or in Europe. United’s defensive organization limited Athletic to zero shots on target in the first leg[3].
Recent head-to-head favors United after their comprehensive first-leg victory. Historical data is limited as these teams rarely meet in European competition.
Man Utd’s squad received a boost with Matthijs de Ligt and Amad Diallo returning to the traveling party[4]. No reported injuries from Athletic beyond the red-card suspension of Vivian.
Athletic Club’s motivation stems from the final being held at their home stadium (San Mames), but their 3-goal deficit and away leg at Old Trafford make this nearly insurmountable.
United are prioritizing Europa League success to salvage their season and secure Champions League qualification[4], while Athletic face psychological pressure to avoid humiliation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Man Utd 110 | Draw 257 | Athletic 240
Manchester United
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Man Utd -0.25 (-120) | Athletic +25 (100)
Manchester United to cover -0.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2.5 (-118) | Under 2.5 (-102)
Under 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Manchester United 26%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 19%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Manchester United at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Manchester United to control the tempo and defend their aggregate lead, likely leading to a low-scoring game where Athletic Club struggle to break through.
Predicted Score: Manchester United 1-0 Athletic Club (4-0 aggregate)
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League semi-final following Tottenham's 3-1 first-leg win. Bodø/Glimt need a two-goal margin to force extra time, having won 6/7 home Europa matches this season. Spurs hold a commanding aggregate lead but face a hostile northern Norway venue.
Key Factors to Consider
Bodø/Glimt: 6 home wins in 7 Europa matches this season. Tottenham: 14-match unbeaten home Europa run, but away form less dominant.
First competitive meetings occurred in this tie, with Spurs winning the initial encounter convincingly.
No specific injury reports available in provided data, but Tottenham's physical approach (evidenced by aggressive man-marking strategies) risks fatigue.
Aspmyra's artificial pitch and northern Norway climate could favor home side. Late Bodø/Glimt goal in first leg shifted momentum psychologically.
Bodø/Glimt must attack relentlessly to overcome deficit. Tottenham may play conservatively to protect aggregate lead.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bodø/Glimt: +173 | Tottenham: +130 | Draw +300
Tottenham Hotspur or Draw
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Bodø/Glimt +25 (-126) | Tottenham -0.25 (+106)
Tottenham -0.25 (covers even with narrow loss)
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 3 (-103) | Under 3 (-117)
Under 3 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tottenham Hotspur 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tottenham's aggregate advantage and defensive organization (demonstrated through Maddison's man-marking masterclass) will likely contain Bodø/Glimt's attack. Expect a narrow Spurs loss or draw that sees them through.
Predicted Score: Bodø/Glimt 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur (Aggregate: 2-4)
Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United face off in a crucial UEFA Europa League matchup. Athletic Bilbao will look to capitalize on their home advantage at San Mamés, while Manchester United seeks to assert their dominance in European competitions.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown mixed form recently. Athletic Bilbao's home performances could be pivotal, while Manchester United has struggled with consistency across different competitions.
Historical matchups between the two are limited, but Manchester United's experience in European competitions might give them an edge.
Injury reports are not fully available, but any significant absences could impact team dynamics.
The match is part of the knockout phase, and high stakes could affect team strategies and player psychology.
Both teams are highly motivated, with Manchester United seeking redemption from recent domestic performances and Athletic Bilbao aiming for European success.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Athletic Bilbao: 105, Manchester United: 270, Draw: 245
Athletic Bilbao to win
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Athletic Bilbao: -0.5 105, Manchester United: 50 -125
Athletic Bilbao to cover
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over: 2.25 -115, Under: 2.25 -105
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Athletic Bilbao -14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Athletic Bilbao has a slight advantage due to home-field advantage, but Manchester United's experience makes the match highly competitive.
Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Game Overview
Tottenham host Bodø/Glimt in the first leg of the UEFA Europa League semi-finals, aiming to continue their unbeaten record against Norwegian clubs. Bodø/Glimt, the first Norwegian side to reach a senior UEFA men's club competition semi-final, arrives after a dramatic penalty-shootout victory over Lazio in the quarter-finals.
Key Factors to Consider
Tottenham defeated 2022 champions Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 on aggregate in the quarter-finals, showcasing defensive resilience. Bodø/Glimt overcame a 3-0 deficit in extra time against Lazio, winning 3-2 on penalties, highlighting their mental toughness.
No prior competitive meetings between the teams. Tottenham holds a perfect record against Norwegian clubs (4 wins, 17 goals scored).
No specific injury data available from provided sources.
Bodø/Glimt's lack of experience in late-stage UEFA competitions vs. Tottenham's superior squad depth and home advantage.
Tottenham seeks their first European title since 1984; Bodø/Glimt aims to make history as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Tottenham -360 | Draw 500 | Bodø/Glimt 825
Tottenham moneyline
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Tottenham -1.75 (-102) | Bodø/Glimt +1.75 (-118)
Bodø/Glimt to cover (+1.75)
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 3.25 (-102) | Under 3.25 (-118)
Under 3.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tottenham Hotspur 566%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.25 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tottenham Hotspur at 566% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 68.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tottenham to win with moderate confidence due to home advantage and superior European pedigree, though Bodø/Glimt's resilience could lead to a tighter contest than odds suggest.
In the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals, Athletic Bilbao hosts Rangers FC in the second leg match. The first leg resulted in a goalless draw, making this match crucial for both teams aiming for advancement to the semi-finals.
Key Factors to Consider
Athletic Bilbao has shown solid form in La Liga, maintaining one of the best defenses. Rangers, meanwhile, have been inconsistent in their recent matches, particularly in European competitions.
The first leg ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a balanced contest. Historical matchups lean slightly in favor of Athletic Bilbao.
No significant injuries reported for either team, ensuring both squads can field their strongest line-ups.
Home advantage at San Mamés, with a typically supportive crowd, could lift Athletic Bilbao’s performance.
Athletic Bilbao is highly motivated to advance in the tournament, especially playing at home, while Rangers face considerable pressure to overcome the first leg's result.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Athletic Bilbao 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Athletic Bilbao is predicted to win, leveraging both home advantage and better overall form.
