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Lazio vs. AS Roma Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lazio vs AS Roma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 10:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Lazio hosts AS Roma in the Derby della Capitale with both teams showing solid early season form. Lazio comes in with a 1-0-1 record, strong defensive metrics, and good expected goal stats, while AS Roma is unbeaten at 2-0-0 with a perfect clean sheet record so far. This tightly contested match is expected to be balanced with marginal advantages at different levels.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio ranks 2nd in xG with 5.1 and xGA of 3.3, averaging 1.5 points per game, showing solid offense and defense. Roma remains unbeaten with 2 clean sheets and a disciplined defensive unit, despite having scored just 2 goals with an xG of 3.5 so far this season.
  • Recent meetings show a balanced H2H with Roma slightly edging Lazio with 2 wins vs. 1 for Lazio in the last five matches, plus 2 draws, indicating a closely matched rivalry.
  • No major injuries reported affecting starting lineups; both teams have their key players available including goalkeepers Ivan Provedel (Lazio) and Mile Svilar (Roma).
  • Match takes place at Stadio Olimpico, home of both teams, slightly favoring Lazio as the nominal home side. Weather and travel factors minimal.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win in this derby for local bragging rights and early season points momentum in Serie A.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazio: 180, Roma: 166, Draw: 212 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Roma 0: -115, Lazio 0: -105 Roma +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw (0-0)

Predicted Score: 0-0


0 19

Udinese vs. AC Milan Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Udinese vs AC Milan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Bluenergy Stadium

Game Overview

AC Milan visits Udinese in a Serie A clash with both teams showing solid early-season form. Milan has slightly fewer points but strong away performance and recent H2H advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Udinese is 2-1-0 overall, unbeaten at home but with just one point at home. AC Milan is 2-0-1 overall with a solid away record of 1-0-0 and 3 points away. Milan's defensive organization and attack balance greater consistency.
  • Recent head-to-head favors AC Milan with wins and unbeaten runs. Milan has shown they can control games against Udinese and often score first, giving them a psychological advantage.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team, squads appear near full strength, which favors Milan's depth.
  • No notable external disruptions, weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal. No travel fatigue for Milan for this single away match committed early in the season.
  • AC Milan motivated to gain 3 points in a challenging away fixture to propel into the top part of the table. Udinese motivated to defend home ground and prove their early season strength.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AC Milan: -117, Udinese: 330, Draw: 255 AC Milan β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread AC Milan -0.5: -118, Udinese +50: -102 AC Milan -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AC Milan 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AC Milan to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, and the match to finish under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Hellas Verona vs. Juventus Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Juventus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona, Italy

Game Overview

Juventus start the Serie A season undefeated with a perfect 3-0-0 record, showing strong form and attacking efficiency, while Hellas Verona are struggling with a poor start, no clean sheets, and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventus have a flawless opening with solid defense and offense, ranking highly in expected goals. Hellas Verona have scored only 1 goal conceding 5, with low save percentage and poor defensive metrics.
  • Historically Juventus hold a significant advantage over Verona, with the last seasons showing Juventus as dominant in both home and away fixtures.
  • No significant injuries reported for Juventus; Hellas Verona have no key absences but their squad depth and form remain concerns.
  • Match is played at Verona’s home ground, which provides minimal advantage given their current form. Weather and pitch conditions are normal.
  • Juventus are motivated to maintain their unbeaten run and assert early dominance, while Hellas Verona fight to gain their first points but lack confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 550, away: -179, draw: 290 Juventus β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread home: -118 (Hellas Verona +1), away: -102 (Juventus -1) Juventus -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: -105 (Over 2.25 goals), under: -115 (Under 2.25 goals) Under 2.25 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Juventus 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Juventus Moneyline

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Bologna vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bologna vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

Bologna hosts Genoa in an early Serie A fixture with Bologna favored but both teams showing uneven recent form and injury concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bologna has a weaker recent form (draws and losses) and sits low in league standings with 3 points from 3 matches; Genoa slightly better motivated with 2 points but also inconsistent results.
  • Historically close, with Genoa holding a slight edge in wins (6 to Bologna's 5) over 13 matches; previous season's meeting ended 3-1 in Genoa's favor away.
  • Bologna missing key defensive players such as Charalampos Lykogiannis and Jhon Lucumi; Genoa lineup appears relatively stable though specific injury reports are limited.
  • Game at Bologna's home ground gives them slight advantage; no significant weather or travel issues reported.
  • Both teams are early in season seeking points; Bologna motivated to bounce back home after poor start, Genoa aiming to capitalize on recent positive momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bologna -120, Genoa +380, Draw +235 Bologna β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Bologna -0.5 -120, Genoa +50 +100 Bologna -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.0 -120, Under 2.0 +100 Under 2.0 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bologna to win the match narrowly with under 2.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Lecce vs. Cagliari Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lecce vs Cagliari – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-19
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Game Overview

A tightly contested Serie A matchup between Lecce and Cagliari with both teams showing mixed recent form and strong defensive traits, likely producing a low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lecce have struggled recently with 0-2 in last 5 matches and a heavy 4-1 loss recently, but retain solid home resilience. Cagliari are slightly better with a 1-1-1 form and a recent 2-0 win, though away form is volatile.
  • Recent encounters suggest a balanced matchup, with Lecce tough to beat at home and Cagliari competitive but inconsistent away.
  • No major injury concerns reported for Lecce. Cagliari's Andrea Bellotti is likely fit after a minor knock.
  • Match is at Lecce's home ground, adding slight home advantage; weather and other conditions not specified.
  • Lecce motivated to arrest poor form at home; Cagliari motivated to continue better recent results and exploit away weaknesses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lecce: 177, Cagliari: 185, Draw: 195 Lecce β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Lecce 0: -112, Cagliari 0: -108 Spread draw (no winner on 0 spread) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2: -103, Under 2: -117 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lecce 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lecce at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lecce to win on moneyline, Pick Spread draw (0 spread), under 2 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Como vs. Genoa Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Como vs Genoa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-15
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Italy

Game Overview

Como hosts Genoa in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown modest scoring this season and Como holds a slight edge in recent form and historical matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Como has a slightly better recent record with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss in last three games, showing a more consistent performance compared to Genoa's 1 draw and 1 loss. Both teams have struggled to score prolifically this season.
  • Historically, matches between Como and Genoa tend to be low-scoring and closely contested, with Como having a narrow upper hand at home.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that would significantly affect the starting XI or tactical approach.
  • Como enjoys home advantage and motivation to capitalize on their home support; Genoa's away form is weak, especially as underdogs.
  • Como is motivated to secure maximum points early in the season to climb the Serie A standings, while Genoa faces pressure to improve results away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Como: -154, Genoa: +475, Draw: +265 Como β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Como -0.75: -120, Genoa +75: +100 Como -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Como -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Como to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, with total goals under 2.25

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Hellas Verona vs. Cremonese Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Cremonese – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-15
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Game Overview

Hellas Verona hosts Cremonese in a Serie A match where Verona's home advantage and stronger recent form position them as favorites, while Cremonese pose a threat with solid away performances in a potentially high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hellas Verona has underperformed at home recently, with no wins in their last six home matches (4 draws, 2 losses), struggling to score in half of those games. Cremonese, however, come off two wins after opening their Serie A campaign with victories, indicating positive momentum.
  • Recent direct encounters suggest balanced competitiveness, though no detailed H2H stats are available. Verona's historical home advantage may slightly favor them.
  • No major injury news reported for either side, suggesting both teams will have near-full strength squads.
  • No external factors such as weather or travel issues are expected to impact play; a normal Serie A fixture environment.
  • Cremonese seek to build on strong early season form and prove competitiveness away from home, while Verona aims to break their home winless streak and secure points to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 146, away: 215, draw: 200 Hellas Verona β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home_-0.25: +108, away_+25: -128 Hellas Verona -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over_2: -118, under_2: -102 Over 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hellas Verona 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Hellas Verona at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hellas Verona to win on the moneyline; Hellas Verona to cover the -0.25 spread; Over 2 goals total

Predicted Score: 2-1


0 50

AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy

Game Overview

AC Milan hosts Bologna in a Serie A matchup where AC Milan arrives as the strong favorite based on recent form, historical dominance, and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AC Milan has recorded 1 win and 1 draw this season, undefeated at home (1-0-0), showing solid form. Bologna holds a similar overall record (1-0-1) but has struggled away (0-0-1), losing their only away game this season.
  • Historically, AC Milan dominates this fixture with Bologna winning only 1 of their last 19 matches against Milan and 2 of the last 21 overall, indicating strong psychological and tactical superiority for Milan.
  • No significant injury concerns for AC Milan reported; Bologna may be missing key players, weakening their competitive edge.
  • Playing at home in the iconic San Siro stadium benefits AC Milan greatly, with home support likely to boost their performance.
  • AC Milan, managing under Allegri with excellent recent results and aiming to solidify top table position, has high motivation; Bologna has less incentive given their recent performance and away struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AC Milan: -113, Bologna: +335, Draw: +240 AC Milan β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread AC Milan -0.5 -115, Bologna +50 -105 AC Milan -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AC Milan 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: AC Milan at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AC Milan to win

Predicted Score: 2-0


0 39

Sassuolo vs. Lazio Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MAPEI Stadium – CittΓ  del Tricolore, Sassuolo

Game Overview

This Serie A fixture between Sassuolo and Lazio features a Lazio squad slightly favored by odds and recent performance but facing an improving Sassuolo side at home. Lazio holds an edge in recent encounters and league form, while Sassuolo seeks to rebound after two opening draws.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio comes in with a 1-0-1 record and 3 points, showing a slightly stronger start than Sassuolo who is 0-0-2 with 2 draws, scoring fewer goals. Lazio's form suggests better recent effectiveness in offense and defense.
  • Lazio has dominated recent meetings with Sassuolo, boasting a 4-0-1 record in their last 5 clashes and the total goals going under 2.5 in all these matches, indicating low-scoring, tight contests.
  • No major injury news reported for either side, suggesting both squads will be close to full strength for the match.
  • The match is at Sassuolo's home ground, which could be a slight advantage, but Lazio's historical dominance and stronger squad depth mitigate home advantage.
  • Lazio's slight points lead and recent victories provide extra motivation to maintain momentum, while Sassuolo must overcome early season struggles and capitalize on home support to get points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazio: 107, Sassuolo: 260, Draw: 240 Lazio β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Lazio -0.5: 108, Sassuolo +50: -128 Lazio -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio to win on the moneyline, covering the spread -0.5, with the match to finish under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


0 22

Pisa vs. Udinese Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Pisa vs Udinese – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Game Overview

A Serie A clash between bottom-placed Pisa and rising Udinese, with Udinese currently unbeaten and showing stronger form. Pisa secured a draw and a loss in their first two games, while Udinese holds a win and a draw and are noted for their recent away efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Udinese has shown better recent form with a 1-1-0 record, including a notable 2-1 away win against Inter, while Pisa has 0-1-1, having scored just once and conceded in both games so far.
  • Recent encounters favor Udinese with multiple 2-1 away victories and several matches featuring both teams scoring.
  • No specific injury data is available, but no critical absences reported impacting key players for either team at this stage.
  • Pisa faces pressure from poor results early in the season; Udinese's momentum and confidence after upsetting strong opponents is a significant factor.
  • Udinese motivated to continue momentum and climb the league table; Pisa motivated to halt the poor start and gain first win, but overall momentum is with Udinese.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pisa: +180, Udinese: +172, Draw: +205 Udinese β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 61%
Spread Pisa: -108, Udinese: -112 Pisa +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over: +105, Under: -125 Under 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Udinese 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Udinese moneyline win, Pisa +0 spread, under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-2


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