Match Analysis: Cagliari vs Fiorentina – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Italy
Game Overview
This Serie A opener features Cagliari hosting Fiorentina, both teams motivated to start the season strongly. Fiorentina has a slight edge given recent away form and last season's wins at this venue.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fiorentina finished last season with better overall form and successful visits to Cagliari, whereas Cagliari showed inconsistency. Both teams have similar goal-scoring capabilities, but Fiorentina's defense has been slightly more stable.
- Fiorentina won the last two Serie A visits to Cagliari, including a 2-1 win last season. H2H tends to see goals from both sides with close scorelines.
- No major injuries reported for either side affecting key starters; lineups expected to be near full strength.
- Home crowd at Unipol Domus offers some advantage to Cagliari; however, the heavier pressure on Cagliari given their underdog status.
- Fiorentina aims to assert dominance early in the season to build on previous seasons. Cagliari looks to avoid a poor start at home after recent inconsistent results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 230 (Cagliari), 128 (Fiorentina), 225 (Draw) | Fiorentina | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Cagliari +25 at -112, Fiorentina -0.25 at -108 | Fiorentina -0.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 goals -123, Under 2.25 goals +103 | Over 2.25 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fiorentina 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Fiorentina at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fiorentina moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-2