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Benfica vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Game Overview

Benfica, currently 2nd in Liga Portugal, hosts Gil Vicente, a mid-table team with recent strong away performances. Benfica is in excellent form at home and boasts a historic dominance over Gil Vicente.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has a strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game. Gil Vicente showed solid away form with 2 wins in last 3 away games but averages only 1 goal per game.
  • Benfica has won 19 of the last 24 meetings and has outscored Gil Vicente 59 to 16 in these games. Recent meetings show dominant wins for Benfica, including a 5-1 home victory last year.
  • Benfica has 3 key injuries: Alexander Bah, Bruma, and Manu Silva. Gil Vicente has no unavailable players.
  • Match played at Benfica's home ground, where they have a strong winning history and higher average goal margin.
  • Benfica aims to solidify their position for UEFA Champions League qualification, providing strong motivation. Gil Vicente looks to maintain good form but motivation is lower by comparison.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -400, away: +1000, draw: +450 Home Win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home_-1.75: -102, away_+1.75: -118 Home -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.75: -125, under_2.75: +105 Over 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica 725%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Benfica at 725% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Benfica vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Rio Ave FC in the opening match of the 2025/26 Primeira Liga season. Benfica, currently 4th in the league, enters with strong form and a potent home record. Rio Ave, struggling near the relegation zone at 16th, has shown poor offensive capabilities and overall vulnerability defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has won 3 of their last 5 matches with a strong goal differential (7 scored, 2 conceded), while Rio Ave has scored only 7 goals but conceded 12 in the last 5, reflecting offensive struggles and defensive weakness.
  • In recent H2H matchups, Benfica has consistently dominated Rio Ave, including last season's two meetings, reinforcing Benfica's clear advantage at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for Benfica. Rio Ave’s injury concerns have weakened their already thin squad depth, further limiting their offensive threat and defensive resilience.
  • The match is played at Benfica's Estádio da Luz, a venue where Benfica maintains a strong home advantage. There are no adverse weather or scheduling concerns affecting either side.
  • As season openers, Benfica is highly motivated to start strongly and capitalize on home advantage. Rio Ave aims to avoid early relegation zone struggles but faces an uphill challenge against a superior opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -650, Rio Ave FC: 1300, Draw: 700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica: -2 -125, Rio Ave FC: +2 105 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -118, Under 3.25: -102 Under 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win outright (Moneyline)

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-22
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon hosts Moreirense FC in a pivotal Primeira Liga clash where both teams have similar points but Sporting holds a better goal difference and home advantage, making them strong favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon are in excellent form with 4 wins out of 5 recent matches, strong home performance, and a solid defense having conceded only 4 goals this season. Moreirense shows competitive form as well but less potency on the road.
  • Sporting dominates historically with 20 wins in 29 meetings and 4 of last 5 wins by more than one goal. The last meeting ended 3-1 in Sporting's favor with superior possession and shots on target.
  • Minimal lineup changes expected for both sides with no major injury concerns reported, allowing usual tactics to be executed effectively.
  • The match is at Sporting's home stadium offering them a strong home crowd advantage and familiar conditions.
  • Both teams have equal points aiming to climb the Primeira Liga standings, but Sporting's motivation is stronger to consolidate top positions and maintain home dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -575, Moreirense FC: 1200, Draw: 625 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -2: 100, Moreirense +2: -120 Sporting Lisbon -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3: -108, Under 3: -112 Over 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -2 spread, and the match to produce over 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Casa Pia vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal

Game Overview

This Portuguese Primeira Liga match features Casa Pia hosting Famalicão. Casa Pia sits mid-table with inconsistent form, while Famalicão is in strong form with recent away wins and a higher league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has shown mixed results with notable defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in their last 7 home games. Famalicão is in better form, having lost only once in their last five matches and scoring consistently in 17 of their last 18 league games.
  • Famalicão leads the recent H2H with 3 away wins, 2 home defeats for Casa Pia, and 1 draw in 6 matches. The last meeting ended 2-1 to Famalicão with solid possession and offensive dominance from them.
  • No major injury news impacting either side was found, suggesting both teams can field strong lineups.
  • Match played at neutral venue Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior which should slightly reduce Casa Pia’s home advantage. No climatic or scheduling issues reported.
  • Famalicão seeks to consolidate a top 5 position and buildup on recent strong away form, while Casa Pia aims to avoid back-to-back home defeats and climb from mid-table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: +235, Famalicão: +125, Draw: +210 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Casa Pia: -112 (25), Famalicão: -108 (-0.25) Famalicão -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -120, Under 2: +100 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão to win on the moneyline, with a cautious spread bet on Famalicão -0.25, and under 2 goals for the total as the match is expected to be moderately tight but controlled.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Gil Vicente vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts Estoril in a closely matched Primeira Liga game where Gil Vicente sit 6th with solid recent form, while Estoril are 10th but have shown strong attacking tendencies. Both teams have similar historical performances and average goals per match hover around 2.6.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente have won 3 of their last 5 matches with a moderate scoring rate (~1 goal per match) but concede more, having not kept a clean sheet recently. Estoril are in better recent form offensively, winning 4 and drawing 1 of their last 5 and scoring 1.6 goals per game.
  • Historically, Estoril hold a slight edge in wins (10 to Gil Vicente’s 9) over 27 games since 2004. Recent encounters are balanced with 8 matches splitting 2 home wins, 3 away wins, and 3 draws. Last meeting ended 2-1 to Estoril away.
  • No notable injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either side.
  • The match is at Gil Vicente’s home ground, Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, which tends to provide home advantage. No unusual external conditions reported.
  • Gil Vicente aim to stabilize top-half position with home advantage motivating them. Estoril seek to climb from 10th with recent good form fueling confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: +129, Draw: +205, Estoril: +235 Gil Vicente ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.25: -105, Estoril +25: -115 Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -130, Under 2: +110 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to win (Moneyline), Gil Vicente -0.25 spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Tondela vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Tondela vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso

Game Overview

Tondela, desperate for points and playing at home, face Estrela Amadora who arrive as slight underdogs with some defensive resilience but poor away form. Both teams have struggled offensively and have a history of low-scoring, tightly contested matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela have yet to win this season, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 10 in 5 matches, showing offensive struggles and defensive weaknesses. Estrela Amadora have a poor away record losing 7 of last 8, but tend to defend more reliably on road.
  • Only two previous official matches, both drawn 0-0, indicating a balanced matchup with low scoring tendencies.
  • No specific injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side, lineups expected as predicted.
  • Match played at Tondela’s home ground, Estádio João Cardoso, where they have yet to win this season, adding pressure to perform in front of home fans.
  • Tondela's urgent need to avoid relegation and break winless streak strongly motivates them, while Estrela have moderate motivation but poor away results suggest difficulty capitalizing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tondela: +121, Estrela: +250, Draw: +205 Tondela ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Tondela -0.25: -112, Estrela +25: -108 Tondela -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -110, Under 2 goals: -110 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tondela 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tondela to win on moneyline, Tondela -0.25 on spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vitória SC vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães, Portugal

Game Overview

A competitive Primeira Liga clash between Vitória SC and Braga, with both teams situated mid-table and showing solid recent form. Braga holds a slight edge in attack and away performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has scored 10 goals in 5 matches with a stronger attack and solid defense allowing 1 goal per game, while Vitória SC has 6 goals and concedes 1.6 per game. Braga’s away record is good with one win and one draw recently, Vitória SC is moderate at home.
  • Recent H2H meetings have been competitive. Last season both matches were close, indicating a tight matchup typically, but Braga tends to edge slightly with better overall points and form.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side; squads expected to be close to full strength.
  • Match played at Dom Afonso Henriques, home of Vitória SC but Braga’s away form suggests they adapt well in this stadium. No adverse weather or external disruptions are expected.
  • Both teams are eager to climb the table early in the season, with Braga just above Vitória SC in points and aiming to consolidate their position with a road win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga +129, Vitória SC +205, Draw +230 Braga ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Braga -0.25 -102, Vitória SC +25 -118 Braga -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 +105, Under 2.5 -125 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica enters the match as dominant favorites against AVS Futebol SAD, who have struggled this season with no wins and a negative goal difference. Benfica is undefeated with three wins and one draw, showing strong attacking and defensive form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is 4th in the Primeira Liga with 10 points from 4 games, undefeated and +5 goal difference, while AVS is 17th with 1 point and -7 goal difference after 5 games, without any wins.
  • Recent H2H heavily favors Benfica, including a dominant 6-0 win in their last meeting this season, indicating clear superiority.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting key players, suggesting both teams will mostly field their strongest squads.
  • The match is at AVS's home ground, but their poor form at home and Benfica’s strength on the road reduces home advantage impact.
  • Benfica is motivated to maintain an unbeaten run and consolidate top league positions, while AVS needs points desperately to avoid relegation pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS +1200, Benfica -625, Draw +700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread AVS +2 -112, Benfica -2 -108 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 3 -110, Under 3 -110 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win on the moneyline, cover the -2 spread, and match total goals over 3

Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 0 – 3 Benfica


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Santa Clara vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Miguel, Ponta Delgada

Game Overview

Santa Clara hosts Alverca in a challenging Portugal Primeira Liga match, with Santa Clara favored due to home advantage and recent form despite both teams having inconsistent performances this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara shows moderate home form with about 33% win rate recently, while Alverca's away performances have been stronger with roughly 50-75% outcomes favoring them across last four away matches, indicating a competitive contest.
  • No strong recent H2H dominance by either side, but Santa Clara historically benefits from home advantage when facing Alverca.
  • No significant injury information available that impacts starting lineups notably for either team.
  • No unusual external factors; neutral weather and normal pitch conditions expected at Estádio São Miguel.
  • Both clubs seek to climb the league standings early in the season; Santa Clara is likely more motivated to capitalize on home support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara -136, Draw +230, Alverca +445 Santa Clara ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Santa Clara -0.75 (100), Alverca +75 (-120) Santa Clara -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 (-108), Under 2 (-112) Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.75 spread, and the match to finish under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Madeira, Funchal

Game Overview

The match features Nacional hosting Arouca in Portugal's Primeira Liga at Estádio da Madeira. Both teams are close in league standings with Arouca just above Nacional, indicating a tight contest. Nacional struggles at home with no wins this season, while Arouca has a slightly better recent record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional sits 14th with 4 points including 1 win and 3 losses, showing defensive weaknesses with a -4 goal difference. Arouca is 12th with 5 points, marginally better but with a poor defense conceding 13 goals in 5 matches.
  • The last meeting ended 2-1 in favor of Arouca, giving them a psychological edge over Nacional. Overall, head-to-head encounters are competitive with no dominant trend.
  • No major injury updates reported affecting either side significantly ahead of this match.
  • Match played at Nacional's home ground, which could provide home advantage. Pressure is on Nacional to earn their first home win of the season.
  • Nacional highly motivated to break home win drought and improve their league position. Arouca seeking to maintain their slight advantage in standings and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +188, Nacional: +152, Draw: +212 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arouca: +105, Nacional: -125 Arouca +0 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: +100 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arouca at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline pick: Arouca to win. Spread pick: Arouca +0. Confidence pick: Under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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