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Braga vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Braga vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga

Game Overview

Opening match of the 2025-26 Portuguese Primeira Liga season, Braga hosts Tondela. Braga is a strong favorite given their dominant historical record and current strong form. Tondela has shown fighting spirit but historically struggles against Braga.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has won 4 of their last 5 matches and all 5 pre-season games, indicating strong momentum. Tondela showed some confidence with an away win in pre-season but has weaker league form historically.
  • In 16 meetings, Braga has won 13, Tondela 2, with one draw. The last league meeting in 2022 ended in a 1-0 Braga win. Braga dominates defensively and offensively in these matchups.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side that would impact starting lineups or key players.
  • Match played at Braga's home stadium, a venue where Braga has strong home records (only 3 losses in last 17 home league matches). Season opener motivation high for Braga to establish dominance early.
  • Braga aims to start the season strongly after good pre-season and Champions League qualifiers. Tondela seeks to build on pre-season confidence but faces a tough away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -285, Tondela: 750, Draw: 390 Braga ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Braga -1.25: -118, Tondela +1.25: -102 Braga -1.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win straight up; favoring a clear home victory with a margin given their strong historical dominance, home advantage, and form.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Famalicão vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Famalicão Home Stadium

Game Overview

A close matchup between mid-table Famalicão and higher-ranked Santa Clara in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with both teams showing solid but mixed recent form and a historically balanced head-to-head rivalry.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has a home advantage with a slightly better recent form marked by a longer unbeaten streak, while Santa Clara holds a higher league position (5th vs 9th), though both have comparable offensive and defensive stats.
  • The teams are evenly matched historically with 18 meetings resulting in 8 wins for Famalicão, 9 wins for Santa Clara, and 1 draw. Matches tend to be competitive with average goals around 2.2 per game.
  • No significant injury reports noted for either side impacting key players, supporting a full-strength lineup for both teams.
  • No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or weather conditions are expected to materially affect the match outcome.
  • Santa Clara’s higher league ranking and desire to maintain a top-table position offers them strong motivation, whereas Famalicão aims to capitalize on home support to disrupt.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão 1.39, Santa Clara 2.05, Draw 2.12 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Famalicão -0.25 at 1.05, Santa Clara +25 at 80 Famalicão -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2 at 1.82, Under 2 at 2.02 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Famalicão to win; Spread: Famalicão -0.25; Over/Under 2 goals: Over

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Arouca vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arouca Home Stadium

Game Overview

This is an early season match in the Portugal Primeira Liga between Arouca, the home side, and newly promoted or lower table side AVS Futebol SAD. Both teams have shown relatively weak offensive production recently but Arouca carries a moderate home advantage and better historical results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has a somewhat stronger recent form with more home wins, though scoring under 1.5 goals is common for them; AVS Futebol SAD has failed to win in 23 of their last 27 league games and frequently scores fewer than 1.5 goals.
  • Previous encounters favor Arouca slightly with historically better results and home advantage; Draw outcomes are relatively common based on close percentages but Arouca edges the likelihood to win at home.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would critically impact starting lineups or tactics.
  • No major external factors such as weather, travel fatigue, or schedule congestion appear relevant for this fixture.
  • Arouca is motivated to start the season strongly on home soil; AVS Futebol SAD may struggle with confidence given recent poor results but will seek an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: -121, AVS Futebol SAD: 335, Draw: 250 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Arouca -0.5: -120, AVS Futebol SAD +50: 100 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca to win on the moneyline, with a confident expectation of a low-scoring game under 2.5 total goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

The opening match of the Portugal Primeira Liga season pits CD Nacional against Gil Vicente, two teams aiming to start the campaign strong following mixed previous seasons. Nacional hosts Gil Vicente in a fixture expected to be competitive, with both teams showing motivation to improve early form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have had challenging recent seasons, with Nacional showing slight home advantage historically. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities but possess attacking potential.
  • Historically, matches between Nacional and Gil Vicente have been tightly contested with balanced outcomes. No dominant trend favors either side decisively.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team, suggesting both squads will likely field close to their full strengths.
  • Playing at Estadio da Madeira provides Nacional some home advantage amid their motivation to claim early points. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • Both clubs show strong motivation as they open the season, with Nacional keen to leverage home advantage and Gil Vicente looking to build on recent progress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional 1.48, Gil Vicente 1.93, Draw 2.15 Nacional ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Nacional 0 -130, Gil Vicente 0 +110 Nacional 0 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 -115, Under 2.25 -105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nacional at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Home win (Nacional), Spread: Nacional 0 -130, Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Casa Pia vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon is the clear favorite away against Casa Pia, a team with a poor recent record. Sporting has been dominant historically and maintains a strong form, while Casa Pia has struggled both head-to-head and in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has won 80% of their last 10 matches and remained unbeaten in 94% of their last 33 league games. Casa Pia has not won in 8 of their last 9 Primeira Liga matches.
  • In the last 7 encounters, Sporting Lisbon has won all 7 matches against Casa Pia with no draws or Casa Pia wins. Over 1.5 goals occurred in 100% of these meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported for either squad affecting key starters, maintaining standard lineup strength.
  • The match is played at Casa Pia's home ground, but given their poor home form and Sporting's strong away record, venue advantage is minimal.
  • Sporting Lisbon is motivated to continue their strong league start and extend their winning streak, while Casa Pia aims to avoid relegation struggles and secure points early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia 8.50, Sporting Lisbon -3.30, Draw 4.30 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Casa Pia +1.5 -115, Sporting Lisbon -1.5 -105 Sporting Lisbon -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright (moneyline), covering the -1.5 spread, with an expectation of over 2.75 total goals scored.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Vizela vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vizela vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Futebol Clube de Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Game Overview

Vizela faces AVS Futebol SAD in a crucial Primeira Liga playoff fixture. AVS won the previous encounter 3-0, but Vizela has a strong home record, undefeated in their last 13 home matches. Vizela averages 1.56 goals per home match, while AVS averages just 0.81 goals away. Both teams are motivated to secure promotion, but Vizela’s recent form and home edge provide hope for a comeback.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vizela’s recent performance at home is outstanding (13 matches unbeaten), while AVS’s away performance is weaker (0.81 goals scored per match away). Vizela wins 33% of halftimes at home; AVS only 5%.
  • Recent head-to-head favors AVS, who won the last meeting 3-0. However, Vizela is historically strong at home in this fixture.
  • No significant injury reports available at this time.
  • Match is a playoff with high stakes for promotion. Playing at home gives Vizela an important crowd advantage. The pressure is higher on AVS to protect their aggregate lead.
  • Both teams are highly motivated for promotion. AVS wants to maintain their aggregate advantage; Vizela is focused on reversing the deficit at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vizela: 115, AVS Futebol SAD: 240, Draw: 225 Vizela to win Moderate-High (68%)
Spread Vizela -0.25: -118, AVS +25: -102 Vizela to cover -0.25 Moderate (63%)
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 goals Moderate (65%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vizela -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -100%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Vizela is expected to win at home, but AVS is likely to defend their aggregate advantage fiercely. The match will be tight and low-scoring, but Vizela’s home record and motivation for a comeback give them a slight edge for a single-game win, though overturning the aggregate deficit is unlikely.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Vizela)


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Vizela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Vizela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, PRT

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD is facing Vizela in the Portuguese Primeira Liga promotion/relegation playoffs. The match is crucial for both teams as they fight to maintain their position or gain promotion. The historical data and recent performances will play a significant role in determining the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD scores an average of 0.83 goals at home, while Vizela averages 1.4 goals away. Vizela's stronger away record could give them an edge.
  • AVS Futebol SAD has won 1-0 in their last head-to-head match against Vizela.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • The match being part of the promotion/relegation playoffs adds significant pressure and motivation for both teams.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, but Vizela's recent form and away record suggest they might have an advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS: 150, Vizela: 180, Draw: 220 Draw or Vizela ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread AVS: 0 -122, Vizela: 0 102 Vizela to win or draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vizela 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vizela at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the data, Vizela might have a slight edge due to their away performance, but AVS Futebol SAD's home win in their last meeting could boost their confidence.

Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 1-1 Vizela


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown

Game Overview

This Primeira Liga match between AVS Futebol SAD and Moreirense FC is crucial for both teams. AVS is currently ranked 16th, while Moreirense is in the 10th position. Given their standings, Moreirense is likely to push for a win to secure a higher league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS has struggled with only three home wins and is currently on a long losing streak. Moreirense has shown more consistency with higher average goals scored and fewer clean sheets missed.
  • The two teams have a very limited head-to-head record, with only one draw and no wins for either side. This lack of historical data makes the match outcome less predictable.
  • There are no specific injury reports mentioned in the available data.
  • External factors such as weather or recent form could influence the match outcome. However, specific details are not provided.
  • Motivation is high for both teams, especially Moreirense, as they seek to improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AVS: -115, Moreirense: 310, Draw: 245 Draw or Moreirense Win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread AVS: -0.5 -112, Moreirense: 50 -108 AVS to Cover ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 93%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 93% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering the current form and standings, Moreirense is likely to dominate the match. However, AVS's recent inconsistency makes them unpredictable.

Predicted Score: 0-0 or 1-1


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: José Alvalade Stadium, Lisbon

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match features Sporting Lisbon hosting Vitória SC at the José Alvalade Stadium. Sporting Lisbon have been historically dominant against Vitória SC, especially at home, and enter as strong favorites. The matches between these teams typically yield close to 3 goals on average, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have a strong record with 24 wins in their last 39 meetings with Vitória SC, including many at home where they have won 12 of 17 matches. Vitória SC have shown resilience with five away wins this season, but overall have a weaker goal scoring and defensive record compared to Sporting. Sporting scores on average 1.94 goals per home game versus Vitória’s 0.71 goals per away game, with Sporting conceding less frequently.
  • In total head-to-head encounters, Sporting have won 34 matches, Vitória SC 6, and 12 ended in draws. The average goals per match is about 2.87, reflecting relatively high-scoring affairs. Sporting's dominance is stronger at home with a large margin of victories and goal differences favoring them significantly.
  • No specific injury data is available for either team at this time, suggesting squads may be near full strength for the encounter.
  • The home advantage at José Alvalade Stadium generally favors Sporting Lisbon due to strong fan support and familiar conditions. Weather and pitch conditions are not indicated to impact gameplay significantly.
  • Sporting Lisbon, likely competing for the top position or European spots, have more motivation to secure a decisive home victory. Vitória SC, while competitive, often play conservatively away, aiming to limit damage and capitalize on counter-attacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -385, Vitória SC: 1000, Draw: 460 Sporting Lisbon Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -1.75: 102, Vitória SC +1.75: -122 Sporting Lisbon to cover -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -122, Under 2.75: 102 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon are predicted to win comfortably given their superior home form, head-to-head record, and odds. Vitória SC may struggle to score but could contain to reduce the margin.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Arouca vs. Boavista Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Boavista Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 17, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

Arouca vs. Boavista is a Portuguese Primeira Liga match. Arouca is currently ranked 12th, while Boavista is 18th. The match is crucial for both teams, with Arouca looking to solidify their position and Boavista seeking to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has been performing better in recent matches, holding a higher position in the league compared to Boavista. However, Boavista has shown resilience in several games.
  • The head-to-head data between the two teams is limited, but Arouca's recent performance suggests they might have an edge.
  • Injury reports are not detailed, but both teams should be near full strength for such a crucial match.
  • The match is at Arouca's home stadium, which could provide an advantage due to home support.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Boavista fighting to avoid relegation and Arouca aiming to secure a better position in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: 100, Boavista Porto: 265, Draw: 235 Arouca win or draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arouca: -0.5 102, Boavista Porto: 50 -122 Arouca covers the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 102, Under: 2.5 -122 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arouca is likely to win or draw, given their home advantage and current form. The match could see both teams scoring, given their recent performances.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Arouca


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