St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Los Angeles FC – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-28
Time: 12:30 AM UTC
Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO

Game Overview

The match features Western Conference contenders Los Angeles FC, who have a solid winning record and more consistent performance this season, against St. Louis City SC, a relatively new and struggling MLS side with a negative goal differential and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

LAFC stands with a 14-8-7 record, averaging nearly 2 goals per game and boasting a positive goal difference, while St. Louis City SC records 7-7-17 with a -13 goal differential, scoring fewer and conceding more than LAFC. LAFC shows stronger away form and recent winning momentum.
Limited history due to St. Louis being a relatively new MLS franchise, but LAFC have been dominant in recent encounters and have better experience in high-stakes Western Conference matches.
No key injuries reported for either side. Both teams appear to have their primary starters available, enhancing the prospects of a full-strength clash.
Game played at high altitude (Commerce City, CO) potentially favors the more physically prepared LAFC side, which has adapted better to such conditions. Weather and travel impact minimal for these teams.
LAFC is pushing for playoff positioning and has higher motivation to secure points, while St. Louis City SC's playoff hopes are slim, likely impacting intensity and focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Los Angeles FC -102 / St. Louis City SC +228 / Draw +300	Los Angeles FC	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Los Angeles FC -0.5 -106 / St. Louis City SC +50 -125	Los Angeles FC -0.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.5 +119 / Under 3.5 -159	Under 3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Los Angeles FC 29%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles FC at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles FC to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to be Under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: LAFC 2 – 1 St. Louis City SC

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Chicago Fire vs. Columbus Crew SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-28
Time: 12:30 AM UTC
Location: GEODIS Park, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew SC meet in a closely matched MLS contest with both teams mid-table and similar points totals. The match is expected to have moderate scoring and competitive intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

Chicago Fire have 45 points in 30 games (13-6-11), showing a decent attack but a weak defense conceding 53 goals this season. Columbus Crew have 50 points in 31 games (13-11-7), slightly better defensive numbers and more consistent recent form.
Recent head-to-heads show a balanced rivalry with both teams having similar results. Both teams have positive goal differentials but Chicago slightly lower in defensive solidity.
No major injury news reported; squads expected near full strength for the match.
Game played at neutral venue GEODIS Park in Nashville, which slightly reduces home advantage. Weather and other external conditions expected to be neutral.
Both teams are mid-table aiming to secure playoff positioning late in season, but Columbus Crew's slightly better standing may give them marginal psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	113	Chicago Fire win	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	108	Chicago Fire -0.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	109	Over 3.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chicago Fire 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Fire to win on the moneyline with over 3.5 goals scored in the match.

Predicted Score: 3-2

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D.C. United vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: D.C. United vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 11:30 PM UTC
Location: Audi Field

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union visits D.C. United for a regular-season MLS clash. Philadelphia are in strong form with an 18-6-7 overall record and significantly better away form than D.C. United, who struggle at home with a 2-7-6 record. Philadelphia leads the standings with 60 points, while D.C. United are near the bottom with 25 points.

Key Factors to Consider

Philadelphia Union holds clear superiority overall and away with 18-6-7 vs DC's 5-10-16 record. Philadelphia has been more consistent, especially recently, while D.C. United have multiple losses and draws at home.
Historically, Philadelphia has performed better head to head with more wins and fewer losses against D.C. United. Recent encounters favor Philadelphia given their better form and home dominance.
No significant injury updates are currently reported for either team, allowing both squads to field strong lineups.
Match at Audi Field presents a home advantage for D.C. United but their poor home record and motivation gap diminish this edge. Weather and travel conditions are expected to have minimal impact.
Philadelphia Union motivated by playoff positioning and high point total; D.C. United less motivated due to low standings and poor results.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	D.C. United: 255, Philadelphia Union: -104, Draw: 270	Philadelphia Union	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	D.C. United +50: -122, Philadelphia Union -0.5: -109	Philadelphia Union -0.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -152, Under 2.5: 114	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Philadelphia Union 8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 28%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline with the game likely staying below 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union 1 – 0 D.C. United

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New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 11:30 PM UTC
Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Game Overview

The New York Red Bulls host New York City FC in an MLS match that pits a mid-table home side against a well-performing visiting team. NYCFC leads the league with 53 points and a strong recent form, while Red Bulls have shown inconsistency but have home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

NYCFC holds a superior overall record (16-5-9) and more points (53) compared to Red Bulls (12-7-12, 43 points). NYCFC is undefeated at home and decent away, while Red Bulls are stronger at home but inconsistent overall. Recently, NYCFC has won 4 of their last 6 matches, Red Bulls are inconsistent with mixed results.
Historically, Red Bulls have a slight edge with 6 wins to NYCFC's 5 in recent matchups, with 1 draw. However, NYCFC has been in better form lately in direct encounters.
No critical injury information is reported for either team affecting key starters.
Game is at Red Bulls’ home stadium, which improves Red Bulls' chances. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal. There are no notable external disruptions.
NYCFC is motivated to maintain their top position in the league and is pushing for playoff seeding. Red Bulls seek to improve their position and exploit home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	New York Red Bulls: 126, New York City FC: 195, Draw: 260	New York Red Bulls	★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread	New York Red Bulls (-0.5): 120, New York City FC (+50): -159	New York Red Bulls -0.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -145, Under 2.5: 109	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	New York Red Bulls 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the odds and analysis, the highest expected value play is a Red Bulls moneyline win, capitalizing on home advantage and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: 1-0

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New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 11:30 PM UTC
Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ

Game Overview

New England Revolution (8-8-15) hosts Atlanta United FC (5-12-13) in a crucial MLS clash where both teams have struggled with consistency this season. New England ranks 20th in expected goals with a negative goal differential and middling defensive stats, while Atlanta shows similar inconsistency with a worse goal differential. The game is expected to be competitive with moderate scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

New England Revolution average 1.03 points per game with 39 goals scored and 45 conceded (1.45 G/90). Atlanta United averages slightly lower points (0.90) with a worse goal differential (-18) and similar scoring rate.
The sides have a marginal edge for New England with better recent form and points. Both teams have comparable historical results and similar win/draw/loss percentages, making the matchup tight.
No critical injuries reported that significantly affect starting lineups; key players expected to start including New England's goalkeeper Matt Turner and Atlanta's Jayden Hibbert.
Match played at neutral venue in Harrison, NJ, slightly diluting traditional home advantage. Weather and pitch expected to be neutral with no major disruptions.
New England has slightly more motivation to improve standings and secure playoff spots, while Atlanta has shown less consistency and lower motivational impetus at this stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	107	New England Revolution	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	New England Revolution -0.5 102	New England Revolution -0.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Under 3.5 -169	Under 3.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	New England Revolution 14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New England Revolution at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New England Revolution moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Charlotte FC vs. CF Montreal Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 11:30 PM UTC
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC, USA

Game Overview

Charlotte FC hosts CF Montreal in an MLS clash with Charlotte strongly favored at home. Charlotte sits 3rd in the league in good recent form while CF Montreal ranks 15th and struggles on the road. The clubs have mixed head-to-head history, but recent form and home advantage heavily favor Charlotte.

Key Factors to Consider

Charlotte FC won their last 5 matches and averages 1.6 points per match in recent meetings, with a strong defense conceding only about 0.6 goals per game. CF Montreal is winless in recent matches and has struggled away, ranking low in MLS standings.
Across recent encounters, Charlotte FC has 2 wins, CF Montreal 4 wins, and 1 draw. Despite Montreal's superior H2H wins, Charlotte holds home advantage and superior current form.
Charlotte FC will miss Harry Toffolo and Souleyman Doumbia due to injury. CF Montreal's Giacomo Vrioni is unavailable. Charlotte's injuries have less impact on key attacking players compared to Montreal.
Match played at Charlotte's home stadium favors them with strong crowd support. The fixture timing is neutral with no extraordinary external disruptions.
Charlotte FC is motivated to solidify playoff positioning with strong home form, whereas CF Montreal, struggling in the table, is under pressure but currently without momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -169, away: 390, draw: 340	Charlotte FC	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Charlotte FC -0.5: -175, CF Montreal +50: 131	Charlotte FC -0.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	over 3.5: 122, under 3.5: -164	Under 3.5 goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Charlotte FC 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charlotte FC to win outright on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-0

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Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Toronto FC vs Inter Miami CF – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-27
Time: 8:30 PM UTC
Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON, Canada

Game Overview

Inter Miami CF enters this MLS clash as the stronger side with a 15-7-6 record compared to Toronto FC's 5-12-13. Toronto has struggled offensively and defensively with a -7 goal differential and low expected goals, while Inter Miami has a +14 goal differential and superior recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

Toronto FC ranks near the bottom of the MLS with poor offensive output (28.5 xG) and defensive vulnerabilities (42.1 xGA), while Inter Miami has more balanced stats and has won their last two matches.
Inter Miami holds a higher table position (8th vs 26th for Toronto) and a positive goal differential (+14 vs -7), suggesting a historical performance edge.
Toronto FC may miss key midfielder Henry Wingo for the rest of the season. No significant injuries were reported for Inter Miami.
Game is played at Toronto FC's home ground, BMO Field, which may provide some home advantage; however, the venue is neutral for Inter Miami given the prior game location was Charlotte, NC.
Inter Miami is pushing for better playoff positioning, likely increasing motivation, whereas Toronto FC’s poor season record suggests lower competitive drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +222, draw: +310, away: -102	away	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home +50: -127, away -0.5: -104	away -0.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over 3.5: +120, under 3.5: -161	under 3.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Inter Miami CF 146%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Inter Miami CF at 146% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Inter Miami CF to win on the moneyline, Inter Miami -0.5 on the spread, and Under 3.5 goals overall.

Predicted Score: Inter Miami CF 2 – 1 Toronto FC

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Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-25
Time: 2:30 AM UTC
Location: BC Place, Vancouver, Canada

Game Overview

Vancouver Whitecaps FC host Portland Timbers in an MLS clash where Vancouver is favored due to home advantage, stronger recent form, and offensive efficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

Vancouver Whitecaps have strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring 54 goals and conceding 31 this season. Portland Timbers show weaker defensive performance.
Recent matchups favor Vancouver, who have shown offensive dominance and resilience against Portland. Statistical models predict a 3-1 victory for Vancouver.
No significant injuries reported that would weaken Vancouver’s starting lineup; Portland's defense remains vulnerable.
Match played at Vancouver’s home ground, BC Place, with favorable conditions. No adverse weather or travel fatigue noted.
Vancouver is motivated to secure a strong finish in the season playoff chase, while Portland has less at stake.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vancouver Whitecaps FC: -159, Portland Timbers: +370, Draw: +330	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Vancouver Whitecaps FC -0.5 (-164), Portland Timbers +50 (+123)	Vancouver Whitecaps FC -0.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 3.5 +133, Under 3.5 -179	Under 3.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Vancouver Whitecaps FC -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps FC to win outright the match, with total goals under 3.5.

Predicted Score: 3-1

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New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-24
Time: 11:30 PM UTC
Location: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, USA

Game Overview

New York City FC hosts Inter Miami CF in a tightly contested MLS matchup with NYCFC slightly favored due to home advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

NYCFC holds 53 points from 30 games and is unbeaten in 7 meetings versus Inter Miami (3W, 4D). They have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches but have not kept a clean sheet in 12 games. Inter Miami has 49 points in 27 games with a middling recent record.
NYCFC is undefeated in the last 7 meetings against Inter Miami CF (3 wins, 4 draws), showing psychological edge and tactical matchup advantage.
NYCFC is missing Keaton Parks, Malachi Jones, and Nico Cavallo due to injuries. Inter Miami is without Telasco Segovia (suspension), Allen Obando, David Ruiz, and Fabrice Picault due to injuries, which significantly impacts their lineup depth.
The match at Citi Field provides NYCFC home advantage which has been strong (11-0-4 home record). Inter Miami performs less consistently away (6-4-4). Weather and travel do not appear to markedly affect either side.
NYCFC is motivated to secure a higher playoff seeding with more points after recent mixed results. Inter Miami needs points to maintain playoff position but has a slightly lower urgency and more squad disruptions.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	124	New York City FC	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	119	New York City FC -0.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	-156	Under 3.5 goals	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	New York City FC 28%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New York City FC at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-09-22
Time: 1:00 AM UTC
Location: Banc of California Stadium

Game Overview

Los Angeles FC, a top-table MLS team with strong home form, faces Real Salt Lake, who struggle on the road and sit mid-table. LAFC typically scores frequently at home but concedes as well, while Real Salt Lake is underdog and less consistent away.

Key Factors to Consider

LAFC is strong at home with recent positive form (W-W-L-D-W-D), while Real Salt Lake shows inconsistency on the road (L-W-L-L-L-W). LAFC averages about 3.2 goals per game in H2H matches.
In 20 matches, LAFC dominates with 14 wins vs 5 for RSL and 1 draw. Recent match was a 4-1 away win for LAFC. Average goals per match in past are 3.2 indicating attacking matches.
No significant injuries reported that would drastically weaken either side ahead of this match.
Match at LAFC’s stadium, home advantage significant for LAFC. No adverse weather or scheduling factors impacting.
LAFC aims to consolidate top table position; RSL looks to escape mid-table standing. LAFC has stronger incentive and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Los Angeles FC: -212, Real Salt Lake: +490, Draw: +370	Los Angeles FC	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Los Angeles FC -1.5: +118, Real Salt Lake +1.5: -159	Los Angeles FC -1.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 3.5: +129, Under 3.5: -172	Over 3.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Los Angeles FC 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.5 42%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles FC to win on the moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, and the match to go over 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1

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