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Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX

Game Overview

Houston Dynamo host Portland Timbers in an MLS matchup with Houston favored slightly on home advantage but both teams have shown mixed results this season. The expected goals and defensive metrics suggest a closely contested low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Houston Dynamo have a negative goal difference (-10), have conceded 49 goals and score modestly with 39 goals. Portland Timbers hold a better record (11-9-9) compared to Houston (8-9-13) and are more balanced offensively and defensively.
  • Recent meetings have been tight with a slight edge to Portland in away fixtures, but Houston's home form offers some counterbalance.
  • No critical injuries reported that would drastically affect starting lineups for either side.
  • Match played at Houston's home ground, Shell Energy Stadium, which offers some advantage to the Dynamo.
  • Both teams are mid-table and looking to improve standings for playoff contention; Houston slightly more motivated to leverage home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -102, away: +246, draw: +275 Houston Dynamo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -106, away: -125 Houston Dynamo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over: -141, under: +107 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Dynamo 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Houston Dynamo win; Spread: Houston Dynamo -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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FC Dallas vs. Colorado Rapids Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, TX

Game Overview

FC Dallas hosts Colorado Rapids in a closely contested MLS matchup with both teams struggling defensively and positioned in the lower third of the table. Dallas shows a slight edge at home but injuries and form create uncertainty.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Dallas holds a record of 8-10-11 with 42 goals scored and 48 conceded, a negative goal differential (-6) and a low expected goals of 39.3, reflecting underperformance in attack. Colorado Rapids stand at 11-6-13 with 41 goals scored similarly negative goal differential (-9), but slightly better defensive record with 41 goals conceded. Both teams have a similar shutout rate (~20%).
  • Historically, matches between these two sides have been competitive with no overwhelming dominance. Recent H2H records suggest a balance, increasing the likelihood of a closely fought game possibly resulting in a draw or narrow win.
  • No major reported injuries affect starting goalkeepers or key players for both teams. Both Jacob Jackson (Dallas) and Zack Steffen (Colorado) are expected to start, maintaining standard defensive stability.
  • The match is at FC Dallas’ home stadium, which marginally benefits Dallas. Weather or other external conditions were not noted as significant factors.
  • Colorado Rapids, sitting higher in the table, have stronger motivation to gain points to improve playoff positioning. FC Dallas is battling to climb out of the lower positions, adding competitive edge at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Dallas: 115, Colorado Rapids: 195, Draw: 290 FC Dallas ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread FC Dallas -0.5: 111, Colorado Rapids +50: -149 FC Dallas -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: 125, Under 3.5: -167 Under 3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Dallas 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Dallas at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: FC Dallas win; Spread: FC Dallas -0.5; Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Minnesota United FC vs. Chicago Fire Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Minnesota United FC vs Chicago Fire – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN

Game Overview

Minnesota United FC hosts Chicago Fire in a competitive MLS matchup where Minnesota holds a slight home advantage and stronger recent defensive and offensive stats. Chicago Fire however has shown solid away performances and goal-scoring ability recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Minnesota United FC has a better defensive record allowing approximately 1.1 goals per game with 9 clean sheets this season, scoring a total of 51 goals (avg ~1.8 pts per match). Chicago Fire has a decent away record but slightly weaker defensively, conceding more goals.
  • Recent matches show a competitive balance but Minnesota United FC has had an edge playing at home, winning most recent encounters and maintaining a higher clean sheet rate.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side that significantly impact lineup or formations; both expected to field near full-strength squads.
  • Home field advantage is significant at Allianz Field with Minnesota’s strong fan support. Weather is typical for the region and should not disrupt play.
  • Minnesota United FC motivated to solidify playoff positioning; Chicago Fire seeks to reverse recent away losses and gain ground in standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Minnesota United FC: -101, Chicago Fire: +234, Draw: +285 Minnesota United FC ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Minnesota United FC -0.5: -105, Chicago Fire +50: -127 Minnesota United FC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3.5: +129, Under 3.5: -172 Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota United FC 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota United FC to win on the moneyline, Minnesota United FC to cover the -0.5 spread, and over 3.5 goals scored total.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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CF Montreal vs. New York Red Bulls Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

CF Montreal hosts New York Red Bulls in an MLS matchup where the Red Bulls are slightly favored on the moneyline despite Montreal's home advantage. Both teams have moderate recent form with a history of tight matches and balanced scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • CF Montreal has struggled defensively this season with 53 goals conceded and a goal differential of -24, while New York Red Bulls show slightly better offensive output (1.59 goals per game) and a tighter defense. Montreal's lower points per game (0.80) vs Red Bulls' steadier form is notable.
  • Recent meetings have been close including two 2-2 draws over the last year and a narrow 2-1 Red Bulls win. Results suggest a competitive matchup with no dominance by either side.
  • No significant injury news from the sources; starting goalkeepers Jonathan Sirois (Montreal) and Carlos Coronel (Red Bulls) expected to play.
  • Match played at Montreals’ Stade Saputo, which may offer home advantage. Weather or other conditions not indicated as impactful.
  • Red Bulls are motivated to secure points away to strengthen their playoff positioning. Montreal, struggling in the table, will push to gain home points but with less momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Montreal: 190, New York Red Bulls: 130, Draw: 255 New York Red Bulls ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread CF Montreal +50: -167, New York Red Bulls -0.5: 125 New York Red Bulls -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -139, Under 2.5: 105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Red Bulls 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Red Bulls at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Red Bulls moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Columbus Crew SC vs. Toronto FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Columbus Crew SC vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Lower.com Field, Columbus, OH, USA

Game Overview

Columbus Crew SC hosts Toronto FC in an MLS regular-season match where Columbus is the stronger side both historically and currently, with a solid goal differential and better league position. Toronto FC is struggling this season with a poor record and lower offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Columbus Crew SC holds a 13-10-6 record with 49 points, scoring 48 goals and conceding 43. They average 1.48 goals conceded per 90 minutes. Toronto FC has a poorer record of 5-11-13 with 26 points and less potency on offense.
  • Columbus Crew has consistently dominated recent matchups, winning the majority of the season encounters. The home advantage at Lower.com Field further favors Columbus.
  • There are no significant injuries reported for Columbus Crew SC. Toronto FC's key players are available but their overall quality and impact remain below Columbus's lineup.
  • Playing at home at Lower.com Field benefits Columbus greatly, with familiar conditions and local support. There are no significant external disruptions reported.
  • Columbus Crew SC is motivated to secure points to solidify playoff positioning, while Toronto FC has less motivation given their position far down the league table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC -192, Toronto FC +450, Draw +350 Columbus Crew SC ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Columbus Crew SC -1.5 +130, Toronto FC +1.5 -175 Columbus Crew SC -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 -179, Under 2.5 +134 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 40%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Columbus Crew SC to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread and match ends under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Inter Miami CF vs. D.C. United Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, USA

Game Overview

Inter Miami CF faces D.C. United in a crucial MLS Eastern Conference match with Miami pushing for top place while DC United are out of playoff contention.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Inter Miami currently ranks 5th and has strong recent home form including a commanding 3-1 win over Seattle, featuring key players like Messi and Alba. DC United ranks 14th with poor recent away form and limited motivation as they are already out of MLS Cup contention.
  • Inter Miami won the previous home match this season. Last season saw competitive matches but Miami has the edge in recent H2H statistics and form.
  • No significant injuries reported for Inter Miami's main starters. No specific injury updates for DC United available.
  • Game played at Inter Miami’s home venue, Chase Stadium, giving Miami the home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for Florida in late September—no adverse conditions reported.
  • Inter Miami is highly motivated to secure a top spot in the conference and continue strong performances. DC United are primarily focused on evaluating next season’s squad, lowering their competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Inter Miami CF: -300, D.C. United: 650, Draw: 460 Inter Miami CF ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Inter Miami CF -1.5: -115, D.C. United +1.5: -115 Inter Miami CF -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.5: 111, Under 3.5: -149 Under 3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Inter Miami CF -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Inter Miami CF to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Exploria Stadium, Orlando, USA

Game Overview

Orlando City SC hosts Nashville SC in an MLS clash with both teams in playoff contention, Orlando positioned 6th and Nashville 4th. Orlando struggles at home with recent mixed results, while Nashville brings strong momentum from a recent cup final berth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Orlando City has struggled recently with 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 3 matches, including a heavy 5-1 defeat away at Nashville earlier this season. Nashville SC is in good form, coming off a 3-1 win to reach the US Open Cup final, showing solid attack and defensive qualities.
  • Nashville dominates recent head-to-head with a 5-1 win in their last meeting. Historically, Nashville holds a psychological edge in matchups, especially away at Orlando.
  • No significant injuries reported for key players on either side; both squads appear near full strength.
  • Orlando is playing at home but under pressure due to recent poor results; weather and pitch conditions expected typical for late September in Florida, unlikely to impact play.
  • Nashville is highly motivated to continue their strong form leading to a US Open Cup final, while Orlando needs points to solidify playoff position—both teams have high stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +110, away: +210, draw: +285 Away (Nashville SC) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread home_minus_50: +107, away_plus_50: -141 Away +0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.5: -175, under_2.5: +130 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nashville SC 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nashville SC at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nashville SC to win on the moneyline.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Atlanta United FC vs. San Diego FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlanta United FC vs San Diego FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Game Overview

San Diego FC (17-5-8) visits Atlanta United FC (5-11-13) in an MLS matchup. San Diego has been in strong form with multiple wins recently, while Atlanta has struggled and ranks near the bottom in defensive metrics. Despite similar bookmaker odds, recent form and statistics favor San Diego.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Diego FC boasts a strong 17-5-8 record and is on a positive run with multiple recent wins, while Atlanta United has a poor 5-11-13 record and is ranked low in xG and defensive stats, conceding 54 goals with only 4 clean sheets.
  • Limited detailed historical H2H available; however, San Diego FC's superior season record and recent performances suggest dominance over Atlanta United.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting key positions or starters including goalkeepers Jayden Hibbert (Atlanta) and C.J. dos Santos (San Diego).
  • Match is played at Atlanta's Mercedes-Benz Stadium, providing home advantage to Atlanta but so far their form at home has been inconsistent; San Diego’s strong away resilience noted.
  • San Diego FC motivated to secure playoff position with strong midseason form; Atlanta United fighting to improve standing and avoid further slide, but motivation weighed in favor of San Diego due to standings and form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta United FC: 150, San Diego FC: 156, Draw: 270 San Diego FC ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Atlanta United FC -0.5: 142, San Diego FC +50: -192 San Diego FC +0.5 ★★★★☆ 73%
Over/under Over 2.5: -179, Under 2.5: 133 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Diego FC 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego FC to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and the match to go under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: San Diego FC 1 – 0 Atlanta United FC


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Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA, USA

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union, currently top of the MLS standings with strong recent form, face New England Revolution, positioned in the lower half of the table. Philadelphia are favorites playing at home with strong defensive and offensive stats, while New England struggle away and have key absences affecting their lineup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union have won 17 of 30 matches with a +16 goal difference, showing consistent strength; New England Revolution have 8 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with a -5 goal difference, indicating struggles especially on the road.
  • Recent H2H favors Philadelphia with them winning the majority of encounters, including this season's matchups. Historical data supports Philadelphia dominance.
  • No major absences reported for Philadelphia; New England have some key players sidelined reducing attacking options and midfield stability.
  • Philadelphia benefit from playing at home in familiar conditions at Subaru Park, which historically boosts their performance; no significant external disruptions noted.
  • Philadelphia Union are pushing for top playoff positioning motivating strong performance; New England Revolution have minimal playoff chances, potentially less motivated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Union: -190, New England Revolution: 450, Draw: 350 Philadelphia Union ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Philadelphia Union -1.5: 130, New England Revolution +1.5: -172 Philadelphia Union -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: 132, Under 3.5: -175 Under 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win outright on moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, and under 3.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 2-0


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New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Charlotte FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Yankee Stadium

Game Overview

A high-stakes MLS Eastern Conference clash between in-form Charlotte FC and resilient New York City FC, both contending for top playoff positioning with Charlotte currently leading in momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Charlotte FC is on a historic 9-game winning streak, their best run ever, having scored 51 goals this season, showing superior offensive power. New York City FC have lost just once in their last eight games, indicating strong form and resilience at home.
  • Out of seven prior meetings, Charlotte FC leads with five wins including a recent 2-1 victory in April 2024 at Yankee Stadium. This suggests Charlotte's tactical edge over New York City FC.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting key players, allowing both squads close to full strength.
  • Playing at home provides New York City FC a slight venue advantage, but Charlotte's confidence and recent form mitigate this. Both teams' motivation is high due to playoff implications.
  • Both teams are highly motivated; Charlotte aims to extend their winning streak and consolidate a top-four spot, while New York City FC seek to capitalize on home games and close the points gap with matches in hand.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charlotte FC: 265, New York City FC: -104, Draw: 260 Charlotte FC ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Charlotte FC +50: -122, New York City FC -0.5: -109 Charlotte FC +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -149, Under 2.5: 113 Over 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Charlotte FC 83%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Charlotte FC at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charlotte FC to win

Predicted Score: New York City FC 1 – 2 Charlotte FC


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