Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium
Game Overview
The New England Revolution host Chicago Fire in the regular season MLS match at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff set for 6:00 PM local time. Chicago Fire currently lead the standings with 52 points (15-7-11), while New England are mid-table with 35 points (9-8-16). Chicago Fire have shown strong offensive and defensive form, while New England have struggled in consistency but benefit from home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Fire have a superior season record and higher points total, indicating stronger overall performance. Key contributors include H. Cuypers (17 goals) and P. Zinckernagel (14 goals, 15 assists). New England rely on midfield creativity with C. Gil contributing 10 goals and 13 assists but lack a prolific striker at the moment.
- Recent head-to-head results have been competitive but favor Chicago Fire due to their stronger squad form and tactical discipline. New England tend to struggle scoring multiple goals against Chicago's organized defense.
- No major injury reports currently available affecting first-team selections for either side ahead of the match.
- The match marks 90's Night at Gillette Stadium with fan engagement activities likely boosting New England’s home morale. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard with no reported issues.
- Chicago Fire aim to solidify playoff positioning with a win against a lower-ranked opponent. New England need points at home to improve their standing and maintain support from fans in their season finale.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Fire: 1.25, New England Revolution: 1.8, Draw: 2.9 | Chicago Fire to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Chicago Fire -0.5: 1.19, New England Revolution +50: 1.59 | Chicago Fire to cover -0.5 spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: 1.04, Under 3.5: 1.37 | Under 3.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Fire 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Chicago Fire's superior form, squad depth, and attacking potency, they are slightly favored to win away. New England’s home advantage and motivation could result in a closely contested match potentially ending in a draw or narrow Chicago win.
Predicted Score: Chicago Fire 2 – 1 New England Revolution