Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-14
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Saputo Stadium, Montreal, Canada
Game Overview
CF MontrΓ©al, currently 15th in the MLS standings with a poor start (0-2-4, 2 PTS), hosts the high-flying Columbus Crew SC, sitting 2nd/3rd (3-3-0, 12 PTS). Columbus boasts a significantly stronger attack and defense, with 18 goals scored to MontrΓ©alβs 5, and a tighter backline allowing only 10 goals vs. MontrΓ©alβs 16. This is shaping up to be a clash between a struggling home side and a top-tier away team on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus Crew SC is in top form, ranking near the top of the league with a robust offense (18 GF) and a solid defense (10 GA). CF MontrΓ©al, on the other hand, is among the leagueβs weakest, with just 5 goals scored and 16 conceded. Columbus has also managed more shots on goal (50 vs. 34 for MontrΓ©al) and more clean sheets (3 vs. 2).
- There is limited recent head-to-head data for the 2025 season, but Columbus has historically held an edge in quality and results over the last few seasons. MontrΓ©al and Crew have met once this season, but the result is not specified in available data.
- No major injury reports available for either team. Lineups not fully disclosed as of now.
- Match is at Saputo Stadium in Montreal. Weather is expected to be mild (around 66Β°F), with low chance of weather-related disruptions. No major external factors reported.
- Columbus Crew SC is motivated to maintain their position near the top of the table, while CF MontrΓ©al is desperate for points to climb out of the lower ranks.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CF Montreal: 215, Columbus Crew SC: 120, Draw: 260 | Columbus Crew SC | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | CF Montreal: 25 -110, Columbus Crew SC: -0.25 -110 | Columbus Crew SC -0.25 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -118, Under: 2.5 -102 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC 17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Columbus Crew SC at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew SC is favored to win based on superior team form, attacking output, and defensive solidity. CF MontrΓ©alβs struggles at home and poor offensive output make it hard to see an upset.
Predicted Score: 1-3