St. Louis City SC hosts Real Salt Lake in an MLS matchup. St. Louis City looks to build on recent form, while Real Salt Lake seeks to improve its away record.
Key Factors to Consider
St. Louis City recently won 3-1 against Austin FC, showing form. Real Salt Lake has lost four consecutive away games.
Real Salt Lake has not lost in five matches against St. Louis City, winning some with high goal counts.
No significant injury reports available for either team.
Home advantage could boost St. Louis City, but Real Salt Lake's recent dominance in H2H matches is significant.
Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but St. Louis City's recent success may give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Real Salt Lake +166, St. Louis City SC +134, Draw +290
St. Louis City SC
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
St. Louis City SC -0.5 +128, Real Salt Lake +50 -169
St. Louis City SC -0.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 3.5 +105, Under 3.5 -139
Under 3.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis City SC 40%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: St. Louis City SC at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Location: Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, CA
Game Overview
This matchup features two teams with contrasting seasons, as Minnesota United FC competes for a strong league position, while LA Galaxy seeks to close out their campaign positively.
Key Factors to Consider
Minnesota United FC has a strong performance record this season, placing 7th with 58 points, while LA Galaxy has struggled at 28th with 27 points.
Head-to-head statistics are not deeply detailed but historically, Minnesota tends to have an edge against LA Galaxy.
Injury reports are not explicitly mentioned but could impact team dynamics.
Weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game but are not specified.
Minnesota United FC is highly motivated to secure more points, while LA Galaxy could be driven by ending their season on a high note.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
LA Galaxy: 158, Minnesota United FC: 150, Draw: 265
Minnesota United FC
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
LA Galaxy: 50 -192, Minnesota United FC: -0.5 142
Minnesota United FC -0.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 3.5: 125, Under 3.5: -167
Under 3.5
★★★☆☆ 57%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Minnesota United FC 58%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 -6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Minnesota United FC at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota United FC has a higher probability of winning based on form and standings.
Predicted Score: 1-2, favoring Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes host Austin FC in the closing match of the MLS regular season. San Jose enters as slight favorites at home, supported by better recent form and Austin's injury absences. The match is expected to be competitive but with a moderate chance for goals.
Key Factors to Consider
San Jose Earthquakes have shown more consistent results at home, recently trending positively. Austin FC have struggled offensively due to key absences and mixed recent form.
Recent meetings between these teams have been tightly contested with few clear dominant trends, but San Jose has an edge in home encounters.
Austin FC will miss key forwards Diego Rubio (hamstring) and Brandon Vazquez (knee) and have Osman Bukari questionable, which limits their attacking options. San Jose has no major absences reported.
Match played under typical conditions with no unusual environmental factors. The season finale nature may influence motivation differently for both sides.
San Jose Earthquakes motivated to secure a strong finish at home and potentially improve playoff positioning. Austin FC may be limited in motivation due to squad constraints and season status.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Jose Earthquakes: -115, Draw: 300, Austin FC: 265
San Jose Earthquakes
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
San Jose Earthquakes -0.5: -120, Austin FC +50: -110
San Jose Earthquakes -0.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 3.5: 116, Under 3.5: -154
Under 3.5
★★★☆☆ 59%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Jose Earthquakes 7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 -3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: San Jose Earthquakes at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose Earthquakes to win on the moneyline, covering a -0.5 spread, with the match under 3.5 goals.
FC Cincinnati hosts CF Montreal in a late-season MLS clash. Cincinnati has a strong home record and a significantly better season showing, while Montreal is struggling near the bottom of the table.
Key Factors to Consider
FC Cincinnati is 19-9-5 with 62 points, showing solid form and offensive strength, especially at home. CF Montreal is 6-10-17 with only 28 points, displaying poor form and defensive vulnerabilities.
Recent matchups favor FC Cincinnati, with Montreal rarely winning and often conceding multiple goals against Cincinnati.
No major injuries reported for either side impacting key players. Both squads appear at near full strength.
Stable conditions expected; Cincinnati plays at home with strong fan support and no travel fatigue.
Cincinnati pushes for playoff seeding and momentum, while Montreal's motivation is low due to poor season performance and slim playoff chances.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
CF Montreal: 400, FC Cincinnati: -182, Draw: 360
FC Cincinnati
★★★★☆ 80%
Spread
CF Montreal +1.5: -175, FC Cincinnati -1.5: 132
FC Cincinnati -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 3.5: 109, Under 3.5: -145
Under 3.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Cincinnati 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: FC Cincinnati win; Spread: FC Cincinnati -1.5; Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals
Columbus Crew SC hosts New York Red Bulls in an MLS matchup. Columbus has seen mixed results recently, while New York has struggled with back-to-back losses. Columbus tends to perform well at home but often concedes goals.
Key Factors to Consider
Columbus Crew has shown strong home performances but has struggled to keep clean sheets. New York Red Bulls are looking to bounce back from consecutive defeats.
Recent meetings have been closely contested, with the teams drawing in their last encounter.
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Weather and field conditions do not appear to be a factor.
Columbus needs points to solidify their position, while New York has little to play for in terms of postseason chances.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-178 for Columbus, +420 for NY Red Bulls, +340 for Draw
Columbus Crew SC
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
-0.5 -182 for Columbus, +50 136 for NY Red Bulls
Columbus Crew SC -0.5
★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under
Over 3.5 +130, Under 3.5 -175
Under 3.5
★★★☆☆ 59%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Columbus Crew SC -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew SC is likely to win but may not keep a clean sheet.
Toronto FC, ranked low this season with 5 wins and a -9 goal difference, face Orlando City SC, a stronger side positioned higher with 14 wins, but currently struggling with three games without a win and recent away form issues.
Key Factors to Consider
Orlando City averages 1.6 points per match with a solid defensive record including a 24.2% clean sheet rate, while Toronto FC struggles offensively and defensively, conceding 42 goals and ranking 30th in expected goals differential.
Orlando City has dominated recent meetings, winning 6 of the last 7 against Toronto FC, extending Toronto's MLS winless streak against them to 10 games; however, Toronto broke a long winless run with a win in April 2024.
No key injury information available for either side, but Orlando’s regular starting goalkeeper Pedro Gallese is expected to start versus Toronto’s Sean Johnson.
Orlando has struggled on the road with no wins in their last three away matches, while Toronto, playing at home, may leverage home-field advantage despite poor form.
Both teams face pressure: Toronto to end their season-long slump and Orlando to halt their recent poor run; this implies a competitive match where both sides have incentive to avoid defeat.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Orlando City SC: -107, Toronto FC: 250, Draw: 290
Draw
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Orlando City SC -0.5: -111, Toronto FC +50: -119
Toronto FC +0.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -172, Under 2.5: 128
Under 2.5 goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Orlando City SC 56%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 48%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Orlando City SC at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)
The 2025 MLS showdown between New England Revolution and Chicago Fire pits an inconsistent Revs side against a more in-form Fire team. Chicago brings offensive momentum into the match, but New England's home field advantage and high-scoring offense could keep them competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
New England Revolution have struggled for consistency, winning just 3 of their last 10 matches and conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game at home, despite scoring 2.9 per match[3]. Chicago Fire have won 6 of their last 10, averaging 4 goals per game overall and 1.8 per away match, demonstrating strong recent form and attacking prowess[3].
The teams have met 42 times (15 home wins, 14 away, 13 draws). The last meeting ended 3-2 to Chicago at home, with a slight possession edge and similar statistical output[2]. The historical goal averages suggest a 2.9-goal-per-match environment, with both halves typically producing goals[2].
No major injury updates available in the sources. Teams are assumed to field their regular starters for this matchup.
No weather or venue complications noted. New England will benefit from home support, but Chicago's form may neutralize this edge.
Chicago Fire are pushing for a higher-placed finish and have momentum. New England Revolution, while not in peak form, can still secure home-field value for their fans.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
CHI 125, NE 180, Draw 290
Chicago Fire Win
★★★☆☆ 52%
Spread
CHI -0.5 119, NE +50 -159
New England Revolution +0.5
★★★☆☆ 56%
Over/under
Over 3.5 107, Under 3.5 -143
Over 3.5 Goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago Fire 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.5 28%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Fire are slight favorites due to superior recent form and offensive efficiency, but New England’s home pitch and high-scoring nature should keep the game tight and lively.
Predicted Score: Chicago Fire 2, New England Revolution 2
New York City FC hosts Seattle Sounders FC in a key MLS matchup with playoff implications. NYCFC seeks home-field advantage in the first playoff round, while Seattle is already positioned 5th in the Western Conference and struggling on the road with three consecutive losses.
Key Factors to Consider
NYCFC holds a 17-11-5 record with recent form showing 2 wins in last 5 games, including 4-1 ATS in recent 5 matches. Seattle stands at 14-9-10 with poor away form, losing last 3 away matches.
In previous 7 encounters, Seattle has shown stronger first half performance but NYCFC has a better recent home scoring trend. Overall balance is competitive but recent trends favor NYCFC on home soil.
No critical injuries reported that drastically weaken either side; both teams expected to field strong lineups including NYCFC’s Alonso Martínez and Seattle’s Jordan Morris.
Match played at NYCFC’s home stadium with strong fan support and favorable conditions. Travel fatigue may slightly impact Seattle due to recent away losses.
NYCFC motivated to secure home-field advantage in playoffs, increasing urgency and intensity. Seattle’s lower playoff pressure might reduce their aggressiveness and focus.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
113
New York City FC
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
New York City FC -0.5 +108
New York City FC -0.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -167
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York City FC 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 34%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Home Moneyline (New York City FC to win) with confidence on favoring goal-scoring from NYCFC and their home advantage.
Charlotte FC hosts Philadelphia Union in a key late-season MLS matchup, with both teams in strong playoff positions and Charlotte looking to secure a top-4 finish, while Philadelphia is already locked in as the #1 seed.
Key Factors to Consider
Charlotte FC is on a 5-0 winning streak, including recent shutouts in 5 of 7 home games. Philadelphia Union is 20-7-6, but may rotate squad ahead of playoffs.
Recent meetings favor Philadelphia, but no recent H2H data is available in the search results. Charlotte’s recent form is notably stronger.
Charlotte’s captain C. Fuchs (DEF) is out indefinitely with a groin/pelvis injury, potentially weakening a strong home defense[1].
Home-field advantage for Charlotte is significant, especially with a playoff spot at stake. No weather or venue concerns reported.
Charlotte is highly motivated to secure top-4 home-field advantage, while Philadelphia may rest players as the #1 seed, impacting their intensity[2].
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Charlotte FC +147 | Draw +275 | Philadelphia Union +159
Charlotte FC
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Charlotte FC -0.5 +139 | Philadelphia Union +50 -189
Charlotte FC -0.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -179 | Under 2.5 +133
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Charlotte FC 14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 35%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC will extend their hot streak, edging a rotated Union side in a tight, low-scoring affair.
Predicted Score: Charlotte FC 1-0 Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC hosts D.C. United in a late-season MLS match between two struggling teams. Both sides are near the bottom of the table with nearly identical dire records—Atlanta has lost three straight, including a 4-0 drubbing at Inter Miami, while D.C. United has also dropped three in a row, most recently falling at home to Charlotte FC 1-0. Neither side has been convincing in attack or defense, as reflected by their low points-per-game ratios and poor goal differentials. This is a classic 'desperation derby' with little playoff relevance, potentially favoring home momentum and individual moments over structured play[2][7].
Key Factors to Consider
Atlanta United FC and D.C. United are among the worst teams in MLS, both on poor runs (three straight losses) and conceding over 1.8 goals per game. D.C. has the marginally better defense (1.88 xGA per 90 vs. Atlanta’s 1.94), but both have been porous all season, allowing at least 1.5 xGA per match. Atlanta averages just 0.82 points per game while D.C. is also near the bottom. Neither attacks: Atlanta has only 27 total points, D.C. 25; both have negative goal differentials above -25. Team news suggests full-strength (predicted) XIs, but morale and confidence are at rock bottom[2][7].
Recent H2H meetings have produced one goalless draw, but historically these are low-scoring, cautious affairs, despite both teams’ defensive woes this season. Neither side has dominated recent matchups or shown a tendency to run up scores (a key reason to bet under goals, despite recent leaks). The last encounter was a 0-0, illustrating how both teams can negate each other[2].
No significant injuries reported for either side—both fielding predicted best XIs with Hibbert (GK, Atlanta) and Farr (GK, D.C.) likely starting[2][7].
Late-season fixture after both sides are eliminated from playoff contention, potentially increasing the risk of a disjointed, uninspired contest. Weather and pitch conditions are standard, no unusual disruptions expected.
Zero. Both teams are eliminated, playing out the string. The only motivation is to avoid further embarrassment, which could produce a cagey, unattractive affair—potentially benefitting defensive or under wagers.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
ATL -121, DCU +275, Draw +310
Atlanta United FC
★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread
ATL -0.5 -125, DCU 50 -105
Atlanta United FC -0.5
★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under
Over 3.5 +121, Under 3.5 -161
Under 3.5
★★★★☆ 77%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta United FC -23%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This is a scrap between two bad teams with nothing to lose except pride. Expect a slow-paced, uninspiring contest with few quality chances, leaning toward an ugly home win by the slightest margin, but with both sides struggling to score and neither defense reliable. The play is on under goals and the home spread[2][7].
Predicted Score: Atlanta United FC 1 – 0 D.C. United
