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Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Game Overview

Atlanta United FC, currently 11th in the MLS, hosts the Philadelphia Union, ranked 3rd, in a regular season clash. The Union recently dominated Atlanta 3-0 on April 19, 2025, with standout performances from Sullivan, Jean Jacques, and Baribo. Both teams are motivated: Atlanta seeks redemption at home, while the Union aims to extend their strong form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union are in excellent form, securing a convincing 3-0 win over Atlanta just weeks ago and ranking among the league's top teams. Atlanta United, by contrast, has struggled for consistency and sits in the lower half of the standings. The Union's defense, led by goalkeeper Andre Blake, has been particularly strong, while Atlanta’s attack has lacked clinical finishing.
  • Recent head-to-head results favor the Union, with Philadelphia winning the last encounter 3-0. Historically, Philadelphia has performed well in this fixture, especially under pressure.
  • No major injury updates are available from current sources for either side. Both teams are likely to field close to full-strength lineups.
  • The match will be played at Atlanta’s home ground, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, which traditionally provides a significant home advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no extreme factors impacting play.
  • Atlanta United is highly motivated to bounce back from a comprehensive defeat and please their home fans. Philadelphia Union, on a strong run and sitting 3rd, will aim to consolidate their position with another victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline atlanta_united_fc: 123, philadelphia_union: 197, draw: 265 Philadelphia Union or Draw High
Spread atlanta_united_fc: -0.5 117, philadelphia_union: 50 -156 Philadelphia Union +0.5 High
Over/under over: 2.5 -152, under: 2.5 113 Over 2.5 Goals Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Atlanta's home advantage, Philadelphia Union's superior form and recent dominance over Atlanta make them the favorites. However, Atlanta's motivation and home crowd could make this closer than the previous meeting. The most likely outcome is a Union win or a draw, with a slight edge to Philadelphia.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union 2-1 Atlanta United FC


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Columbus Crew SC vs. FC Cincinnati Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Columbus Crew SC vs FC Cincinnati – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown

Game Overview

This match between Columbus Crew SC and FC Cincinnati is expected to be closely contested, given their recent performances and head-to-head statistics. Both teams are currently performing well in Major League Soccer, with FC Cincinnati having a strong away record recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Columbus Crew SC has been consistent at home, while FC Cincinnati has shown resilience on the road with three away wins. The head-to-head record favors Columbus slightly, but both teams are evenly matched in terms of current form.
  • Columbus Crew SC has won 7 out of 16 direct matches, FC Cincinnati has won 4, and there have been 5 draws. The average goals scored in direct matches is 3.13.
  • Not specified
  • No significant external factors have been noted that would affect the match outcome.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, given their close standings in the league table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC: -103, FC Cincinnati: 260, Draw: 260 Columbus Crew SC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Columbus Crew SC: -0.5 -106, FC Cincinnati: 50 -123 Columbus Crew SC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -141, Under: 2.5 106 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Columbus Crew SC is slightly favored to win due to their home advantage, but the match is expected to be competitive with a high likelihood of goals being scored.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Columbus Crew SC


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New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Yankee Stadium, New York

Game Overview

The match between New York City FC (NYCFC) and New York Red Bulls (RBNY) scheduled on May 17, 2025, represents a key MLS Eastern Conference clash known as the Hudson River Derby. Both teams have a strong rivalry, and this fixture often influences playoff positioning and local bragging rights. NYCFC plays at home in the iconic Yankee Stadium, which historically provides them solid home advantage. This game is expected to be closely contested given the reputation and style of play of both teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New York City FC generally performs well at home with a solid record, including a strong start in their 2025 season with notable wins at Yankee Stadium. New York Red Bulls have shown resilience on the road but typically struggle to secure wins against NYCFC in derby matches. Recent form indicates NYCFC's ability to control possession and create scoring opportunities, while Red Bulls rely on quick counter-attacks.
  • The Hudson River Derby is historically competitive with NYCFC holding a slight edge at home. Previous meetings have been tight affairs, with few large-margin victories. Both teams have traded wins with NYCFC having a better recent home record against Red Bulls.
  • Current injury information is limited, but no major squad absences have been reported for either side close to the match date. Both squads are expected to field near full-strength lineups, which suggests a high-intensity game with no significant weakening.
  • Playing at Yankee Stadium gives NYCFC a distinct home advantage with strong fan support. Weather conditions in New York during mid-May are typically mild, favoring technical play. There are no reported disruptions or external issues affecting either team's preparations.
  • Both teams have strong motivation: NYCFC to consolidate their home form and climb the standings, and Red Bulls to claim an upset in a rival’s stadium to boost playoff chances. The rivalry itself fuels high competitive spirit and intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York City FC: 115, New York Red Bulls: 218, Draw: 255 New York City FC win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread New York City FC -0.5: 110, New York Red Bulls +50: -145 New York City FC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%
Over/under Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -106 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York City FC 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC is favored to win this match narrowly due to their home advantage, recent form, and the psychological edge in the Hudson River Derby. The game is expected to be competitive with a tight scoreline.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Seattle Sounders FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Banc of California Stadium

Game Overview

Los Angeles FC hosts Seattle Sounders FC in a crucial MLS match. Los Angeles FC has a strong home record, while Seattle Sounders are in good form overall. The match is expected to be competitive with a high chance of goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Los Angeles FC averages 1.43 goals per match, while Seattle Sounders average 2.05 goals per match. Seattle has been performing well in away games, scoring frequently.
  • Los Angeles FC has won 12 out of 23 matches against Seattle Sounders, with Seattle winning 7 and 4 draws. On average, both teams score 2.70 goals per match.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for soccer. The home crowd advantage may slightly favor Los Angeles FC.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win, as it would significantly impact their standings in the MLS.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles FC: 130, Seattle Sounders FC: 215, Draw: 235 Los Angeles FC to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Los Angeles FC: -0.25 -102, Seattle Sounders FC: 25 -118 Los Angeles FC to cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -105, Under: 2.5 -115 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles FC -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles FC is expected to win or draw due to their strong home record and competitive head-to-head stats with Seattle Sounders FC.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Los Angeles FC


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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Inter Miami CF Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Inter Miami CF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 15, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Earthquakes Stadium, San Jose, USA

Game Overview

The upcoming MLS match between San Jose Earthquakes and Inter Miami CF presents an intriguing matchup. San Jose ranks 7th in the league, while Inter Miami holds the 4th position. Both teams are closely matched, with similar odds for the win, indicating a competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown strong performances this season, with Inter Miami maintaining a higher ranking. San Jose, however, has the home advantage which could play a significant role.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not fully available, but historically, these teams have had competitive matches.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but maintaining a healthy squad will be crucial for both teams.
  • The late-night kickoff might affect the energy levels of the teams, but both are professional enough to handle it.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure three points, but Inter Miami's current form might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Inter Miami CF: 155, San Jose: 155, Draw: 280 Inter Miami CF β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Inter Miami CF: 0 -112, San Jose: 0 -108 Inter Miami CF β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 3.25 -102, Under: 3.25 -118 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Inter Miami CF 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the close odds and competitive nature of the match, a draw is a plausible outcome, but Inter Miami's recent form suggests they might have a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-1 or 2-1 in favor of Inter Miami CF


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San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: San Diego FC vs Colorado Rapids – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 15, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, USA

Game Overview

This MLS match features San Diego FC hosting Colorado Rapids. San Diego FC, currently favored, looks to assert its dominance at home, while Colorado Rapids seeks an away win to bolster its standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Diego FC has been performing well, with strong home games, while Colorado Rapids has shown resilience in recent matches.
  • In their most recent head-to-head, the Rapids won 3-2 against San Diego FC, indicating a competitive rivalry.
  • No significant injury reports are available that would significantly impact this match.
  • Home field advantage could favor San Diego, but Colorado's recent form suggests they can compete.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb the MLS standings, with San Diego seeking to maintain a strong home record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Diego FC: -140, Colorado Rapids: 330, Draw: 330 San Diego FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread San Diego FC: -0.75 -112, Colorado Rapids: 75 -108 San Diego FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 Over 3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Diego FC -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given San Diego's strong home performance and current odds, they are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: San Diego FC 2, Colorado Rapids 1


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Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy, USA

Game Overview

The MLS regular season match between Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers promises to be a competitive clash with Real Salt Lake sitting 10th and Portland Timbers 4th in the standings. Both teams have shown contrasting defensive records, with Real Salt Lake conceding 17 goals and Portland 19, and neither team keeping a clean sheet so far. The match will be held at Rio Tinto Stadium, giving Real Salt Lake home advantage, but Portland's stronger form in the league adds intrigue to the encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Salt Lake has conceded 17 goals with an xG conceded of 15.2, showing slightly better defensive metrics than Portland, which has conceded 19 goals and an xG conceded of 15. However, Portland has made more interceptions (18 vs 4) and allowed fewer shots against (118 vs 144), suggesting a more proactive defensive approach. Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets so far, indicating defensive vulnerabilities[1].
  • In the previous MLS season, Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers played two matches against each other, with momentum favoring Portland Timbers based on standings and recent form. Historically, the Timbers have been more consistent, currently ranking 4th compared to Real Salt Lake’s 10th place. The matches have been competitive with no clear dominance in recent fixtures[5].
  • Current publicly available data does not specify major injuries for either side, suggesting both teams might field their strongest lineups.
  • Playing at Rio Tinto Stadium provides home advantage for Real Salt Lake, including familiar pitch conditions and fan support. However, Portland’s away performance has been solid this season. Weather and travel fatigue factors appear minimal given the schedule and location.
  • Portland Timbers, positioned higher in the standings, are motivated to consolidate their top 5 status pushing for playoff positioning. Real Salt Lake aims to close the gap and improve their mid-table standing, making this a crucial contest for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Portland Timbers: 250, Real Salt Lake: -105, Draw: 285 Real Salt Lake to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Portland Timbers +50: -120, Real Salt Lake -0.5: 100 Real Salt Lake -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 3: -108, Under 3: -112 Under 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Salt Lake -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Considering Real Salt Lake’s slight home advantage and defensive solidity but Portland Timbers’ higher league standing, better interception stats, and recent form, the match is expected to be close, with a marginal edge to Real Salt Lake at home.

Predicted Score: Real Salt Lake 2 – 1 Portland Timbers


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St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Sporting Kansas City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: CITYPARK, St. Louis, USA

Game Overview

St. Louis City SC hosts Sporting Kansas City in a crucial MLS match. Both teams are looking to improve their standings, with St. Louis currently ranked 13th and Sporting Kansas City ranked 12th. The match promises to be competitive given their recent head-to-head performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Louis City SC has shown strong performances but often struggles to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Sporting Kansas City, following a 2-0 win over St. Louis earlier in the season, will look to build on that momentum.
  • St. Louis City SC has a 3-2-2 record against Sporting Kansas City in their past seven matches but lost the last encounter. This could motivate them to seek revenge.
  • Specific injury reports are not detailed, but both teams should be relatively healthy for this match.
  • Home advantage could play a significant role for St. Louis City SC, potentially boosting their morale and performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with each seeking to gain an advantage in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline St. Louis City SC: 100, Sporting Kansas City: 235, Draw: 295 St. Louis City SC to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread St. Louis City SC: -0.5 +102, Sporting Kansas City: 50 -122 St. Louis City SC to cover -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 3: +102, Under 3: -122 Under 3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St. Louis City SC -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

While St. Louis City SC is favored due to home advantage, Sporting Kansas City's recent win over St. Louis and their ability to score crucial goals could make this match close.

Predicted Score: 1-0 or 2-1 in favor of St. Louis City SC


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Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Home stadium of Houston Dynamo

Game Overview

This MLS match features Houston Dynamo hosting Minnesota United FC. Both teams have shown competitive form this season with Minnesota United currently 5th and Houston Dynamo 27th in MLS standings. Historically, Minnesota United holds a slight advantage in head-to-head battles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Minnesota United is positioned stronger in the league, securing 22 points, while Houston Dynamo has 10 points. Recent form indexes are balanced for this match, and both teams have similar tendencies for matches going over 2.5 goals.
  • Across 22 meetings, Minnesota United leads with 10 wins against Houston Dynamo's 7, with 5 draws. The average goals per match between them is around 2.7, indicating moderately open games. The overall goal difference is close with Minnesota scoring 30 and Houston 29 in these encounters.
  • No specific injury data currently available for either team; assume standard squad availability.
  • Home advantage favors Houston Dynamo. Weather, pitch conditions, and travel fatigue are not noted as significant factors at this time.
  • Minnesota United, higher in the standings, likely motivated to maintain their position, while Houston Dynamo will seek to improve their low ranking with a strong home performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Dynamo: 155, Minnesota United FC: 180, Draw: 235 Minnesota United FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Houston Dynamo: -120 (0 spread), Minnesota United FC: 100 (0 spread) Minnesota United FC +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota United FC 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Minnesota United FC at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota United to win with a close contest expected. The match could see goals exceeding 2.5 given historical averages and team offensive capabilities.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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