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Columbus Crew SC vs. FC Cincinnati Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Columbus Crew SC vs FC Cincinnati – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Lower.com Field, Columbus, USA

Game Overview

This MLS playoff match features Columbus Crew SC hosting FC Cincinnati in a critical encounter. Columbus holds a slight historical edge at home with an average of 1.71 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per home game this season. FC Cincinnati shows resilience away, with a solid away scoring average of 1.47 goals per game but concedes slightly more than Columbus at 1.24 per away match. The recent head-to-head series shows a competitive rivalry, with FC Cincinnati winning the last meeting 1-0 away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Columbus Crew has scored 29 of their 55 total season goals at home, indicating stronger offensive output at Lower.com Field. Defensively, they concede fewer at home compared to FC Cincinnati’s away concessions. FC Cincinnati averages slightly less in goal-scoring away than Columbus does at home but has a solid defense ranking 5th in away goals conceded.
  • In their last 5 meetings, Columbus Crew won once, FC Cincinnati twice, and two matches ended in draws. The last match (Oct 27, 2025) ended 1-0 in favor of FC Cincinnati away. Historically, Columbus has 8 wins against Cincinnati’s 4 in 18 total encounters. Most recent matches tend to have medium scoring totals (2-3 goals common), indicating a moderately open game.
  • FC Cincinnati is missing Ayoub Jabbari, Brad Smith, Lukas Engel, and Matt Miazga due to injuries. Columbus Crew's unavailable players include Mohamed Farsi and Wessam Abou Ali. These absences could impact both defensive solidity and attacking depth, with Cincinnati missing several defensive players.
  • The match is played at Columbus Crew’s home stadium, which tends to boost their performance. Current betting odds indicate a close market but slightly favor Columbus at home. No major weather or travel disruptions reported. The recent playoff intensity and time since last match (6 days) also play into team freshness and strategy adjustment.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Columbus seeking to overturn the recent away defeat and capitalize on home advantage. FC Cincinnati aims to maintain their recent win and progress further in playoffs, despite missing key players. Playoff stakes add pressure to perform tactically and mentally.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC: -117, FC Cincinnati: 280, Draw: 280 Columbus Crew SC win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Columbus Crew SC: -0.5 -115, FC Cincinnati: 50 -105 Columbus Crew -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 3 -122, Under: 3 102 Under 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Columbus Crew is favored to win narrowly at home, with an expectation of a competitive match and moderate scoring. The match likely will feature tactical caution given playoff context but home advantage and recent home form give Columbus a slight edge.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Toyota Stadium

Game Overview

FC Dallas hosts Vancouver Whitecaps FC in the MLS playoffs, with Vancouver seeking to build on their recent form. The match is crucial for both teams as they aim to advance in the competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Dallas has struggled with consistency, while Vancouver Whitecaps have shown strong performances, especially in away games.
  • Historically, FC Dallas has won 13 matches, Vancouver Whitecaps 12, with 9 draws. Recent matches have seen Vancouver perform well against Dallas.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions and home advantage could play a role, but specific details are not available.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to win and advance in the playoffs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Dallas: 240, Vancouver Whitecaps FC: -105, Draw: 285 Vancouver Whitecaps FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread FC Dallas: 50 -115, Vancouver Whitecaps FC: -0.5 -105 Vancouver Whitecaps FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 3.25 -105, Under: 3.25 -115 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vancouver Whitecaps FC -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 -0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps FC is favored due to their recent form and past performances against FC Dallas.

Predicted Score: FC Dallas 1 – 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC


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Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Providence Park

Game Overview

This is Game 2 of the Audi 2025 MLS Cup Playoffs Round One Best-of-3 series. San Diego FC (No. 1 seed) led the regular season, while Portland (No. 8 seed) advanced as an underdog. San Diego won Game 1 at home 2–1, showing early dominance but allowing a Portland counter to keep the match close[1][2]. This match is now a must-win for Portland to avoid elimination, while San Diego can advance with another win[1][7].

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Diego controlled Game 1, scoring first and adding a second before Portland responded. Portland's midfield, led by Diego Chara, remains experienced and disruptive, but their attack has struggled to create chances in recent months, especially against higher seeds[1][2]. San Diego's offense has shown versatility and composure, even at home[1][2].
  • Recent history shows San Diego as dominant in the regular season and in Game 1. Portland's ability to hang in games late has been noted, but they've rarely shown the ability to win such matchups this season[1][2].
  • No major injury reports are available in the provided data. Both teams fielded strong lineups in Game 1, with no notable absences reported[1].
  • Weather should not be a major factor in Portland in early November. The crowd and home-field advantage may boost Portland, but their recent form is a concern[2]. The playoff pressure and the best-of-3 format add urgency for both teams[1][7].
  • Portland faces elimination and will be highly motivated, especially at home. San Diego, however, can close out the series and will not lack motivation, given their regular-season success and Game 1 performance[1][7].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Portland Timbers: 175, San Diego FC: 139, Draw: 255 San Diego FC (or Draw) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Portland Timbers: 0 (108), San Diego FC: 0 (-128) San Diego FC 0 (covers) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over: 3 (-122), Under: 3 (102) Under 3 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Diego FC 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: San Diego FC at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego FC has demonstrated superior control and scoring ability, even if Portland's veteran midfield can disrupt play. While Portland’s home field and desperation may tighten the game, San Diego’s overall quality and recent form suggest they are slight favorites to win or at least avoid defeat. Expect a competitive, possibly low-scoring affair, with San Diego advancing unless Portland finds a new attacking spark.

Predicted Score: San Diego FC 1–0 Portland Timbers


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Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: GEODIS Park

Game Overview

This is the second game in the MLS Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference Round 1 best-of-3 series between Nashville SC and Inter Miami CF. Inter Miami leads the series 1-0 after a 3-1 victory at home. Nashville SC will host the match at GEODIS Park aiming to level the series and force a decisive game 3.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Inter Miami CF showed dominance in the first game through stellar performance by Lionel Messi who scored twice, including a header. Miami's attack, led by Messi and supported by Allende and SuΓ‘rez, has been clinically efficient. Nashville SC struggled to contain Miami's offense and were handicapped playing a man down due to an enforced off-field injury rule. In the 2025 regular season, Inter Miami also beat Nashville emphatically 5-2, signaling Miami’s attacking superiority.
  • Recent matches heavily favor Inter Miami CF, including a 5-2 regular season win and the 3-1 playoff opening game victory. Messi has scored multiple goals against Nashville, indicating a tactical advantage for Miami.
  • Nashville SC defender Jeisson Palacios is sidelined due to the MLS off-field medical rule following an injury stoppage which forced him off for two minutes in the last match. No significant injury updates for Inter Miami CF have been reported.
  • The match will be played at Nashville SC’s home stadium, GEODIS Park, which could provide some home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not stated but expected to be standard for early November in Nashville. The pressure is on Nashville SC to even the series at home.
  • Nashville SC is highly motivated to bounce back after losing the first match and is fighting to stay alive in the playoffs. Inter Miami CF, confident after their commanding first match win and Messi’s form, are motivated to close the series early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Inter Miami CF: 149, Nashville SC: 153, Draw: 275 Inter Miami CF to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Inter Miami CF: -112, Nashville SC: -108, spread: 0 Inter Miami CF -0 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: -105, Under 3.5: -115 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Inter Miami CF 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Inter Miami CF at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Inter Miami CF's current form, offensive firepower led by Lionel Messi, and dominance in both recent playoff and regular-season encounters, the predicted outcome favors Inter Miami CF to win, but Nashville’s home advantage and necessity to respond could lead to a competitive match possibly ending in a draw or narrow Miami victory.

Predicted Score: Inter Miami CF 3 – 2 Nashville SC


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Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Soldier Field, Chicago

Game Overview

The second match of the 2025 Audi MLS Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference Round One Best-of-3 series between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union is set after an intense first game that ended 2-2 with the Union winning 4-2 in penalties. The first leg saw Philadelphia Union initially dominate with goals from Indiana Vassilev and Milan Iloski but Chicago Fire staged a late comeback with goals from Jonathan Bamba and Jack Elliott to force penalties. Philadelphia Union's goalkeeper Andre Blake was pivotal in penalty shootout success, underscoring a tightly contested series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union showed strong transitional play and clinical finishing in the first match, but conceded late goals indicating possible defensive vulnerabilities. Chicago Fire displayed resilience, coming back from two goals down, signalling strong fighting spirit and offensive capacity in late stages.
  • Recent playoff encounter ended in a dramatic draw regulation time with Philadelphia winning the shootout. The teams are closely matched, suggesting competitive balance with slight advantage to Philadelphia due to home win and psychological edge.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either side ahead of this match, preserving squad strength from the first game.
  • The match will be played at Soldier Field with expected cool and cloudy conditions around 59 degrees Fahrenheit, which could influence playing styles and physical performance. The pressure of a playoff elimination game on home soil also plays a crucial role.
  • Philadelphia Union, as top-seeded Supporters' Shield winners, are motivated to maintain their playoff momentum. Chicago Fire is highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage and overturn the series deficit established by the opening loss in a shootout.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Fire: 128, Philadelphia Union: 195, Draw: 250 Chicago Fire win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Chicago Fire -0.25: 100, Philadelphia Union +25: -120 Chicago Fire -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 3: -115, Under 3: -105 Over 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Fire -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the closely contested first match and Philadelphia’s ability to withstand a strong comeback, the prediction favors Philadelphia Union to edge a narrow victory or draw with potential for another penalty resolution, although Chicago Fire's home advantage may push for a marginal win.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Charlotte FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York, USA

Game Overview

This MLS playoff match features New York City FC, at home, against Charlotte FC. NYCFC enters as the favorite based on recent form and home advantage, but Charlotte has shown resilience in head-to-heads and on the road. The outcome could be pivotal for postseason advancement, with both teams motivated to secure a favorable result.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New York City FC has been solid at home, while Charlotte FC has a strong record in their last 18 away matches, winning 13. Charlotte, however, lost their most recent encounter with NYCFC 0-1, ending a positive run of results for the visitors[1]. NYCFC's recent form includes wins against Charlotte and other mid-table sides, but consistency remains a question.
  • In their last 8 meetings, Charlotte leads 5 wins to NYCFC's 2, with 1 draw[7]. However, NYCFC won the most recent meeting 1-0[1]. The last four matches have not ended in a draw, suggesting a decisive result is likely[3].
  • No major injury updates are available in the provided data. Lineups suggest both teams are at near full strength, with key players like Alonso MartΓ­nez (NYCFC) and Liel Abada (Charlotte) expected to feature[3].
  • Playoff intensity is a key factor, likely reducing the risk of complacency. Weather and pitch conditions in New York at this time of year are generally neutral but can occasionally affect tempo and ball movement.
  • Both teams are highly motivated given the playoff context. NYCFC seeks to leverage home advantage, while Charlotte aims to reverse recent head-to-head fortunes and continue their strong away form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charlotte FC: +355, New York City FC: -135, Draw: +290 New York City FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Charlotte FC: +75 (-114), New York City FC: -0.75 (-106) New York City FC -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.75: -123, Under 2.75: +103 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York City FC 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC is favored at home, but Charlotte FC's historical edge and playoff stakes suggest potential for a tightly contested match. Expect NYCFC to control possession and set the tempo, but Charlotte could counter effectively. A narrow NYCFC win or a draw is most probable, with under 3 goals likely.

Predicted Score: New York City FC 1-0 Charlotte FC


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Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Austin FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-30
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, USA

Game Overview

This MLS playoff match features Los Angeles FC, currently 3rd in the standings with 60 points, hosting Austin FC, 6th place with 47 points. Los Angeles FC aim to capitalize on home advantage after a recent draw, while Austin FC seek to build on their resilience despite recent away losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Los Angeles FC have won 3 of their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-W), scoring in 6 of 7 recent home games against Austin FC. Austin FC have struggled away, losing their last 3 away league games but have consistently scored in 12 of their last 13 league matches.
  • This season, the teams met twice with Austin FC winning 1-0 at home. Historically, Los Angeles FC have scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings, while Austin FC managed goals in 6 of those without always losing. Only one of the past 10 matches saw Austin score 3+ goals.
  • No explicit injury reports were found in the data; assume both teams field close to full-strength squads given the playoff context.
  • The match takes place at BMO Stadium in Los Angeles, giving LAFC home-field advantage. Weather conditions, pitch status, or other external factors are not noted as impactful.
  • With stakes high in MLS playoffs, LAFC's quest to solidify their higher seed and Austin FC's drive to advance past a strong opponent creates a competitive atmosphere with both teams motivated to win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC: 620, Los Angeles FC: -250, Draw: 380 Los Angeles FC win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76%
Spread Austin FC +1.5: -141, Los Angeles FC -1.5: 106 Los Angeles FC -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -156, Under 2.5: 118 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles FC -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles FC are favored to win due to stronger home form, superior league standing, and historical scoring trends against Austin FC, though Austin FC's capability to score and recent win against LAFC makes an upset possible.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Los Angeles FC


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Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs FC Dallas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The playoff match between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and FC Dallas at BC Place marks the start of their best-of-three MLS Cup Playoffs Round One series. Vancouver, with a record-breaking season of 63 points and strong attacking stats, seeks to leverage home advantage alongside a record playoff crowd. FC Dallas, having recently clinched a playoff spot with a 2-1 win over Vancouver, aims to continue their momentum under new coach Eric Quill.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC had an excellent 2025 regular season with club records in points (63), wins (18), away wins (8), and goals scored (66), finishing with a +28 goal difference. FC Dallas ended their season with mixed results but secured playoff qualification with a strong finish (5-1-4 in last 10 matches) and a recent 2-1 road win over Vancouver.
  • The teams split their 2025 regular season meetings; Vancouver won 1-0 in Texas on March 15, while Dallas won 2-1 at Vancouver on October 18. Historically, recent playoff meetings are scarce, with the only prior postseason meeting in 2014.
  • No specific injury updates are provided in the available data, suggesting both teams may have near full-strength squads for the playoff opener.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC expect a record playoff crowd at BC Place, enhancing home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal for late October in Vancouver. FC Dallas travels to Vancouver following a busy schedule and could face fatigue.
  • Vancouver is motivated by playing at home in front of a record MLS playoff crowd and aiming to capitalize on their strong season performance. FC Dallas, under first-year coach Eric Quill, looks determined to extend their recent good form and upset the home side, having already beaten Vancouver twice recently.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Dallas: +530, Vancouver Whitecaps FC: -230, Draw: +415 Vancouver Whitecaps FC win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread FC Dallas: +1.25 @ -110, Vancouver Whitecaps FC: -1.25 @ -110 Vancouver Whitecaps FC -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.25: -111, Under 3.25: -109 Over 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vancouver Whitecaps FC -17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps FC are favored due to superior regular season form, home advantage, and strong motivation to advance in the playoffs. However, FC Dallas’s recent victories and resilience indicate a competitive match.

Predicted Score: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3 – 1 FC Dallas


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Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Philadelphia Union Home Stadium

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Union host Chicago Fire in the first leg of the MLS Eastern Conference Playoffs Round One on October 26, 2025. Both teams have contested tightly in recent meetings with Philadelphia holding a slight edge in recent results and overall season form. This playoff clash is crucial for both sides' ambitions to advance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union have shown strong home form and better recent results, winning their last two league meetings against Chicago Fire convincingly (4-0 and 1-0). Chicago Fire have had a mixed season but advanced to this playoff round by defeating Orlando City 3-1 in the wild card round, indicating some momentum.
  • In their last five encounters, Philadelphia Union won 3 times, Chicago Fire won once, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent league matches favored Philadelphia Union, including a 4-0 home win on August 23, 2025, and a 1-0 away win on June 25, 2025.
  • No specific injury updates available for either side from the provided search results, but monitoring late fitness will be crucial given playoff intensity.
  • The game is played at Philadelphia’s home ground which is an evident advantage. Motivation is high as both teams look to progress in the MLS Cup Playoffs. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal with no disruptions reported.
  • Philadelphia Union aim to capitalize on their recent dominance and home advantage, seeking to close out the tie early. Chicago Fire, having advanced through the wild card, are motivated to continue their late-season surge and upset the favored home team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Union: -111, Chicago Fire: 271, Draw: 295 Philadelphia Union win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Philadelphia Union: -0.5 -111, Chicago Fire: +50 -109 Philadelphia Union -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3: -110, Under 3: -110 Under 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union are favored to win based on recent form, home advantage, and head-to-head history. However, Chicago Fire's fighting spirit in playoffs suggests a competitive match with potential for limited scoring.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-22
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Providence Park, Portland, OR

Game Overview

The MLS 1/16-finals match between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake is a crucial playoff encounter. Portland Timbers currently rank 8th with 44 points from 34 matches and have struggled recently, including a heavy 0-4 home defeat to San Diego FC. Real Salt Lake are 9th with 41 points and display inconsistent form but managed a 2-2 draw in their last league game. Both teams have key goal scorers but none in the league top 10, indicating balanced offensive threats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Portland Timbers are on a poor run with losses dominating their last 5 matches (L-L-D-D-L) while Real Salt Lake have mixed results (D-L-W-W-L). Portland’s recent home form is shaky despite being unbeaten in 5 of the last 6 league matches against RSL. Real Salt Lake have struggled away with 11 losses in their last 12 away MLS matches this season but have scored in 3 of their last 4 away games against Portland.
  • Portland Timbers have the upper hand historically, unbeaten in 5 of the last 6 matches against Real Salt Lake. However, Real Salt Lake have shown ability to score away, netting in most recent encounters. Typically, both teams scoring early or both halves having goals is rare, indicating potentially strategic and cautious gameplay.
  • No specific injury details available from the current data. Key offensive players Antony Alves Santos (Portland) and Diego Luna (Real Salt Lake) expected to play.
  • Real Salt Lake leads the league in yellow cards (92) and ranks in the top three for red cards (6), suggesting a high-risk aggressive style that could lead to disciplinary disadvantages. Playoff pressure and home advantage for Portland at Providence Park are important external elements.
  • High stakes playoff setting increase motivation for both teams. Portland aims to capitalize on home advantage after a disappointing league finish, while Real Salt Lake looks to overcome poor away form and secure a crucial knockout win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Portland Timbers: 116, Real Salt Lake: 220, Draw: 265 Portland Timbers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Portland Timbers -0.25: -114, Real Salt Lake +25: -106 Portland Timbers -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 3: -103, Under 3: -117 Over 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Portland Timbers 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Portland Timbers are favored to edge Real Salt Lake in a closely fought match, given their home advantage, better recent head-to-head performance, and Real Salt Lake’s disciplinary issues. Expect a competitive game with multiple goals, but Portland likely to hold a narrow advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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