Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Subaru Park, Chester, USA
Game Overview
Philadelphia Union (1st place) faces CF MontrΓ©al (15th place) in an MLS matchup at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are the strong home favorites, having won their last two meetings against CF MontrΓ©al. CF MontrΓ©al struggles this season but have a balanced historical head-to-head record against Philadelphia Union. Both teams have shown scoring capabilities with key forwards T. Baribo (CF MontrΓ©al) and B. Damiani (Philadelphia) leading their teams offensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union have a strong recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 games, scoring 5 total goals. CF MontrΓ©al has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches but sits low on the table with a poor overall record. Philadelphia's home advantage at Subaru Park further strengthens their position.
- Historically, Philadelphia Union and CF MontrΓ©al have an evenly matched record: 11 wins each and 10 draws. Recently, Philadelphia Union has won the last 2 matches against CF MontrΓ©al.
- No specific injury information is currently available for either team, suggesting likely full squads or minor absences that do not significantly affect team strength.
- The game is played at Subaru Park, giving Philadelphia Union home-field advantage. The match timing (23:30 UTC) favors neither side specifically. No weather or other external disruptions are reported.
- Philadelphia Union, leading the MLS standings, are highly motivated to consolidate their top position, while CF MontrΓ©al, struggling lower in the table, aim to upset the favorites and improve their season standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CF Montreal: 460, Philadelphia Union: -185, Draw: 350 | Philadelphia Union win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | CF Montreal +1: -105, Philadelphia Union -1: -115 | Philadelphia Union -1 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3: 102, Under 3: -122 | Under 3 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Union -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the form, home advantage, and current odds, Philadelphia Union is favored to win the match. The game is expected to be competitive with a probable moderately high scoring outcome.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Philadelphia Union