Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Game Overview
Charlotte FC will host Toronto FC at Bank of America Stadium in a Major League Soccer regular season match. Charlotte FC has played strongly at home with large and passionate crowds. Toronto FC recently faced Charlotte FC in June 2025 with a closely contested match where key players like Patrick Agyemang influenced the outcome. This match holds significance as Charlotte seeks to leverage home advantage to maintain momentum in the Eastern Conference.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC has demonstrated strong home form with high attendance and energized performances, making their stadium something of a fortress. Toronto FC, despite occasional struggle with away games, has shown resilience and key attacking threats, including players like Patrick Agyemang. Recent form indicates Charlotte is improving after a tough travel-heavy stretch.
- In their recent encounter in June 2025, Toronto FC narrowly lost to Charlotte FC with a notable winning goal by Patrick Agyemang. Historically, matches between these sides have been balanced with tight scorelines, suggesting competitive parity.
- Limited injury information is available; however, Federico Bernardeski is out injured for Toronto FC as noted in the recent highlights video, potentially weakening their attack. Charlotte's squad appears to be near full-strength.
- The match is part of a packed 2025 MLS calendar, with Charlotte FC eager to showcase strength at home ahead of hosting the 2026 MLS All-Star Game. The supportive fanbase and economic impact of the home stadium elevate motivation and atmosphere for Charlotte.
- Charlotte FC is highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage to solidify their standings and please their strong fanbase. Toronto FC aims to recover from midseason slips and prove their competitiveness on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte FC: -170, Toronto FC: 400, Draw: 350 | Charlotte FC Win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Charlotte FC -1: -102, Toronto FC +1: -118 | Charlotte FC -1 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -115, Under 3: -105 | Under 3 Goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte FC -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC is favored to win this match at home due to superior form, home advantage, and stronger squad availability. A close but decisive victory is expected with a moderate likelihood of a draw reflecting Toronto's fighting spirit.
Predicted Score: 2-1