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Chicago Fire vs. New England Revolution Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, Illinois

Game Overview

Chicago Fire hosts the New England Revolution in a pivotal late-season MLS regular season match at SeatGeek Stadium. Chicago currently holds a mid-table position, while New England is battling to keep playoff hopes alive. Both teams have a strong historical rivalry, with New England unbeaten in the last 12 league meetings, but Chicago secured a recent US Open Cup victory against them. The game is expected to be competitive with strong defensive and offensive lines on both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chicago Fire (11-6-10) have scored 50 goals and conceded 48, with a goal differential of +2. They have a save rate of 61.3% and average 1.44 points per game, ranked 7th in MLS assists and 13th in expected goals with 42.4 expected vs 43.7 expected goals against. New England Revolution (8-7-13) have struggled lately but remain competitive, recently losing 2-1 despite outshooting Charlotte. Chicago has been more defensively solid with 4 clean sheets this season compared to New England's less consistent form.
  • New England Revolution holds the upper hand historically with no losses in the last 12 MLS league meetings against Chicago Fire (4 wins, 8 draws) including 3-0-3 away record. However, Chicago won their recent US Open Cup Round of 16 match 3-1 against a rotated New England squad, suggesting Chicago can capitalize on important games.
  • No specific injury updates mentioned in the data, expected starters include goalies Chris Brady for Chicago Fire and Matt Turner for New England Revolution, suggesting both teams will field strong defensive lineups.
  • Matchday weather expected to be mostly sunny with comfortable temperatures (high 70°F, low 50°F) which should not impact player performance. The game will be played in front of home fans at SeatGeek Stadium, possibly benefiting Chicago Fire.
  • Chicago Fire is positioned higher in the standings and motivated to secure playoff positioning, while New England Revolution is fighting to close a 9 point gap to reach playoff contention. Both teams have strong incentives to earn points in the final six matches, making this an intense and motivated encounter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Fire: -133, New England Revolution: 300, Draw: 320 Chicago Fire win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Chicago Fire: -0.5 -139, New England Revolution: +50 104 Chicago Fire -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 3.5 111, Under: 3.5 -147 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Fire -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a closely contested match with Chicago Fire slightly favored due to home advantage and current form. A tight game with a low to moderate scoring outcome is likely, with a small edge to Chicago to win or at least avoid defeat.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

Game Overview

Los Angeles FC hosts San Diego FC in a Western Conference clash at BMO Stadium. This will be San Diego FC's first-ever visit to LAFC's home ground and their second meeting overall. The match is highly anticipated with LAFC debuting new forward Son Heung-Min. San Diego FC currently leads the conference, showcasing strong form as an expansion team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Diego FC currently leads the Western Conference with a record of 16-5-7 and 53 points, demonstrating strong offensive and defensive form. LAFC is mid-table with 11-8-6 and 41 points, recovering after participation in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup. San Diego won the first encounter between the teams 3-2 at home in March 2025, indicating competitive balance.
  • This is the second match between these two teams, with San Diego FC winning the first meeting 3-2 at home on March 29, 2025. The match was high scoring and competitive, suggesting a closely matched rivalry young in history.
  • No specific injury reports available from provided data; however, key players such as LAFC's forward Son Heung-Min are expected to feature, which could influence dynamics.
  • The game is at LAFC's home stadium, BMO Stadium, offering them home advantage. Local support and familiarity with the venue may impact performance. The match kicks off at 7:45 p.m. local time, which fits usual peak performance timing.
  • San Diego FC looks motivated to assert dominance over LAFC again and maintain their conference lead. LAFC has motivation to avenge the earlier loss at home and make a statement with new signings in front of their fans.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles FC: -142, San Diego FC: 320, Draw: 320 Los Angeles FC win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Los Angeles FC -0.5: -147, San Diego FC +50: 111 Los Angeles FC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -179, Under 2.5: 133 Over 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles FC -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be competitive with a slight edge to LAFC due to home advantage and squad reinforcements. However, San Diego FC's strong season form makes a draw or narrow away win also plausible.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Los Angeles FC


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St. Louis City SC vs. Houston Dynamo Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: St. Louis City SC vs Houston Dynamo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Energizer Park, St. Louis, USA

Game Overview

St. Louis City SC hosts Houston Dynamo in an MLS regular season match at Energizer Park. St. Louis City SC, with a struggling record this season, faces a Houston Dynamo side also underperforming, making this a critical match for both teams seeking points to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Louis City SC holds a record of 5 wins, 16 losses, and 6 draws (21 points) in the season, showing struggle but home advantage might aid their performance. Houston Dynamo has 7 wins, 12 losses, and 8 draws, slightly better but also inconsistent. Both teams have had defensive vulnerabilities contributing to high scoring games.
  • Recent direct encounters show balanced competition but no dominance, with prior matchups closely contested indicating a potentially tight game.
  • No explicit injury reports are provided from the current data; ongoing squad statuses appear stable with key players available for both sides.
  • The match being at St. Louis City's home venue, Energizer Park, favors the home side. Weather or other conditions are not specified but could generally impact play if adverse.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points late in the season due to their subpar standings. St. Louis City SC may have slightly higher motivation playing at home and trying to reverse their fortunes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Dynamo: 200, St. Louis City SC: 115, Draw: 280 St. Louis City SC to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Houston Dynamo: -0.5 @ -147, St. Louis City SC: +50 @ 110 St. Louis City SC to win by at least one goal ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: 131, Under 3.5: -175 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St. Louis City SC 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St. Louis City SC at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given home advantage and need for results, St. Louis City SC is favored to secure a narrow win, though a draw remains plausible. Houston Dynamo’s resilience and better record in recent matches imply they will compete strongly.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Austin FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Q2 Stadium, Austin, USA

Game Overview

The upcoming MLS match between Austin FC and San Jose Earthquakes at Q2 Stadium features two mid-table teams closely matched in recent form and history. Austin FC holds a slight upper hand at home and has shown slightly better recent performance, while San Jose Earthquakes rely on key players like Josef Martinez for goal threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Austin FC have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. San Jose Earthquakes have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches with no wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, conceding 1.4 goals per match as well. Austin FC has been stronger recently with an Asian handicap win rate of 60% compared to San Jose’s 40%, although neither team has frequently kept clean sheets.
  • In 10 previous meetings, San Jose Earthquakes lead with 2 wins, Austin FC have 1 win, and 7 games ended in a draw. Austin FC has not lost to San Jose in their last 7 meetings (2 wins and 5 draws), indicating a pattern of closely contested matches often ending in draws.
  • No specific injury information available from the current datasets before the match. Final lineups will confirm fitness status closer to kickoff.
  • The match is at Q2 Stadium, Austin’s home ground, providing home advantage for Austin FC. Both teams are closely ranked (Austin 9th, San Jose 8th), adding competitiveness. No weather or other external disruptions reported.
  • Austin FC appears motivated by a better recent run and home advantage to capitalize on gaining points, while San Jose Earthquakes may be driven to break a winless streak in recent matches and improve standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Austin FC: 105, San Jose Earthquakes: 230, Draw: 270 Austin FC Win ★★☆☆☆ 48%
Spread Austin FC: -0.5 101, San Jose Earthquakes: 50 -133 Austin FC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: 130, Under 3.5: -175 Under 3.5 Goals ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin FC -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Austin FC is favored to win based on home advantage, stronger recent form, and slightly higher predicted winning probability. Expect a close and competitive match with potential for multiple goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Minnesota United FC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Field, Saint Paul, USA

Game Overview

The Major League Soccer match between Minnesota United FC and Portland Timbers will take place at Allianz Field. Minnesota United currently holds a stronger position in the standings (3rd) compared to Portland Timbers (6th) and is playing at home, which typically confers an advantage. Both teams have shown moderate scoring form in recent matches with Minnesota notching 8 goals and Portland 4 goals in their last five games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Minnesota United has demonstrated solid recent performances with 8 goals scored in their last five matches, including wins against teams like Real Salt Lake and Seattle Sounders FC. Portland Timbers have scored 4 goals in their last five matches and appear to be less potent offensively. Key contributors for Minnesota include Joaquin Pereyra (most big chances created) and Kelvin Yeboah (most shots on target). For Portland, David Da Costa leads in creating big chances.
  • Historically, Minnesota United leads the head-to-head battle with 10 wins compared to Portland Timbers’ 5 wins, alongside 3 draws. This dominant historical record, combined with current home advantage, is a significant factor in assessing probable match outcomes.
  • Available data does not highlight notable injury concerns affecting key players on either team as match-day approaches. Final lineups and injury updates will be confirmed closer to kickoff.
  • The match is hosted at Allianz Field in Saint Paul, favoring Minnesota United as the home side. No extraordinary external factors such as weather disruptions or travel complications are currently noted.
  • Minnesota United’s 3rd place ranking encourages a motivated performance to secure points and maintain positioning in the playoff race. Portland Timbers, ranked 6th, will seek to improve standings and respond to recent inconsistencies, adding competitive motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Minnesota United FC: -150, Portland Timbers: 330, Draw: 330 Minnesota United FC to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Minnesota United FC -0.5: -154, Portland Timbers +50: 116 Minnesota United FC -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -182, Under 2.5: 135 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota United FC -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 53%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota United FC is favored to win due to better recent form, home advantage, and historical dominance. The statistical and odds data support a likely victory for Minnesota with a moderate margin.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Geodis Park, Nashville, USA

Game Overview

Nashville SC, currently ranked 3rd in the MLS standings, face Atlanta United FC, ranked 14th, at home. Nashville has been strong this season with 9 goals in their last 5 matches and the league's top scorer, Sam Surridge (20 goals). Atlanta United have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches but have conceded more, with weakness in defense. The teams have a competitive history with Nashville having a slight edge in recent meetings. The match is expected to be competitive but with Nashville favored due to recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nashville SC have scored 9 goals in their last 5 MLS matches, showing strong offensive form and have earned the most penalties this season (11). Atlanta United FC has scored 8 goals in their last 5 but conceded more, reflecting defensive vulnerability. Nashville ranks 3rd overall whereas Atlanta is 14th, indicating a performance gap this season.
  • In 14 total MLS meetings since 2018, Nashville SC has won 5 times, Atlanta United 4 times, with 5 draws. Recently, Nashville has struggled more with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 encounters while Atlanta United has won their last 5 matches against Nashville. Historical H2H shows balance but recent trends favor Atlanta in direct matchups despite Nashville’s better league position.
  • No specific injury data available from current sources for either team. Lineups will be clearer close to match time for precise injury updates.
  • The match is played at Geodis Park, giving Nashville SC home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but should be standard for late August in Nashville. Motivational factors include Nashville’s push for higher standings and Atlanta’s need to improve their low table position.
  • Nashville SC is motivated by a strong league position and presence of the league's top scorer. Atlanta United, on the other hand, needs points to climb from the 14th place, providing incentive to challenge strongly despite recent defensive concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta United FC: 420, Nashville SC: -180, Draw: 340 Nashville SC to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atlanta United FC +1.5: -185, Nashville SC -1.5: 138 Nashville SC -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -182, Under 2.5: 135 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nashville SC -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nashville SC at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nashville SC is predicted to win narrowly due to their superior form, home advantage, and offensive threat. Atlanta United will challenge strongly but defensive lapses may cost them.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Sporting Kansas City vs. Colorado Rapids Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Colorado Rapids – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, USA

Game Overview

Sporting Kansas City hosts Colorado Rapids in a pivotal MLS regular season match. Sporting Kansas City currently ranks 13th with 24 points, while Colorado Rapids stand 7th with 36 points. The Rapids are the stronger team statistically this season, but Sporting KC has a strong home record against Colorado. Recent meetings favored Sporting KC, who won the last encounter 2-1 away and 4-1 at home last season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Kansas City has struggled recently, with multiple losses and only one draw in recent matches. They have not kept a clean sheet in 13 matches and conceded many penalties. Sporting KC scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches. Colorado Rapids have a better overall season standing, more points, and a more stable performance profile.
  • Sporting Kansas City and Colorado Rapids have met 91 times, with Sporting KC holding a historical edge (37 wins vs 32 losses and 22 draws). Sporting KC has a strong home record (24-7-6) against Colorado Rapids, the best against any MLS charter team. Recent matches saw Sporting KC win both home and away encounters this season.
  • Sporting Kansas City faces multiple injuries: Erik Thommy (hip, out until early September), Jack Kortkamp (head), Joaquin Fernández (hamstring), and Manu Garcia (hip). These absences affect both attacking and midfield options. Colorado Rapids injury status is not reported as critical for this match.
  • Game played at Sporting Kansas City's home stadium Children's Mercy Park gives them home advantage. The match time late at night UTC might impact fatigue for traveling Colorado players. No major weather or other external issues reported. The attendance and crowd support will likely favor Sporting KC.
  • Colorado Rapids are motivated to maintain or improve their top half table position, currently 7th with 36 points. Sporting KC, lower in the ranking at 13th and with poorer recent results, will be motivated to use home advantage to secure crucial points to avoid dropping further down the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colorado Rapids: 165, Sporting Kansas City: 130, Draw: 300 Sporting Kansas City to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Colorado Rapids +50: -167, Sporting Kansas City -0.5: 124 Sporting Kansas City -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 3.5: 110, Under 3.5: -147 Under 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Kansas City -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be tightly contested. While Sporting Kansas City have the home advantage and recent head-to-head success, their recent form and injury concerns reduce their chances. Colorado Rapids’ stronger league standing and consistency give them a slight edge. A draw or a narrow Colorado victory is more probable.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Sporting Kansas City


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New York Red Bulls vs. Columbus Crew SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ

Game Overview

The New York Red Bulls will host Columbus Crew SC in an MLS regular season match. Both teams have similar standing around mid-table with Columbus slightly ahead on points. The Red Bulls have a goal differential of +5 from 42 goals scored and 37 conceded, and a save rate of 69.7%. Columbus Crew holds a current record of 12-9-5. Both teams have had injury challenges and are expected to field near full-strength lineups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New York Red Bulls rank 14th in MLS with 39 points and have an xG of 38.1 against an xGA of 41.0. They have conceded 37 goals with 8 clean sheets this season. Columbus Crew holds a slightly better form and points tally (12-9-5), showing a resilient defense with goalkeeper Patrick Schulte starting.
  • Historically tight matches between these teams have resulted in close scorelines. Recent data and previews suggest a cautious and low-risk approach from both sides, indicating a likely draw or narrow margin of victory.
  • New York misses Lewis Morgan (thigh strain), Anthony Marcucci, and Cameron Harper (knee injuries). Columbus Crew will likely miss captain Darlington Nagbe (torso issue), Mohamed Farsi (pelvic strain), and Rudy Camacho (thigh problem).
  • The match is played at the home stadium of New York Red Bulls, Sports Illustrated Stadium. Kickoff time is Saturday, August 30, 7:30 PM Eastern (23:30 UTC), conditions expected to be typical for the venue. Media coverage via MLS Season Pass on Apple TV.
  • Both teams are mid-table and looking to secure crucial points to improve their standings. Motivation is medium-high but tempered by recent injuries and lack of strong confidence, suggesting neither team will take extreme risks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Columbus Crew SC: 150, New York Red Bulls: 162, Draw: 260 Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Columbus Crew SC: -0.5 @ 142, New York Red Bulls: +50 @ -192 New York Red Bulls +0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -167, Under 2.5: 125 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Red Bulls 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 40%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A cautious game with balanced chances that likely ends in a draw or narrow win. Prediction is for a 1-1 draw reflecting the teams' defensive solidity and current form.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, USA

Game Overview

The match features a high-stakes MLS regular season encounter between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, two top Eastern Conference teams. Philadelphia Union currently lead the conference with 54 points from 16 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, narrowly ahead of FC Cincinnati who have 52 points from 16 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. Both teams are showing strong forms and aim to consolidate their places at the top of the table with this crucial fixture at Cincinnati's home ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union have a slight edge in overall performance and consistency, currently ranked 1st with more draws but fewer losses than Cincinnati who are 2nd. Key players like midfielder Evander, who has 16 goals, and forwards such as K Denkey contribute significantly to their offensive prowess. FC Cincinnati also have solid attacking options but have a slightly less stable defense with 8 losses this season.
  • The teams met once this season in MLS with Philadelphia Union winning a narrow 1-0 victory against FC Cincinnati II earlier in August. Historically, there have been 2 games last season with mixed results showing a balanced rivalry. The match will be played at Cincinnati's TQL Stadium, which offers them some home advantage.
  • No specific injury updates for the first teams were found in the data. However, the depth and fitness of squad players could influence the result given the tight scheduling and recent matches for their reserve sides.
  • The match kicks off late at night UTC, which is early evening local time, generally good conditions at the TQL Stadium. Weather details are unknown but no adverse conditions reported recently. Motivational factors include the tight race for Eastern Conference leadership and upcoming fixtures influencing team priorities.
  • Both sides are motivated to secure maximum points to maintain or gain first place in the conference. Philadelphia Union's recent success and stability suggest a confident squad, whereas Cincinnati will be eager to capitalize on home advantage and rebound from recent close matches.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Cincinnati: 140, Philadelphia Union: 165, Draw: 275 FC Cincinnati to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread FC Cincinnati -0.5: 133, Philadelphia Union +50: -179 Philadelphia Union +0.5 (draw or win) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -161, Under 2.5: 120 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Cincinnati 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union are favored to edge a closely contested game due to their slight recent dominance, stronger squad consistency, and the narrow history of wins. However, Cincinnati's home advantage and motivation should keep the match tight, potentially decided by one goal.

Predicted Score: FC Cincinnati 1 – 2 Philadelphia Union


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Toronto FC vs. CF Montreal Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Toronto FC vs CF Montreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

Game Overview

This Major League Soccer match features Toronto FC hosting CF Montreal at BMO Field. Both teams occupy lower-mid positions in the league table, with Toronto FC currently 12th and CF Montreal 13th. The match carries significance for positioning and local rivalry, as the two teams have historically contested fiercely.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto FC has struggled recently with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. CF Montreal has a slightly better recent record with 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 2.2 per match. Both teams have a 40% Asian Handicap win rate and 60% total goals over rate recently, indicating offensive potential but defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Historically, Toronto FC leads in the head-to-head (H2H) series with 28 wins to Montreal’s 22, plus 12 draws across 62 matches since 2009. More recent stats indicate a closely contested rivalry with very small margins: one source notes Toronto FC 20 wins, CF Montreal 19 wins, and 6 draws, while another highlights a slight edge for Toronto in recent H2H with 3 wins to Montreal’s 1 in the last 6 encounters.
  • No explicit current injury reports are available from the provided data sources. However, typical mid-season squad rotations or minor injuries may affect squad availability.
  • Playing at home at BMO Field offers Toronto FC a familiar environment and fan support. Weather and pitch conditions are not detailed, but usual late August conditions in Toronto should be favorable. No significant external distractions or scheduling congestion noted.
  • As both teams sit near the lower mid-table, the motivation to secure points for playoff positioning is high. Local rivalry further fuels competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto FC: -104, CF Montreal: 250, Draw: 280 Toronto FC win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Toronto FC -0.5: -109, CF Montreal +50: -122 Toronto FC -0.5 (win by 1 or more) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -147, Under 2.5: 110 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto FC -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto FC is favored to win narrowly given home advantage and historical dominance, but CF Montreal's recent form suggests a competitive match with potential for a draw.

Predicted Score: Toronto FC 2 – 1 CF Montreal


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