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Girona vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

Girona, currently struggling near the bottom of La Liga in 20th place, faces a tough away challenge from Espanyol, who are positioned 4th. The match is part of La Liga's regular season and will be played at Girona's home ground, Estadi Montilivi. Girona has been underperforming, whereas Espanyol has shown strong form and currently ranks high in the table, indicating a probable favoritism for Espanyol.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona is currently ranked 20th with only 2 points from possibly 6 matches, showing a weak offensive and defensive record. Espanyol, sitting 4th with 11 points, has displayed a solid attacking lineup with key players like P. Milla (3 goals) and a decent defensive unit. Espanyol also defeated Girona 4-1 in a recent reverse fixture, reflecting their dominance.
  • Their recent head to head results show Espanyol having the upper hand, winning their last encounter 4-1 at Girona’s home. However, the last La Liga match between the two ended in a 1-1 draw, showing Girona can be resilient at times. Overall, Espanyol's recent matches have been stronger against Girona based on historical La Liga data from this season.
  • No explicit injuries were mentioned in the current data, implying both teams might have close to full-strength squads. However, absence of detailed injury news is a consideration for last-minute changes.
  • Playing at home is an advantage for Girona but their poor form may reduce this significantly. Weather and fan attendance data are not detailed but are expected to be normal. Espanyol may benefit from momentum and confidence given their league position.
  • Girona faces pressure to escape the relegation zone, which may increase their urgency and fighting spirit. Espanyol aims to consolidate their top-four position and continue their unbeaten or strong run in the league, giving them strong motivation to avoid slips.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: 143, Espanyol: 190, Draw: 235 Girona win or draw (leaning towards Espanyol win but Girona's odds suggest market undervaluation) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Girona -0.25: 110, Espanyol +25: -130 Girona to cover the spread (-0.25) slightly favored ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Over 2.5 goals likely given Espanyol's attacking strength and Girona’s recent heavy defeat at home ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 51%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Girona at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol is predicted to win or draw with a higher probability compared to Girona due to form, standings, and head-to-head dominance. Girona may struggle to contain Espanyol's attack and score enough goals to win, though an upset remains possible due to home advantage and Girona's motivation to survive.

Predicted Score: Girona 1 – 2 Espanyol


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Oviedo vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo, Spain

Game Overview

Real Oviedo, currently ranked 17th in La Liga, hosts Barcelona, who are 2nd in the standings, at the Carlos Tartiere stadium. Barcelona enters the match as clear favorites given their strong league position and recent performances, while Oviedo struggles near the relegation zone. The game is part of the 2025-26 La Liga season and will feature key offensive players from both sides attempting to influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has shown dominant form with a recent 3-0 win against Getafe and has multiple players contributing to goals and assists, including forwards F. Torres (4 goals) and Raphinha (3 goals). Oviedo has had a poor start with only 3 points from four matches, reflecting struggles both offensively and defensively.
  • Historically, Barcelona has a significant edge over Oviedo, winning most past encounters and often controlling the match. Oviedo has rarely troubled Barcelona and tends to perform defensively when hosting but rarely secures points against this opponent.
  • There is no specific injury information available for either team as of the current data, suggesting both teams will likely field strong lineups.
  • Playing at Carlos Tartiere could provide Oviedo some home advantage, but Barcelona’s squad depth and quality heavily favor an away victory.
  • Barcelona aims to maintain their high league position and build momentum towards the title race, while Oviedo is motivated to gain crucial points to escape relegation worries, possibly increasing their defensive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -390, Oviedo: 800, Draw: 575 Barcelona Win ★★★★★ 90%
Spread Barcelona -1.75: -112, Oviedo +1.75: -108 Barcelona -1.75 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105 Over 3.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is predicted to win comfortably, likely by at least a two-goal margin, based on form, quality, and odds.

Predicted Score: Barcelona 3 – 0 Oviedo


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CA Osasuna vs. Elche CF Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Elche CF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona, Spain

Game Overview

CA Osasuna, currently ranked 13th in La Liga, will host Elche CF, ranked 5th, at the Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna has shown mixed recent form including losses and wins with key players like Ante Budimir and Rafa Mir contributing goals, while Elche is exhibiting a strong upward momentum with solid away performances and a well-rounded squad. The match is expected to be competitive, with Elche tipped as favorites by some analyses to secure an away win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna has recently experienced a home loss and a home win, showing inconsistency, with standout offensive contributions from Rafa Mir and Ante Budimir. Elche has been in strong form away from home, maintaining a higher league position, with multiple players contributing goals and assists, indicating balanced attacking potency.
  • Historical head-to-head data show closely contested matches between Osasuna and Elche, but current season rankings and momentum favor Elche slightly. Both teams have comparable shot counts in recent clashes, suggesting tight contests with limited scoring margins.
  • Specific current injury details are not explicitly available in the data, but no notable absences have been reported that would majorly impact team strength for either side.
  • The match is at Osasuna's home ground, Estadio El Sadar, which typically offers home advantage; however, Elche's recent away success mitigates this factor somewhat. Weather or pitch conditions are not reported to impose significant influence.
  • Elche is motivated to maintain their high league standing and capitalize on their good form, aiming for a valuable away win. Osasuna seeks to improve their mid-table position and leverage home advantage to secure points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CA Osasuna: 102, Elche CF: 340, Draw: 200 CA Osasuna to win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread CA Osasuna -0.5: 102, Elche CF +50: -122 Osasuna -0.5 (win by at least one goal) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: 108, Under 2.25: -128 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elche to win narrowly or draw, with a slight edge to Elche given their recent form and league position. The game is likely to be low to medium scoring, possibly finishing close to the under 2.5 goals mark.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Real Sociedad vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Reale Arena, San Sebastian, Spain

Game Overview

Real Sociedad and Mallorca face off in a tightly contested La Liga match at the Reale Arena. Both teams find themselves struggling near the bottom of the standings early in the season, with Real Sociedad currently 18th and Mallorca 19th, each having earned only 2 points from 3 matches. Recent form indicates challenges on both sides, with Mallorca having edged Real Sociedad 2-0 in their previous meeting in April 2025 and a mixed record in the last five head-to-head encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both sides have shown weak starts to the season; Real Sociedad have yet to earn a win and have lost two of their last three games. Mallorca similarly have a poor record, with two draws and a loss. Offensively, Mallorca's Vedat Muriqi leads with 3 goals in limited appearances, while Real Sociedad's Mikel Oyarzabal and Alexander Barrenetxea contribute on attack but with modest scoring outputs. Defensive frailties have also been evident with neither team recording clean sheets in recent fixtures.
  • In the last five meetings, Mallorca have slightly edged Real Sociedad with two wins, including a 2-0 victory in April 2025, a 1-0 win in September 2024, and one draw. Real Sociedad managed a 2-1 win in February 2024 and a draw in a cup match, highlighting a competitive but currently Mallorca-favored rivalry.
  • Specific injury data is limited in the available information, but no major absences for key starters have been noted for either side, which suggests both teams will field near full-strength squads.
  • The match takes place at Real Sociedad’s home stadium, the Reale Arena, which could confer a slight advantage. No significant weather or other external conditions are reported to affect the match outcome.
  • Both teams are under pressure to improve from disappointing season starts, increasing the motivation to secure vital points. The home advantage for Real Sociedad may add urgency on their part to break their winless streak, while Mallorca will be keen to continue their recent dominance in the head-to-head series.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mallorca: 3.9, Real Sociedad: -1.33, Draw: 2.55 Real Sociedad win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Mallorca +75: -1.18, Real Sociedad -0.75: -1.02 Real Sociedad -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -1.1, Under 2.25: -1.1 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Sociedad -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A competitive match is expected given the teams' form and close league positions, with a slight edge to Real Sociedad at home to secure a narrow victory or draw. Given Mallorca's better recent head-to-head results, a cautious approach is likely from both, possibly leading to a low-scoring encounter.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Atlético Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid and Rayo Vallecano face off in a La Liga match at Atlético's home ground, Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atlético, currently 13th in the league, holds a superior historical record against Rayo, who are 15th. Recent form shows Atlético scoring 7 goals in their last 5 matches and remaining unbeaten against Rayo in the last 18 meetings. Rayo has created chances but is weaker defensively, having conceded the most penalties this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid is in moderate form, scoring 7 goals in the last 5 matches. Their attack is led by Giacomo Raspadori with 1.7 shots on target per game. Rayo Vallecano has scored 6 goals in the last 5 but struggles defensively, notably conceding penalties.
  • Atlético Madrid has an overwhelmingly dominant record over Rayo Vallecano, remaining unbeaten in their last 18 meetings (14 wins, 4 draws). This indicates a strong psychological and tactical advantage.
  • No specific injury information available from current data; assume standard squad availability with typical risks.
  • Match played at Atlético's home stadium gives a home advantage. Mid-September scheduling in the La Liga season means teams are adjusting after early fixtures.
  • Atlético Madrid will aim to improve league positioning from 13th place, motivated by home advantage and historical dominance. Rayo Vallecano, near the relegation zone (15th), will be motivated to secure points to avoid slump.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -190, Rayo Vallecano: 500, Draw: 325 Atlético Madrid win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atlético Madrid -1: -110, Rayo Vallecano +1: -110 Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 goals: -115, Under 2.5 goals: -105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is favored to win due to home advantage, superior head-to-head record, and recent attacking form, with a moderate confidence level given the competitive nature of La Liga mid-table.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Getafe vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Getafe vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Getafe and Deportivo Alavés will be held at Getafe's home stadium, Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. Both teams currently rank mid-table (Getafe 8th, Alavés 10th) and have a very competitive history, with previous head-to-heads showing a close balance in wins and draws. The teams are similarly matched, making this an evenly poised encounter in the early 2025/26 season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Getafe is currently performing solidly at home with a strong defense but moderate attacking output. Alavés have shown decent form away and have been effective in counter-attacks. Both teams have a balanced attack-defense ratio, with recent matches favoring slightly more goals scored than conceded.
  • In the last 10 encounters between Getafe and Alavés, Getafe won 3, Alavés won 4, and 3 matches ended in draws. The teams tend to produce close matches with a competitive balance. Recent matches featured low to moderate scoring, and no clear dominance is evident.
  • Getafe will miss Juanmi due to injury, which may slightly weaken their attacking options. Alavés have Nikola Maras unavailable, impacting their defensive line stability. Both teams have relatively key players fit and available.
  • The match is played at Getafe's home ground, which gives them a modest home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are normal with no unusual external impacts reported. The match timing ensures full team fitness and recovery from recent fixtures.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points early in the season to improve league standings. Given their close league positions, a win would significantly impact confidence and momentum. Neither team can afford to lose ground, making the match competitive and tension-filled.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Getafe: 130, Alavés: 255, Draw: 195 Draw ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Getafe: -0.25 -108, Alavés: +25 -112 Getafe -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 1.75 +100, Under: 1.75 -120 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Getafe 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Getafe at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tightly contested match is expected, with a slight edge for Getafe due to home advantage and overall form. Draw is a strong probable outcome, but a narrow win for Getafe is plausible. The game is likely to feature moderate scoring, leaning towards underscoring the defensive strengths of both sides.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Levante vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Levante vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Game Overview

Levante, currently struggling near the bottom of La Liga with 4 points from 5 matches, faces top-tier team Real Madrid, who lead the table with 15 points from 5 matches. Levante has scored 9 goals but conceded 9, showing defensive vulnerabilities, while Real Madrid has scored 10 and conceded only 2, demonstrating strong defense and effective attack. Real Madrid is undefeated and has a strong momentum going into this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Levante has won only 1 of their 5 matches, drawing one and losing three, while Real Madrid has won all 5 matches, indicating a significant performance gap. Real Madrid's attack and defense statistics significantly outmatch Levante, with more shots (65 vs 36) and fewer goals conceded (2 vs 9).
  • Historically, Real Madrid holds a dominant record over Levante. The recent encounters favor Real Madrid with convincing wins. Levante's capability to challenge is limited based on historical data and past meeting outcomes.
  • No specific injury updates found for key players in either squad, suggesting both teams will likely field their strongest lineups.
  • The match takes place at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Levante’s home ground, potentially giving Levante some home advantage. However, Real Madrid's current form likely outweighs this.
  • Levante needs points to avoid relegation troubles and will be motivated to provide a strong home performance. Real Madrid, aiming to maintain their top spot, are motivated to continue their winning run and assert dominance in the league early on.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Levante: 575, Real Madrid: -280, Draw: 475 Real Madrid win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Levante: 1.5 -115, Real Madrid: -1.5 -105 Real Madrid -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 3.25 -102, Under: 3.25 -118 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid is strongly favored to win due to superior form, squad quality, and consistent results. Levante may struggle to contain Real Madrid’s attack, but could potentially score given their offensive efforts in recent matches.

Predicted Score: Levante 1 – 3 Real Madrid


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Sevilla vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

Sevilla and Villarreal meet in La Liga Round 6 with Sevilla currently 12th and Villarreal 7th in the standings. Sevilla have scored a total of 8 goals in their last 5 matches but have failed to score in their last 2. Villarreal has a recent psychological edge, having won their last 3 encounters against Sevilla.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla show mixed form with wins and losses recently, scoring 8 goals in their last 5 matches but no goals in their last 2 games. Villarreal is more consistent in recent matchups and has shown strength on away grounds. Key players like Isaac Romero and Ruben Vargas have been influential for Sevilla.
  • Villarreal has won the previous three matches against Sevilla, indicating a recent dominance in head-to-head meetings. Historically, the matches have been competitive, but Villarreal carries momentum from these recent victories.
  • No specific recent injury information from available data; monitoring lineups close to kick-off advised.
  • Match played at Sevilla’s home ground provides a slight home advantage. The motivation and crowd support may boost Sevilla. Fixtures and travel might also influence Villarreal's performance.
  • Sevilla, currently lower in the league, will be motivated to improve their standing at home. Villarreal, sitting higher, aims to maintain their form and assert superiority in this fixture.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: 200, Villarreal: 135, Draw: 235 Villarreal Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Sevilla: -0.25 -122, Villarreal: +25 102 Villarreal -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested game expected. Villarreal slightly favored due to recent direct wins and current league position, but Sevilla’s home advantage and offensive potential suggest a narrow and competitive encounter.

Predicted Score: Villarreal 2 – 1 Sevilla


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Espanyol vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium, Cornella, Spain

Game Overview

Espanyol hosts Valencia in a La Liga clash featuring the 3rd ranked Espanyol and 15th ranked Valencia. Espanyol have shown strong form early in the season with 10 points from 5 matches, while Valencia have struggled more, earning only 7 points. The game takes place at Espanyol's home ground, the RCDE Stadium, providing them with home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol have been performing strongly in attack, with key players such as Javi Puado, who has scored 12 goals and provided 4 assists, contributing significantly. Valencia relies on striker Hugo Duro, who has 11 goals and 2 assists. Overall, Espanyol hold a better league standing and more consistent form, supported by 8 clean sheets this season.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups have been competitive, with the teams playing closely last season and splitting their encounters. Espanyol tends to have a slight edge at home in these fixtures, and both teams are familiar with each other's tactics and key players.
  • No specific injury data is currently available for either team, suggesting both squads may be near full strength for this match.
  • Playing at home at RCDE Stadium supports Espanyol. No notable external disruptions like weather or travel issues have been identified. Matchday conditions in late September in Cornella are typically moderate and should not impact performance significantly.
  • Espanyol aims to consolidate their top league position with a home win against a struggling Valencia side, who will be motivated to improve their standing and avoid slipping further towards relegation zones.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 1.31, Valencia: 2.20, Draw: 2.25 Espanyol to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Espanyol: -0.25 at -102, Valencia: +25 at -118 Espanyol -0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.25 at 100, Under: 2.25 at -120 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Espanyol 43%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Espanyol at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol is favored to win due to superior form, home advantage, and a stronger attacking presence. A narrow victory for Espanyol is anticipated, possibly by one goal margin.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Girona FC for a LaLiga regular season match at the historic San Mamés stadium. Athletic Bilbao currently stands 6th in the league, showing stronger form, while Girona struggles near the bottom of the table at 20th place. This fixture presents a clear home advantage for Athletic Bilbao given their recent performances and league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has been in relatively good form recently despite a setback in their last game against Valencia. Girona, on the other hand, faced a heavy home defeat and had a player sent off in their latest match, indicating struggles both in discipline and consistency.
  • Recent head-to-head matches favor Athletic Bilbao with multiple wins including 3-0 and 3-2 victories in the past two seasons. Girona has found it difficult to secure favorable results against Bilbao historically, especially in Bilbao’s home stadium.
  • There is no specific detailed injury report available from the search results for this match; however, Athletic Bilbao’s usual lineup is expected to be strong, while Girona may have some concerns following disciplinary issues and possible fatigue from recent heavy defeats.
  • The match is played at Bilbao's San Mamés, giving Athletic a familiar home environment and crowd support. Girona’s morale may be low coming off a nine-man thrashing at home. No specific weather or pitch condition details were noted.
  • Athletic Bilbao aims to consolidate their top-tier league position and regain momentum after a recent loss. Girona is motivated to escape the relegation zone but faces a tough opponent away from home, decreasing their likelihood of an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -235, Girona: 600, Draw: 375 Athletic Bilbao win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: -1.25 at 105, Girona: +1.25 at -125 Athletic Bilbao -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao is strongly favored to win this match given their superior league standing, recent head-to-head results, and home advantage. A victory for Girona is considered unlikely but not impossible, while a draw would be a moderate upset.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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