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Villarreal vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica

Game Overview

Villarreal hosts CA Osasuna in a La Liga clash with Villarreal currently ranked 6th and Osasuna 9th. Villarreal has a strong historic advantage and home form, but recent goal-scoring struggles reduce their edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has not scored in their last two matches but scored 8 goals in their last 5 overall. Osasuna remains unbeaten in the last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and shows defensive solidity with only 0.6 goals conceded per match recently.
  • In their last 6 meetings, Villarreal has not lost to Osasuna (4 wins, 2 draws) and leads the overall H2H record with 16 wins vs Osasuna's 12 in 35 games since 2003.
  • Key Villarreal players Gerard Moreno, Logan Costa, Pau Cabanes, and Willy Kambwala are injured, potentially weakening their attacking options. Osasuna miss Moi Gomez due to injury but have fewer absences impacting starting lineup.
  • The match at Villarreal's Estadio de la Cerámica provides a home advantage. Villarreal's recent Champions League and La Liga fixtures might contribute to fatigue, impacting performance.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain their top-6 standing and bounce back after recent losses, while Osasuna looks to continue their unbeaten streak and close the points gap in the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -181, CA Osasuna +460, Draw +330 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Villarreal -1 (-108), CA Osasuna +1 (-112) Villarreal -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-120), Under 2.5 (+100) Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Alavés vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Game Overview

Alavés hosts Sevilla in a tightly matched La Liga game, where Alavés have shown slight superiority in recent form and home advantage, but Sevilla's quality and historical edge in head-to-head clashes keep this contest balanced and competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés currently sits 7th in the league with better recent form (W-D-L-W-L) compared to Sevilla’s struggles (W-L-L-L-L), showing stronger home performances and greater defensive consistency.
  • Sevilla have historically dominated head-to-head with 13 wins out of 27 matches versus Alavés’ 7, but Alavés has a solid home record against Sevilla, including recent competitive results and a narrow goal difference.
  • Sevilla missing key players including Tanguy Nianzou and Ruben Vargas impacts their defense and attack; Alavés injury status is less critical at present.
  • No major external disruptions noted; playing at Mendizorroza favors Alavés, who have motivated form and home crowd support.
  • Alavés looking to consolidate their top-half position while Sevilla needs points to climb from mid-lower table, increasing motivation for a disciplined performance from Sevilla.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: +139, Sevilla: +215, Draw: +212 Alavés ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Alavés -0.25: +102, Sevilla +25: -122 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2: -122, Under 2: +102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Alavés win; Spread: Alavés -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Real Madrid vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Real Madrid hosts Espanyol in La Liga at Santiago Bernabéu. Real Madrid is unbeaten (4-0-0) and ranks 2nd in expected goals in the league with a strong defense conceding only 2 goals. Espanyol has a decent start (2-1-0) but is the clear underdog. Real Madrid exhibits solid form, clean sheets, and high save percentage, while Espanyol struggles to match this level.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid is in excellent form with 12 points from 4 games, averaging 3 points per fixture, strong expected goals (8.5), and solid defense (0.5 goals conceded per 90). Espanyol has competitive performance but less consistent.
  • Recent H2H lean heavily towards Real Madrid's dominance at home versus Espanyol, with Real Madrid typically outperforming Espanyol in goal difference and wins.
  • No major injuries reported for Real Madrid impacting key starters; Espanyol has no reported critical absences but is overall weaker in squad depth.
  • The match is at Real Madrid's home ground, giving them strong home advantage and crowd support. No notable external disruptions.
  • Real Madrid aims to maintain perfect league record and top table positioning. Espanyol looks to challenge but is likely motivated more to avoid heavy defeat than to win outright.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Madrid: -460, Draw: +500, Espanyol: +1300 Real Madrid ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Real Madrid -2: -108, Espanyol +2: -112 Real Madrid -2 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 3.25: -122, Under 3.25: +102 Over 3.25 goals ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid to win the match decisively with a strong likelihood of more than 2.5 total goals scored.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Girona vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona hosts Levante in a La Liga matchup where Girona enters as the favorite with solid home form and more favorable recent results, while Levante has struggled in away games and with squad injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona has shown better recent form with a higher win rate at home compared to Levante's poor away record. Girona's offense is moderately productive, while Levante's attack struggles on the road.
  • Girona holds an advantage in recent head-to-head clashes, winning more of their last meetings and scoring more goals overall against Levante.
  • Levante has key players sidelined affecting their midfield creativity and defense stability; Girona's injury list is minimal, maintaining a near full-strength lineup.
  • No significant external disruptions noted. Stable weather and pitch conditions expected at Girona’s home stadium.
  • Girona is motivated to solidify their home standing early in the season, whereas Levante is under pressure to improve results to avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona -109, Levante +290, Draw +260 Girona ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Girona -0.5 -110, Levante +50 -110 Girona -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -112, Under 2.5 -108 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win outright with moderate goal scoring expected, favoring a tight game under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Real Betis vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Betis vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-19
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio La Cartuja, Sevilla

Game Overview

This La Liga fixture features Real Betis hosting Real Sociedad. Real Betis has a slight edge in recent form and home advantage, while Sociedad looks for consistency. The matchup is expected to be competitive with moderate goal-scoring potential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Betis seeks to end a recent three-game winless streak, showing signs of improvement at home. Real Sociedad has struggled for wins recently, with draws and losses characterizing their form.
  • Historically, Betis has been competitive at home against Sociedad, with recent simulations placing Betis as favorites with about 45% to 48% chance to win compared to Sociedad around 27%-28%. Draw probabilities are about 25%-27%.
  • No major injuries disclosed for key players impacting starting lineups significantly for either team, indicating both sides should field competitive squads.
  • The match at Estadio La Cartuja benefits Betis due to home pitch familiarity and local fan support, while no adverse weather or scheduling issues are reported.
  • Betis has motivation to regain positive momentum after recent inconsistent results, playing on home turf. Sociedad aims to stabilize form but lacks evident extra incentives beyond league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Betis: +105, Real Sociedad: +265, Draw: +240 Real Betis ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Real Betis -0.5: +105, Real Sociedad +50: -125 Real Betis -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: +102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Betis to win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Espanyol vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium, Barcelona

Game Overview

Espanyol enter this La Liga clash against Mallorca as the favorite, buoyed by a strong recent home form and a 2-0-1 start to the season. Mallorca has struggled comparatively, carrying no wins in recent matches. The game is expected to be tightly contested but with Espanyol's home advantage and form, they have the edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol are unbeaten in their last 3 games (2W, 1D) and have covered the spread 3-0 in their last 5, while Mallorca has a 0-2-1 recent run and no wins. Espanyol’s offensive and defensive balance at home has been solid recently.
  • Historically, Espanyol and Mallorca meetings are competitive with an almost even overall record, but recent games favor Espanyol slightly. Mallorca traditionally performs better at home, but this match is at Espanyol’s ground.
  • Espanyol miss key players Robert Navarro, Fernando Pacheco, Pablo Ramon Parra, and Jose Gragera. Mallorca's injury status is less clear, but no high-profile absences noted.
  • Espanyol enjoy home crowd support at RCDE Stadium which boosts their motivation. Weather and pitch conditions are not expected to be adverse. Betting public heavily favor Espanyol.
  • Espanyol aim to maintain strong early-season momentum and solidify their position in the table. Mallorca seeks their first win but face a tough opponent in form and venue.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 117 Espanyol ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -0.25 -118 Espanyol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Espanyol 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Espanyol at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Barcelona vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff

Game Overview

Barcelona hosts Valencia in a La Liga clash with Barcelona as strong favourites based on current form, squad strength, and historical dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona currently ranks 4th in La Liga with 7 points from 3 matches (2W-1D-0L) and a +4 goal difference, showing solid attacking and defensive form. Valencia sits 9th with 4 points (1W-1D-1L) and +2 goal difference, showing less consistency.
  • Barcelona leads with 9 wins in the last 10 matchups against Valencia across all competitions, indicating a strong psychological and tactical advantage.
  • No major injury concerns reported for Barcelona impacting key attacking players; Valencia's squad reportedly has minor issues but nothing that significantly weakens their lineup.
  • Match played at Barcelona’s home ground, Estadi Johan Cruyff, providing home advantage. No weather or other external disruptions expected.
  • Barcelona aims to maintain momentum to push higher in the La Liga standings, while Valencia seeks to improve their mid-table status but face tougher opposition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -475, Valencia: 1000, Draw: 600 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona -2: -112, Valencia +2: -108 Barcelona -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: -122, Under 3.5: 102 Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win on the moneyline, covering the -2 goal spread, and the match to go over 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar

Game Overview

A closely matched La Liga game between mid-table CA Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, both showing moderate recent form. Osasuna have the home advantage but their form is mixed. Rayo Vallecano are slightly inconsistent but capable of an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna have a 1-0-2 record overall with 3 points, undefeated at home (1-0-0). Rayo Vallecano have 1-1-1 overall and won an away game recently. Both teams have similar goalscoring and conceding trends with low over/under results.
  • Historical encounters suggest a balanced rivalry with many draws and tight scorelines. Simulations estimate Osasuna win probability ~42.5%, Rayo win ~30%, draw ~27%, signaling a tight contest.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side as of now, suggesting both teams can field near full strength.
  • Playing at El Sadar provides Osasuna a solid home advantage, but no extreme environmental or scheduling factors impacting either team.
  • Both teams prize league points to improve position early in the season. Osasuna seeks home form consolidation, while Rayo looks to build momentum on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 154, away: 188, draw: 220 Osasuna ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -125, away: 105 Osasuna -0 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over: 100, under: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: CA Osasuna at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Osasuna win; Spread: Osasuna -0; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Levante vs. Real Betis Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Levante vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Game Overview

Levante will host Real Betis in a La Liga clash where Levante is currently struggling with no wins in their last three matches while Betis shows more balanced results. Betis is the slight favorite but the home advantage and recent form of Levante at home complicate the prediction.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Levante arrives with three straight losses and a 0-0-1 home record, indicating fragile form. Real Betis possesses a better overall record (1-2-1) and better away resilience, but Betis also has some draws and losses recently, reflecting inconsistency.
  • Recent head-to-head results are mixed, though Real Betis has a slight edge overall. Levante's home crowd support typically boosts their performance and makes them competitive against Betis.
  • No explicit major injuries reported for either side that significantly affect starting lineups.
  • The match is at Levante’s home ground which historically improves their competitiveness. No extraordinary external conditions reported.
  • Levante is motivated to end their winless streak especially at home, while Betis aims to consolidate their positive results. Early season points are crucial for both teams in La Liga standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Levante: +230, Real Betis: +135, Draw: +205 Levante ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Levante +25: -120, Real Betis -0.25: +100 Real Betis -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: +105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Levante 55%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Levante at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levante to win on the moneyline, Real Betis -0.25 on the spread, and under 2.25 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Celta Vigo vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo

Game Overview

Celta Vigo hosts Girona in a La Liga match where both teams have shown balanced historical competitiveness. Celta is slight favorite at home but Girona has recent success with two 1-0 wins last season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Celta Vigo shows solid home form and a slight edge in recent matches, while Girona has been competitive despite being underdogs and won both encounters last season.
  • 18 meetings show a balanced rivalry with 7 wins each and 5 draws. Last season Girona won both head-to-head games 1-0 each.
  • No critical injuries reported affecting starting line-ups from available data, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • Match played at Celta's home ground, giving them crowd advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues reported.
  • Early season motivation high for Celta to assert home dominance and for Girona to prove last season's results are not flukes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -142 Celta Vigo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread -112 Celta Vigo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under -115 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celta Vigo moneyline win, Celta -0.75 spread, Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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