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Sevilla vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Game Overview

Sevilla hosts Villarreal in this key La Liga clash, with both teams having mixed recent results but contrasting home and away forms. Villarreal enters as the narrow favorite according to odds, but Sevilla's strong home record makes this a tight matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla shows stronger form at home (2-0-0) but weaker away results; Villarreal is unbeaten away recently but has some inconsistency. Overall records are close: Sevilla 1-1-2 and Villarreal 2-1-1 in the season so far.
  • Historically competitive with balanced results; recent seasons show tight contests with neither side dominating decisively.
  • No significant injury information available to suggest major player absences impacting squad strength for either side.
  • Match is played at Sevilla's home ground, giving them a notable home advantage in terms of familiarity and crowd support.
  • Sevilla motivated to capitalize on home advantage and improve their La Liga standing; Villarreal aims to maintain momentum and exploit away streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: +200, Villarreal: +135, Draw: +235 Villarreal ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Sevilla: -122, Villarreal: +102 Villarreal -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Villarreal win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Levante vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Levante vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Ciutat de València

Game Overview

Real Madrid are in commanding form with a five-match winning streak and unbeaten in their last two visits to Levante. Levante have struggled with inconsistency and have only one win in their last five matches. This matchup is heavily tilted in favor of Real Madrid.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid boast five consecutive wins this season and remain unbeaten away against Levante in recent encounters. Levante, by contrast, have four losses in five games with defensive lapses evident.
  • Real Madrid have not lost in their last two meetings against Levante, suggesting psychological and tactical dominance.
  • No major injury disruptions reported for either side; key players like Kylian Mbappe and Ivan Romero are expected to feature.
  • Playing at home at Estadi Ciutat de València has offered Levante limited advantage given their poor home record this season. Real Madrid’s travel and schedule show no notable fatigue issues.
  • Real Madrid’s momentum and title ambitions provide strong motivation, whereas Levante appear under pressure to improve form but lack consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Levante: +575, Real Madrid: -280, Draw: +475 Real Madrid ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Levante +1.5: -115, Real Madrid -1.5: -105 Real Madrid -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.25: -102, Under 3.25: -118 Over 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid win on the moneyline, cover -1.5 goal spread, and over 3.25 total goals

Predicted Score: 1-4


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Espanyol vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium

Game Overview

Espanyol hosts Valencia in a closely contested La Liga fixture where Espanyol is narrowly favored, but Valencia remains a strong competitive threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol has shown slightly better recent form than Valencia with a stable home record, while Valencia has struggled for consistency on the road.
  • Recent simulations and head-to-head stats indicate Espanyol has about a 40% chance to win, Valencia about 32%, with draws around 27%, showing a tight matchup historically.
  • No major injury news significantly affecting either side has been reported, suggesting both lineups should be near full strength.
  • The match at Espanyol's home ground (RCDE Stadium) favors the home side due to familiar surroundings and fan support; weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • Espanyol's motivation is higher, aiming to capitalize on home advantage early in the season to secure points, while Valencia looks to bounce back from mixed recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 131, Valencia: 220, Draw: 225 Espanyol ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Espanyol: -0.25 -102, Valencia: +25 -118 Espanyol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 100, Under: 2.25 -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Espanyol -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Espanyol win; Spread: Espanyol -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de San Mamés

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Girona in a La Liga match where Bilbao is in strong form, undefeated at home with solid recent results, while Girona struggles on the road with no away wins and a weak defensive record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has a 3-0-1 overall record, undefeated at home (2-0-1), and recently won 3 of 4 matches. Girona has 0-1-3 overall, no away wins, and concedes an average of 3 goals per away game.
  • Historical data and simulations heavily favor Athletic Bilbao with a 58.3% win probability, Girona at 18.3%, and draws at 23.4%. Past matches show Bilbao dominance especially at home.
  • No notable injuries reported for either side influencing key starting players, sustaining both teams' typical strength.
  • No adverse external factors such as weather or travel fatigue significantly impacting this match; Bilbao playing at home with full crowd support.
  • Athletic Bilbao motivated to maintain strong home form and solidify league position; Girona under pressure after poor away performances and low points tally (1 point).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -235, draw: +375, away: +600 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: +105, away: -125 Athletic Bilbao -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win moneyline, -1.25 spread in favor of Athletic Bilbao, and under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Barcelona vs. Getafe Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Getafe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff, Barcelona

Game Overview

Barcelona face Getafe in a La Liga matchup where Barcelona are strong favorites given their dominant home form and attacking prowess, while Getafe have shown resilience recently but historically struggle against Barcelona away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona are 3-0 in their last 5 games with high scoring, including a 6-0 home win and a recent 2-1 Champions League victory. Getafe have made a solid start with 3 wins in 4 matches but average fewer goals per game.
  • Historically, Barcelona have dominated, winning all but one of the last 25 meetings. Getafe rarely lose by large margins to Barcelona but have never won an away league match against them.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side, implying full strength squads likely available.
  • Barcelona recently played a midweek Champions League match which may impact fatigue, but their squad depth and home advantage counterbalance this. Getafe have had more rest.
  • Barcelona are motivated to maintain their strong home form and respond to past dropped points, while Getafe aim to capitalize on momentum and avoid heavy defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -460, away: 1300, draw: 525 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona -1.75: -120, Getafe +1.75: 100 Barcelona -1.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over 3 goals: -118, under 3 goals: -102 Under 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Barcelona to win; Spread: Barcelona -1.75; Over/Under: Under 3 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Elche CF vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Elche CF vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Game Overview

Elche CF hosts Real Oviedo in a La Liga clash where Elche are favored based on form, standings, and statistical models. This is an early-season fixture with Elche sitting comfortably in mid-table and Oviedo struggling to find consistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elche has won 1 of their last 5 matches with 3 draws, showing stable form, while Oviedo has a poor record with multiple losses recently. Elche ranks 8th in La Liga after four matchdays with six points, indicating better league form than Oviedo.
  • Recent head-to-heads have been tight; the last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw. Historically, Elche has a slight edge playing at home with a better recent away record for Oviedo.
  • No critical injury news reported for either side affecting key starters, suggesting teams will field near full-strength squads.
  • No significant external factors like weather or travel fatigue reported. Both teams play under normal conditions at Elche's stadium.
  • Elche is motivated to consolidate their position in La Liga mid-table and aim for higher placement, while Oviedo aims to escape the lower ranks, but current form suggests limited momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Elche -106, Oviedo +345, Draw +220 Elche ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Elche -0.5 (-108), Oviedo +50 (-112) Elche -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 (-105), Under 2 (-115) Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Elche CF -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elche to win moneyline, Elche -0.5 spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Mallorca vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid enters as a clear favorite in this La Liga matchup against Mallorca, favored by recent form, head-to-head dominance, and better squad depth. Mallorca have struggled to secure wins this season and Atlético look to consolidate their status with a disciplined and pragmatic approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid holds a stronger recent La Liga form with 1-2-1 compared to Mallorca's 0-1-3. Atlético’s solid defense and ability to capitalize on chances contrasts with Mallorca’s challenges in converting form into wins.
  • Atlético Madrid has won 7 of the last 10 meetings. Matchups often yield low scoring affairs with an average of about 2.3 goals per game.
  • No specific critical injuries reported for Atlético Madrid. Mallorca’s squad depth and injury status could adversely affect their competitiveness.
  • The game will be played at Mallorca’s home ground with moderate pressure on the home side. Atlético Madrid’s recent tough schedule, including a Champions League match against Liverpool, might affect their freshness but their squad depth offsets this.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure 3 points to stay competitive in La Liga standings, while Mallorca seeks to break out of a poor run but lacks confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -134, Mallorca: +390, Draw: +260 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Atlético Madrid -0.75: -102, Mallorca +75: -118 Atlético Madrid -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win straight up; Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: Atlético Madrid 1 – 0 Mallorca


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Rayo Vallecano hosts Celta Vigo in a La Liga clash where Rayo shows a slight edge in recent form and head-to-head results. Both teams have had mixed starts, but Rayo has won the last two meetings and boasts a solid home record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rayo Vallecano has scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches and won their previous 2 encounters against Celta. Celta Vigo has scored 4 goals in last 5 games but is on a 5-match winless streak, impacting their confidence negatively.
  • Of the previous 22 meetings, Rayo Vallecano has won 9 times, Celta 6, with 7 draws. Recent H2H favors Rayo with 2 consecutive wins and several draws, suggesting a psychological advantage.
  • No major injury reports are available for either team that significantly alter the lineup dynamics.
  • Rayo plays at home in Estadio de Vallecas, which is known for its passionate atmosphere. Celta's recent penalty conceding trend (most in the league) might add defensive pressure.
  • Rayo aims to build momentum early in the season with strong home performances. Celta’s lack of wins in recent matches motivates urgency but also pressure, possibly leading to errors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 133, away: 220, draw: 220 Rayo Vallecano ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -102, away: -118, spread: 25 Rayo Vallecano -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -122, under: 102, line: 2.25 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rayo Vallecano at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rayo Vallecano to win moneyline, Rayo Vallecano -0.25 Asian handicap, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Valencia vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia, Spain

Game Overview

Valencia hosts Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga matchup where Athletic Bilbao leads the standings with strong form, but Valencia has home advantage and a more desperate need for points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao is in excellent form (3-0-1 overall, undefeated in last matches) and sits 4th in La Liga with 9 points, while Valencia struggles with a 1-1-2 record and a negative goal difference (-4). Bilbao has shown better consistency and away performance.
  • Recent head-to-head encounters favor Athletic Bilbao slightly, but matches have been competitive. Valencia holds a slight home advantage historically, though Athletic has the upper hand statistically this season.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting lineups for either side were found in the analyzed data, suggesting both teams will field close to full strength.
  • Playing at Mestalla gives Valencia a home crowd advantage, but Bilbao’s motivation and current form may offset this. No extreme weather or external disruptions reported.
  • Valencia is under pressure to improve standings (currently 15th) and eager to secure home points. Athletic Bilbao aims to maintain their unbeaten streak and top-table position, adding strategic motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +205, away: +153, draw: +200 Valencia ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: +112, away: -134 Valencia +0 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -122, under: +102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valencia 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Valencia at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Athletic Bilbao's form and league position, Valencia's home advantage and motivation to recover from poor results suggests a high-value bet on the home moneyline.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Villarreal vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica

Game Overview

Villarreal hosts CA Osasuna in a La Liga clash with Villarreal currently ranked 6th and Osasuna 9th. Villarreal has a strong historic advantage and home form, but recent goal-scoring struggles reduce their edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has not scored in their last two matches but scored 8 goals in their last 5 overall. Osasuna remains unbeaten in the last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and shows defensive solidity with only 0.6 goals conceded per match recently.
  • In their last 6 meetings, Villarreal has not lost to Osasuna (4 wins, 2 draws) and leads the overall H2H record with 16 wins vs Osasuna's 12 in 35 games since 2003.
  • Key Villarreal players Gerard Moreno, Logan Costa, Pau Cabanes, and Willy Kambwala are injured, potentially weakening their attacking options. Osasuna miss Moi Gomez due to injury but have fewer absences impacting starting lineup.
  • The match at Villarreal's Estadio de la Cerámica provides a home advantage. Villarreal's recent Champions League and La Liga fixtures might contribute to fatigue, impacting performance.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain their top-6 standing and bounce back after recent losses, while Osasuna looks to continue their unbeaten streak and close the points gap in the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -181, CA Osasuna +460, Draw +330 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Villarreal -1 (-108), CA Osasuna +1 (-112) Villarreal -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-120), Under 2.5 (+100) Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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