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Villarreal vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal hosts Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga clash with Villarreal unbeaten at home this season (3-0-0) and Athletic Bilbao showing mixed form away. Villarreal is stronger overall in recent matches and holds a slight points advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has a 4-1-1 overall record with 13 points, showing good momentum and consistency at home. Athletic Bilbao holds a 3-1-2 record with 10 points and has been somewhat inconsistent, especially away (1-0-1). Villarreal is also 2-0-1 against the spread at home whereas Athletic Bilbao struggles ATS on the road.
  • Recent meetings have been fairly balanced, with two of the last three league games ending in draws. Villarreal tends to have a slight edge at home historically, but Athletic Bilbao remains competitive.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side that would significantly affect starting lineups or tactical setup.
  • No major external disruptions or unusual conditions. The match is played at Villarreal's home stadium under normal circumstances.
  • Villarreal aims to consolidate their strong home form to stay in the upper half of the table, while Athletic Bilbao seeks to improve inconsistency and gain points on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -125 Villarreal -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -122 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal moneyline (win)

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Mallorca vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Game Overview

Mallorca hosts Alavés in a La Liga match where Mallorca is underperforming with no wins in five games, while Alavés has a slightly better form but mixed results overall. The game is expected to be tightly contested with modest attacking output and moderate defensive solidity from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mallorca is winless (0-2-3) with only 2 points from their last 5 matches, scoring on average 1 goal per game but failing to convert this into wins. Alavés has a 2-2-2 record with 8 points, showing more balanced form and slightly better away performances.
  • Historical data and predictive simulations give Mallorca approximately a 41% chance of winning, Alavés around 30%, with draws near 29%. Previous matchups have been closely contested.
  • No significant injury news suggests major starters absent for either side, maintaining strength but no clear advantage.
  • Mallorca's home advantage at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is a positive factor for them, but their poor home form limits the boost. Weather and travel conditions seem neutral.
  • Mallorca needs points desperately to avoid early season relegation struggles, providing higher motivation versus Alavés who is slightly more comfortable in mid-table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mallorca: +130, Alavés: +245, Draw: +200 Mallorca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mallorca -0.25: -108, Alavés +25: -112 Mallorca -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: +108, Under 2: -128 Under 2 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mallorca 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mallorca Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid host Real Madrid in a heated Madrid Derby with contrasting early season form; Atlético face injury challenges and inconsistency, while Real Madrid remain undefeated and strong in midfield.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid have been inconsistent with 5 points in 4 games, showing defensive grit but lacking creativity after losing Thiago Almada to injury. Real Madrid boast a perfect 4-0 start with dominant midfield control by Camavinga, Valverde, and Bellingham.
  • Recent matchups have been tightly contested, but Real Madrid have edged Atlético with more consistent wins. Historical derbies are typically low scoring and tactically intense.
  • Atlético Madrid’s key creative midfielder Thiago Almada is out with a muscle injury, limiting Atlético’s attacking options. Real Madrid report no significant absences.
  • The match is at Atlético’s home ground, Estadio Wanda Metropolitano, providing a slight home advantage despite Madrid’s overall better form.
  • Real Madrid aim to maintain their flawless start and top of the table position, while Atlético seek to stabilize their inconsistent campaign and gain morale with a strong derby showing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: 190, Real Madrid: 135, Draw: 250 Real Madrid ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Atlético Madrid +25: -125, Real Madrid -0.25: 105 Real Madrid -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Madrid at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Getafe vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Getafe vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Coliseum, Getafe

Game Overview

Getafe, playing at home, has shown stronger form and better overall results so far this La Liga season compared to Levante. Levante struggles on the road with only one away point and multiple losses. This matchup features a confident Getafe side looking to consolidate their position versus a Levante team seeking to recover.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Getafe holds a 3-0-2 record overall with 9 points, undefeated at home, while Levante is 1-1-3 with 4 points and winless away. Getafe’s recent form is superior with 3 wins in last 5 games and a strong defensive record.
  • Recent H2H favors Getafe with multiple wins in recent encounters and superior goal margins. Getafe tends to control games and capitalize on Levante's defensive frailties.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side that would drastically change starting lineups or competitiveness. Both teams are near full strength.
  • Match played at Getafe's home ground, Estadio Coliseum, which has seen Getafe undefeated at home this season. No external disruptions expected.
  • Getafe is motivated to maintain strong home form and push up the table, while Levante faces pressure to improve their poor away performance and avoid dropping points in a winnable game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Getafe -103, Levante 330, Draw 215 Getafe ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Getafe -0.5 -102, Levante +50 -118 Getafe -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -115, Under 2 -105 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Getafe 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Getafe to win moneyline, Getafe -0.5 spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Girona vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Game Overview

Girona hosts Espanyol in a La Liga match where Girona is the slight favorite given home advantage and recent form, with Espanyol also competitive and capable of an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona has struggled recently with 1 draw and 4 losses in last 5 matches, scoring fewer goals overall. Espanyol has better recent form with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring more goals and keeping more clean sheets.
  • Historically, encounters are balanced but Girona is favored slightly at home. Simulations give Girona a 41.1% win chance, Espanyol 33.0%, and draws 25.8%.
  • No major injury reports or suspensions impacting key players for either side were noted, so both teams likely at near full strength.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel fatigue noted; standard La Liga midweek fixture.
  • Girona sits lower in the standings and needs points to climb, providing strong motivation at home. Espanyol has momentum from recent wins that boosts confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: 143, Espanyol: 190, Draw: 235 Girona ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Girona -0.25: 110, Espanyol +25: -130 Girona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win on the moneyline, Girona -0.25 spread, and Under 2.5 goals for total score

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Oviedo vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Game Overview

Barcelona, currently in strong form with a 4-1-0 record this season and unbeaten away record (2-1-0), face Real Oviedo, who struggle with a 1-0-4 record and no away wins this season. Barcelona are heavy favorites due to superior squad quality, goal-scoring ability, and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona's recent form is excellent, undefeated away with multiple wins (2-1-0), accumulating 13 points. Oviedo have only 3 points from 5 games, winless at home the last 4 matches.
  • Historically, Barcelona dominates H2H with Oviedo, with Barcelona winning most recent clashes. Oviedo have not competed in La Liga for years, limiting recent direct comparisons but form heavily favors Barcelona.
  • No major injuries reported affecting Barcelona’s key attackers. Oviedo's squad fitness appears intact but lacking star power.
  • Venue is Oviedo's home stadium, but attendance at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere unlikely to offset Barcelona’s quality advantage and tactical superiority.
  • Barcelona motivated to maintain top-of-the-table status with consistent wins. Oviedo aim to secure first win of the season but face tough challenge versus top side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -390, Oviedo: +800, Draw: +575 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Barcelona -1.75: -112, Oviedo +1.75: -108 Barcelona -1.75 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105 Over 3.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona moneyline win

Predicted Score: Oviedo 1 – 4 Barcelona


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CA Osasuna vs. Elche CF Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Elche CF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

Game Overview

CA Osasuna hosts Elche CF in a La Liga match with Osasuna favored but Elche showing recent good form, making this a competitive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna has a balanced recent form with 2 wins, 3 losses in last 5 across all competitions, while Elche is on an upward momentum, with improved results and strong away performance recently.
  • Historically, Osasuna holds a slight advantage at home, but matches are often close; Elche has managed draws and occasional wins at Estadio El Sadar.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that would drastically change the expected lineup or performance.
  • No notable external disruptions; playing at home gives Osasuna a slight edge with fan support.
  • Elche is motivated to continue positive momentum and secure points away, Osasuna aims to maintain home strength and climb La Liga standings early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +102, away: +340, draw: +200 Home Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home_-0.5: +102, away_+50: -122 CA Osasuna -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over_2.25: +108, under_2.25: -128 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna 133%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: CA Osasuna at 133% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

CA Osasuna to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Real Sociedad vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Anoeta

Game Overview

Real Sociedad hosts Mallorca in La Liga, with Real Sociedad looking to bounce back from a challenging start and Mallorca struggling on the road with no wins so far.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Sociedad holds a 0-2-3 record this season, earning 2 points, with an undefeated home points tally of 1; Mallorca has a 0-1-3 record and zero points away from home, indicating weaker away form.
  • Real Sociedad has dominated historically with 15 wins in the last 20 home meetings vs Mallorca; most common result is a 1-0 victory for Real Sociedad.
  • No significant injury updates reported impacting starting lineups for either side.
  • Match played at Real Sociedad’s home stadium provides home advantage; no adverse weather or extreme external issues identified.
  • Real Sociedad motivated to improve home form and gain points early in season; Mallorca under pressure due to poor away form and no points earned on road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Sociedad -133, Mallorca +390, Draw +255 Real Sociedad ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Real Sociedad -0.75 -102, Mallorca +75 -118 Real Sociedad -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Sociedad 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Sociedad to win the moneyline, with a spread on Real Sociedad -0.75, and the match to go under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Atlético Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga clash where Atlético is favored but recent form and defenses suggest a tight game with low scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has a home record of 1-1-0 with some inconsistency, accumulating 6 points overall. Rayo Vallecano is less consistent away (0-2-0) with 5 points total. Both teams show weak goal-scoring form with low over/under averages.
  • Historically balanced with no clear dominance; recent matches suggest cautious play, leaning to under 2.5 goals outcomes.
  • No major injury information available, assume no significant absences impacting key players.
  • Match at home ground gives Atlético Madrid an advantage; neutral weather conditions expected; no unusual external distractions identified.
  • Atlético Madrid motivated to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standing; Rayo looking to disrupt the home side's rhythm to gain points after weak away results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -190 (Atlético Madrid), 500 (Rayo Vallecano), 325 (Draw) Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -1 (-110) Atlético Madrid, +1 (-110) Rayo Vallecano Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 -115, Under 2.5 -105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win on the moneyline, with an expectation of a low-scoring match and Atlético covering the -1 spread.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Getafe vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Getafe vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Game Overview

Getafe hosts Alavés in a tightly contested La Liga matchup where both teams have exhibited mixed form. Getafe has a slight edge at home but Alavés is capable of an upset, making this an evenly balanced affair with potential for a low to moderate scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Getafe shows moderate home strength with a 41.8% simulated win probability but has inconsistent recent results. Alavés has struggled on the road but can capitalize on defensive lapses by Getafe. Recent form trends show cautious but competitive play from both sides.
  • H2H meetings are fairly even with a slight historical advantage to Getafe. Past encounters frequently end in draws or narrow margins, indicating competitive balance.
  • No major injury news affecting starting lineups for either team, so both can field near full-strength squads.
  • Weather and pitch conditions at Estadio Coliseum Alfonso Pérez expected to be normal and unlikely to affect play significantly.
  • Mid-season positioning pushes both teams to secure points; Getafe aims to consolidate mid-table status while Alavés seeks to climb from lower ranks, slightly incentivizing both to play cautiously.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Getafe: 130, Alavés: 255, Draw: 195 Getafe ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Getafe -0.25: -108, Alavés +25: -112 Getafe -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 1.75: 100, Under 1.75: -120 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Getafe 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Getafe win; Spread: Getafe -0.25; Over/Under: Under 1.75 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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