Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Valladolid – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadi de Son Moix, Palma, Spain
Game Overview
Mallorca, currently 10th in LaLiga, faces 20th-placed Valladolid. This matchup pits a mid-table side with home advantage against a struggling visitor battling relegation. Mallorca's recent form is stronger, and they are heavy favorites as per the odds, with Valladolid in a dire streak of performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mallorca have shown resilient form at home, while Valladolid have lost four of their last five league matches by heavy margins. Mallorca's recent defeat (1-0 to Girona) was narrow, unlike Valladolid's struggles. Valladolid are on a poor run of results, conceding multiple goals in recent away fixtures.
- Limited head-to-head data for the season, but Mallorca have historically fared better in home matches. Their previous encounter this season was not widely reported, but based on standings and form, Mallorca are considered favorites.
- No specific injury news reported as of now.
- Home advantage is significant for Mallorca. Early local kickoff (16:30 UTC) may affect comfort levels but is unlikely to be a major disruptor. Weather is not expected to be extreme.
- Mallorca secure in mid-table, while Valladolid are desperate for points, though their recent form suggests they may struggle to perform. Mallorca can play with less pressure, while Valladolid's situation is tense.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mallorca: -300, Valladolid: 850, Draw: 400 | Mallorca win | High (80%) |
| Spread | Mallorca: -1.25 -122, Valladolid: 1.25 102 | Mallorca to cover spread | Medium (60%) |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 | Under 2.5 goals | Medium-High (65%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mallorca -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mallorca are clear favorites to win this match, with the data and odds reflecting their superior form and home advantage. Valladolid's recent poor performances and low confidence levels make an upset unlikely.
Predicted Score: Mallorca 2-0 Valladolid