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Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

Girona, ranked 9th in La Liga, face off against 11th-placed Rayo Vallecano. Both teams have a competitive recent history, with Girona having slightly better home form. The match kicks off the La Liga 2025-26 season at Girona's home ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona have had mixed results lately, winning only 2 of their last 16 La Liga matches, indicating inconsistency. Rayo Vallecano have been similarly inconsistent but have won only 1 of their last 8 clashes against Girona in La Liga.
  • In recent head-to-heads, Girona have lost about 50% of their matches to Rayo Vallecano historically. The last season, the two teams played twice, showing a balanced rivalry. Predictive simulations give Girona a 43.6% chance to win, Rayo 30.0%, and a draw 26.5%.
  • No specific injury data is available from sources; assume no major absences affecting starting lineups.
  • The match is played at Girona’s home ground, Estadi Montilivi, which could provide home advantage. Weather or other environmental factors are not mentioned.
  • Being the season opener, both teams are motivated to start strongly. Girona, playing at home and with slightly better preseason outlook, may have marginally higher motivation to secure points early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: 1.31, Rayo Vallecano: 2.2, Draw: 2.25 Girona to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Girona_-0.25: -102, Rayo_+25: -118 Girona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over_2.25: -118, Under_2.25: -102 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona favored to win narrowly, with the match expected to be competitive and potentially low scoring given recent form and odds.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao faces Barcelona in a crucial La Liga match. Barcelona is currently leading the league, while Athletic Bilbao is in fourth place. The match is expected to be competitive, with Barcelona favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has been performing well this season, holding the top spot in La Liga. Athletic Bilbao has shown strong home performances but faces a tough challenge against Barcelona.
  • Historically, Barcelona has a strong head-to-head record against Athletic Bilbao, with more wins.
  • Recent injuries for both teams are not specified, but their impact could be significant if key players are missing.
  • External factors such as weather and crowd support could influence the match, with San Mamés known for its intense atmosphere.
  • Barcelona is highly motivated to secure the league title, while Athletic Bilbao seeks to secure a top-four finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao 220, Barcelona 110, Draw 280 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Athletic Bilbao +25 -102, Barcelona -0.25 -118 Barcelona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3 -118, Under 3 -102 Under 3 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona is likely to win due to their strong form and league position, but Athletic Bilbao's home advantage could make it a close match.

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 1 – Barcelona 2


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Villarreal vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 25, 2025
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal, currently ranked 5th, hosts Sevilla, ranked 16th, in the final round of La Liga. Villarreal has secured 67 points, while Sevilla has 41 points. Historically, Villarreal has been dominant at home against Sevilla.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has secured 20 wins out of 39 matches, while Sevilla has struggled with losses in 50% of their last 6 games.
  • Villarreal has not lost to Sevilla in their last 6 home matches. Both teams have scored in each of the last 6 encounters.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but Villarreal's recent form suggests they are less likely to have significant absences.
  • Weather conditions are not expected to impact the match significantly.
  • Villarreal has stronger motivation to secure a win, given their position in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal: -210, Sevilla: 475, Draw: 390 Villarreal Win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Villarreal: -1.25 100, Sevilla: 1.25 -120 Villarreal Cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -122, Under 3: 102 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal is likely to win this match based on their home form and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Villarreal 3, Sevilla 1


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Girona vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

In the final round of the La Liga 2024-2025 season, Girona hosts Atlético Madrid at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. Girona currently ranks 15th in the league, fighting to secure their position, while Atlético Madrid holds 3rd place, aiming to finish strong for Champions League qualification. Atlético Madrid enters this match as favorites given their superior form and league position. Girona has shown mixed results recently, with some home resilience but generally fewer wins against top teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Madrid has been consistent in securing wins and draws against mid and lower table teams, while Girona has struggled to maintain form with alternating wins, losses, and draws in recent matches. Atletico's defensive solidity and efficient attack contrast with Girona's home performances which are competitive but less reliable against high-caliber opposition.
  • The current season saw Girona and Atlético Madrid clash once, with Atlético Madrid winning that encounter. Overall historical data favors Atlético, with Girona winning only about 27.5% of simulated outcomes, Atlético winning about 48.5%, and draws around 24%. Atlético Madrid has the clear edge in head-to-head performance in recent seasons.
  • No specific injury updates were available in the sources, suggesting no significant absences for either side that would drastically affect lineups or tactics.
  • The match is being played at Girona’s home ground, giving them some home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not noted as adverse. Atlético Madrid’s motivation to secure a high league finish and European qualification could be a strong external motivator.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure a top 3 finish for Champions League qualification, possibly influencing their approach with higher intensity and tactical discipline. Girona, fighting to avoid a mid-lower table finish, will be motivated to take points on home soil but faces an uphill challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Madrid: -110, Girona: 265, Draw: 290 Atlético Madrid win ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Atletico Madrid: -0.5 -105, Girona: +50 -115 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 3 -108, Under: 3 -112 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win, with a balanced chance of a draw, Girona is less likely to win but could challenge closely given home advantage and motivation to perform well in the last fixture.

Predicted Score: Girona 1 – 2 Atlético Madrid


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Getafe vs. Celta Vigo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Getafe vs Celta Vigo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga fixture between Getafe and Celta Vigo is scheduled at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, with Celta Vigo entering as the favorites according to odds and predictive models. Both teams have had mixed recent performances, with Celta demonstrating slightly stronger form and better overall statistics in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Getafe has struggled somewhat this season, with a lower win probability and inferior recent results compared to Celta Vigo. Celta Vigo has shown moderate consistency and poses a more dynamic threat in attack and stability in defense.
  • The historical head-to-head suggests a slight edge for Celta Vigo, who have won more encounters than Getafe recently. Draws have also been a common outcome between these two sides, reflecting closely contested matches.
  • Current injury reports do not indicate any major absences for either team, allowing both to field near full-strength lineups.
  • Playing at home gives Getafe a slight boost, but Celta Vigo's better away form in this league season somewhat offsets this advantage. The match timing and weather conditions are standard, with no unusual external factors impacting the game.
  • Celta Vigo holds motivation for securing league points to maintain or improve their league standing, while Getafe aims to capitalize on home advantage to avoid dropping points in a closely fought relegation or mid-table battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Celta Vigo: -115, Getafe: 320, Draw: 265 Celta Vigo win ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Celta Vigo: -0.5 -115, Getafe: 50 -105 Celta Vigo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -120, Under: 2.25 100 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celta Vigo is predicted to edge out a narrow victory given their stronger form and superior odds, but a draw remains a plausible outcome due to the evenly matched contest and Getafe's home ground advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Alavés vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mendizorrotza Stadium, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Alavés and CA Osasuna is a critical late-season fixture. Alavés, playing at home, are looking to improve their form after a challenging season, while Osasuna arrive as favorites, having the psychological edge from recent head-to-head dominance and better overall league form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna have been in relatively stronger form compared to Alavés, maintaining an unbeaten streak in their last 10 La Liga meetings against Alavés. Alavés have struggled for consistency this season, particularly at home, which casts doubt on their ability to secure a win in this encounter.
  • Osasuna lead recent head-to-head statistics, unbeaten in the last 10 La Liga matches against Alavés, showing a clear historical advantage and mental edge in this matchup[4].
  • No significant injury reports were noted in the available sources; however, last-minute fitness updates could affect team selection and tactics.
  • Playing at Mendizorrotza Stadium provides Alavés a home ground advantage, but the pressure to secure points might impact their approach. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for late May in northern Spain with no disruptive external factors reported.
  • Osasuna are motivated to secure points to maintain or improve their league standing, bolstered by confidence from past results. Alavés, potentially fighting relegation or for pride late in the season, have motivation but may be under psychological pressure facing a historically dominant opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 2.15, CA Osasuna: 1.35, Draw: 2.25 CA Osasuna to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Alavés: -0.25 @ -120, CA Osasuna: +25 @ 100 CA Osasuna -0.25 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: 1.25 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: CA Osasuna at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction favors CA Osasuna to win or at least avoid defeat, with a likely competitive but tightly contested match. Given the defensive solidity and historical dominance of Osasuna, a narrow margin victory or a draw seems plausible.

Predicted Score: Alavés 1 – 2 CA Osasuna


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Rayo Vallecano (8th, 51 points) host Mallorca (10th, 47 points) in a crucial La Liga encounter. Rayo have been strong at home, undefeated in 5 of the last 6 home matches, while Mallorca have struggled on the road with three straight away losses and only 1 win in their last 11 away matches. The positioning of both teams suggests a tight, competitive fixture with Rayo as slight favorites due to home advantage and better recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rayo Vallecano have won 3 of their last 6 matches across all leagues and are undefeated in 5 of their last 6 home games. Mallorca have lost 4 of their last 6 La Liga matches and are on a poor run of just 1 win in 11 away matches. Rayo's home form is a key strength, while Mallorca's away struggles are a significant weakness.
  • Historically, Mallorca have a strong record against Rayo, winning 14 out of 24 matches, though Rayo have only managed 2 wins in their last 17 La Liga encounters against Mallorca. Recent trends, however, suggest Rayo have improved and Mallorca are faltering.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team as of current data from major sports outlets. Team sheets should be monitored closer to kickoff for any late updates.
  • The match is at Estadio de Vallecas, where Rayo Vallecano enjoy strong home support and positive recent results. No major external disruptions expected.
  • Both teams are secure from relegation but are playing for mid-table pride and potential European qualification (via league or cup). Neither has a strong incentive for all-out attack, which may lead to a cautious approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mallorca: 525, Rayo Vallecano: -185, Draw: 310 Rayo Vallecano ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mallorca: 1 -115, Rayo Vallecano: -1 -105 Rayo Vallecano -1 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rayo Vallecano are favored to win due to their superior home form and Mallorca's poor away record. The match may be close, but Rayo should edge it by a slim margin.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Rayo Vallecano


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Espanyol vs. Las Palmas Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Las Palmas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium

Game Overview

Espanyol will host Las Palmas for the final fixture of the La Liga season at RCDE Stadium. Both teams struggle recently with five losses in their last six league games. Espanyol are slightly better positioned in the table and have a home advantage, whereas Las Palmas are fighting to improve their standings. Historically, Espanyol hold dominance at home against Las Palmas, being unbeaten in their last six head-to-head home matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol is 17th in the league with 39 points, showing a weak recent form with five losses in the last six matches. Las Palmas is 19th with 32 points, also having a poor run with five losses in six games. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses but low scoring games are common recently, especially with under 2.5 goals in most matches for both sides.
  • Espanyol have the advantage historically at home over Las Palmas, unbeaten in the last six home meetings. The teams have had a balanced record in recent head-to-head encounters but Espanyol tends to come out ahead in home fixtures.
  • There is no specific injury information available for this match, but both teams likely have some fitness concerns given their current form and late season fatigue.
  • The match is the last game of the season, increasing the pressure on both sides. Weather and pitch conditions at RCDE Stadium are expected to be normal. Fan support favors Espanyol strongly.
  • Espanyol have more motivation as they are closer to the relegation zone and fighting for survival. Las Palmas too are in a relegation battle but with fewer points, their chances are slimmer, possibly affecting morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: -280, Las Palmas: 700, Draw: 400 Espanyol win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Espanyol -1.25: -120, Las Palmas +1.25: 100 Espanyol to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Espanyol -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol are favored to win narrowly due to home advantage, historical dominance, and stronger motivation. A tight match with low scoring is most probable.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Leganés vs. Valladolid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leganés vs Valladolid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Game Overview

The Spanish La Liga match between Leganés and Valladolid on May 24, 2025, features two teams with contrasting recent forms. Leganés has shown stronger performances recently with a record including two wins in their last five matches, whereas Valladolid has struggled significantly with five consecutive losses. The game will be hosted at Leganés' home ground, giving them a distinct advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leganés has demonstrated improved form recently with a DDWLW sequence in their last five outings, displaying defensive solidity and ability to secure wins. Valladolid, in contrast, is in poor form with an LLLLL streak, indicating low confidence and offensive struggles.
  • The historical matchups between Leganés and Valladolid generally favor Leganés, especially when playing at home. Recent encounters have seen Leganés maintain upper hand both in results and goal margins.
  • Current information does not indicate major injury concerns for either team that would heavily impact the starting lineups, allowing both to field their strongest available squads.
  • Playing at Estadio Municipal de Butarque offers Leganés home support and familiarity, which may influence the match tempo and control. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal, with no significant disruptions forecasted.
  • Leganés is motivated to consolidate their position in La Liga standings, whereas Valladolid's motivation is likely hampered by their poor form and need to avoid relegation, possibly affecting their performance under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leganés: -325, Valladolid: 800, Draw: 460 Leganés Win ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Leganés -1.5: -110, Valladolid +1.5: -110 Leganés -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 Under 2.75 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leganés -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leganés is predicted to win this match comfortably, with a strong likelihood of a low-scoring game given Valladolid's defensive difficulties and Leganés' solid defensive record.

Predicted Score: 2:0


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Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

Game Overview

The match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Real Madrid favored due to their home advantage and stronger squad depth. Real Sociedad, however, will likely employ a defensive strategy to counter Madrid's attacking firepower.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid has a strong home record, but Real Sociedad's defensive setup could limit scoring opportunities. Madrid's attacking players like Mbappé and Vinicius Jr. could be decisive factors.
  • Recent head-to-heads have been competitive, with Real Sociedad sometimes causing upsets.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but Real Sociedad's midfield may be affected by potential absences.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the match, but no specific weather conditions are noted as affecting the game.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, with Real Madrid seeking to maintain their league position and Real Sociedad trying to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Madrid: -240, Real Sociedad: 525, Draw: 420 Real Madrid to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Real Madrid: -1.25 -115, Real Sociedad: 1.25 -105 Real Madrid to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.25: -102, Under 3.25: -118 Under 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid is likely to win, given their home advantage and attacking strength, but Real Sociedad's defensive strategy could make it a tight match.

Predicted Score: Real Madrid 2, Real Sociedad 0


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