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Barcelona vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Barcelona vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi OlΓ­mpic LluΓ­s Companys, Barcelona

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Barcelona and Real Madrid, set for May 11, 2025, is one of the most highly anticipated fixtures in Spanish football. Both teams are Giants with a historic rivalry, often impacting league standings and morale. The match is scheduled for Matchday 35 and will be hosted at Barcelona’s Estadi OlΓ­mpic LluΓ­s Companys. This encounter is crucial for late-season positioning and could have title implications given the competitive nature of both squads.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona has shown strong form at home this season, capitalizing on solid attacking and organized defense, though they have some injury concerns. Real Madrid, while currently carrying more injuries among key defensive players, continue to demonstrate resilience and clinical scoring ability. Recent head-to-head results have been tight, with close scorelines indicative of high tactical battles.
  • Historically, Barcelona and Real Madrid matches are fiercely contested. In recent meetings, both teams have exchanged narrow wins and a notable draw in the Copa del Rey, highlighting the competitive balance between them. Real Madrid’s recent La Liga wins include narrow victories, whereas Barcelona has leveraged home advantage effectively in past derbies.
  • Real Madrid face significant absences including Rodrygo, F. Mendy, A. RΓΌdiger, D. Alaba, E. Camavinga, Γ‰der MilitΓ£o, and Dani Carvajal, which could weaken their defense. Barcelona also have injury issues impacting players Dani RodrΓ­guez, Pablo Torre, Alejandro Balde, J. KoundΓ©, Marc CasadΓ³, and Marc Bernal, which may affect squad depth and tactical options.
  • The match location at Estadi OlΓ­mpic LluΓ­s Companys gives Barcelona a strong home advantage. No major external disruptions noted, but the fixture is under typical media attention and fan intensity due to the historic rivalry. Weather and referee assignments remain standard without extraordinary impact so far.
  • Both teams are highly motivated due to the rivalry and league implications. Barcelona aims to secure maximum points to boost their title challenge and maintain home dominance. Real Madrid, despite injuries, seek to upset Barcelona to keep pace in the title race and assert psychological advantage in the fixture.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -115, Real Madrid: 250, Draw: 330 Barcelona β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Barcelona -0.5: -112, Real Madrid +50: -108 Barcelona -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 3.5: -118, Under 3.5: -102 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona win, leveraging home advantage and comparatively fewer key absences in attacking roles. Real Madrid's injuries in defense may be exploited, though they remain dangerous on counter-attacks.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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LeganΓ©s vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: LeganΓ©s vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between LeganΓ©s and Espanyol will take place at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. LeganΓ©s currently sit 19th in the league, struggling near the relegation zone, while Espanyol hold a mid-table 14th place. This game is crucial for LeganΓ©s as they fight to avoid relegation, whereas Espanyol aims to secure safety and continue their stable season. Past encounters this season have been limited, with tight matches expected given both teams' recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • LeganΓ©s have struggled throughout the season, reflected in their low league position and inconsistent results. Espanyol, meanwhile, have shown somewhat better form, including a convincing 4-0 win against Rayo Vallecano, but also mixed results against stronger sides such as a 1-1 draw with Atletico Madrid. LeganΓ©s face pressure to perform at home to gain vital points.
  • This season, LeganΓ©s and Espanyol have played 1 match, with outcomes generally tight and competitive. Historical data indicates no dominant advantage for either side, suggesting a close contest.
  • Key absences include Espanyol's JosΓ© Gragera and LeganΓ©s' B. BariΕ‘iΔ‡, which could affect midfield control and defensive stability respectively. Injury concerns for both teams may limit squad options and influence tactical setups.
  • Playing at home at Estadio Municipal de Butarque gives LeganΓ©s some advantage in terms of familiar conditions and local support. Weather conditions and pitch status are expected to be standard, with no reported disruptions.
  • LeganΓ©s have strong motivation to secure points due to relegation threats, which may lead to a more aggressive and urgent performance. Espanyol, safe in mid-table, might opt for a more measured approach, focusing on consistency and avoiding unnecessary risks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline LeganΓ©s: 140, Espanyol: 220, Draw: 210 LeganΓ©s to win β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜†β˜† 41%
Spread LeganΓ©s -0.25: 105, Espanyol +25: -125 LeganΓ©s -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -110, Under 2 goals: -110 Under 2 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LeganΓ©s -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tight match is expected with LeganΓ©s leveraging home advantage and high motivation to edge out Espanyol. However, Espanyol's more stable form could see them securing at least a draw. The prediction leans slightly towards a LeganΓ©s narrow victory or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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AtlΓ©tico Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AtlΓ©tico Madrid vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

AtlΓ©tico Madrid, currently 3rd in La Liga, hosts Real Sociedad, ranked 11th, in a crucial late-season match. AtlΓ©tico Madrid has scored 56 goals and conceded 25 this season, showing strong scoring and defensive capability. Real Sociedad has 32 goals scored and 37 conceded, indicating a less balanced performance. AtlΓ©tico Madrid is favored heavily by bookmakers and has a home advantage at their Riyadh Air Metropolitano stadium.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AtlΓ©tico Madrid demonstrates better form and league standing, with more goals scored (56) and fewer conceded (25) compared to Real Sociedad's 32 scored and 37 conceded. AtlΓ©tico also boasts more clean sheets (15) than Real Sociedad (13), signaling a stronger defense.
  • AtlΓ©tico Madrid and Real Sociedad have faced each other once this season with AtlΓ©tico Madrid likely having the upper hand due to their superior league position and form. Historically, AtlΓ©tico tends to dominate home fixtures versus Real Sociedad.
  • No specific injury data was available from the latest sources for either team ahead of the match, but AtlΓ©tico Madrid is expected to field a near-full strength squad.
  • The match is played at AtlΓ©tico's home stadium, Riyadh Air Metropolitano, providing a familiar environment and strong fan support. Weather in Madrid is mild (~61Β°F) which is optimal for playing conditions.
  • AtlΓ©tico Madrid is fighting for a higher Champions League qualifying position, increasing motivation to secure maximum points. Real Sociedad, in mid-table, has less at stake but will look to upset the home side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AtlΓ©tico Madrid: -160, Real Sociedad: 460, Draw: 300 AtlΓ©tico Madrid win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread AtlΓ©tico Madrid: -0.75 (-125), Real Sociedad: +75 (105) AtlΓ©tico Madrid -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AtlΓ©tico Madrid 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AtlΓ©tico Madrid to win given superior form, home advantage, and stronger squad performance.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Girona vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona, currently struggling in 15th place in La Liga with 34 points (9-7-12), hosts Villarreal, who are performing much stronger with 44 points (12-8-7). Villarreal boasts a more potent attack, led by Alex Perez (16 goals), while Girona's leading scorer, C. Stuani, has 9 goals this season. Villarreal recently drew 2-2 with Girona in December 2024 and has a slight recent head-to-head edge. Girona is coming off a tough loss to Real Betis (1-3) and a draw with Leganes, while Villarreal's recent form includes a win over Betis and a heavy loss to Celta Vigo. Key factors include Villarreal's attacking form, Girona's defensive vulnerability (51 goals conceded), and recent trends favoring Villarreal in head-to-head encounters[1][2][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal is the stronger side this season, ranking higher in the table with a better goal difference and recent results, including a win over Betis and a draw with Real Sociedad. Girona has struggled defensively and is in the lower half of the table[1][2][3].
  • Recent head-to-head results are close, with both teams winning and drawing in the last five meetings. However, Villarreal has a slight edge in recent away games, including a 1-0 win and a 2-1 win at Girona in the last two seasons[1][2].
  • No major injuries reported for either team at this time.
  • Girona's home form is mixed, with some recent struggles, and Villarreal's attacking unit is in good form, notably Alex Perez (2 goals in last match)[2].
  • Villarreal is chasing European spots, while Girona is battling to avoid relegation, which could inject intensity into both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: 210, Villarreal: 115, Draw: 275 Villarreal ML Medium-High (68%)
Spread Girona: 25 -108, Villarreal: -0.25 -112 Villarreal -0.25 Medium (60%)
Over/under Over 3: -102, Under 3: -118 Over 3 goals Medium (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal is favored due to superior form, stronger attack, and recent head-to-head trends. The data suggests a narrow away victory or a high-scoring draw is likely[1][2][5].

Predicted Score: 1-2 (Villarreal)


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Mallorca vs. Valladolid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Valladolid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 10 May 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi de Son Moix, Palma, Spain

Game Overview

Mallorca (10th) hosts Valladolid (20th) in a La Liga match. Mallorca are likely favorites due to their higher league position and home advantage, while Valladolid are struggling near the bottom.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mallorca are currently ranked 10th, indicating decent form and consistency in La Liga. Valladolid are 20th, suggesting they are struggling to pick up points or stay out of relegation trouble. Mallorca's recent performances have been more favorable compared to Valladolid, who have struggled for results both home and away.
  • Recent head-to-head data is incomplete in the provided sources, but historic matchups and this season's encounters tend to be competitive. Mallorca may have a slight edge, especially at home.
  • No specific injury updates available in the provided sources.
  • Home advantage for Mallorca is significant. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified, but Son Moix is generally conducive to home dominance.
  • Mallorca have little to play for mid-table, but will look to secure a strong finish. Valladolid are fighting relegation, which could heighten motivation but also pressure, potentially impacting performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mallorca: -300, Valladolid: 825, Draw: 400 Mallorca win high
Spread Mallorca: -1.25 (-122), Valladolid: +1.25 (102) Mallorca cover -1.25 spread medium
Over/under Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118 Under 2.5 goals medium-high

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mallorca -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mallorca is favored to win, supported by superior league form, home advantage, and Valladolid's poor position. Expect a tight but productive match for the home side, possibly with margin for a cover on the spread.

Predicted Score: Mallorca 2-0 Valladolid


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Celta Vigo vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: BalaΓ­dos Stadium, Vigo, Spain

Game Overview

Celta Vigo, currently 7th in La Liga, hosts Sevilla, who are 15th, on May 10, 2025. Celta Vigo has 46 points, while Sevilla has 38 points. This match is crucial for both teams to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Celta Vigo has suffered 3 losses in their last 6 matches, while Sevilla lost 3 of their last 6 away matches. Celta Vigo has been solid at home, not losing in 5 of their last 6 home games.
  • Celta Vigo has had a 67% draw rate in the last 6 matches against Sevilla and has only won 1 of their last 9 encounters. Their recent meetings have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in all of their last 3 home encounters.
  • No significant injury updates were provided for this match.
  • Weather conditions are not expected to impact the match.
  • Celta Vigo is motivated to maintain their position in the league, while Sevilla seeks to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Celta Vigo -125, Sevilla 340, Draw 275 Celta Vigo to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Celta Vigo -0.5 -122, Sevilla 50 102 Celta Vigo to cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 102, Under 2.5 -122 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Celta Vigo's home form and Sevilla's struggles away, Celta Vigo is slightly favored to win.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Las Palmas vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain

Game Overview

Las Palmas hosts Rayo Vallecano in a crucial La Liga match. Both teams are looking to improve their standings, with Las Palmas ranked 18th and Rayo Vallecano in 8th place.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Las Palmas has struggled to find consistency this season, while Rayo Vallecano has shown strong form away from home.
  • This season's previous match between the two teams did not yield significant head-to-head data, making recent form and standings more relevant.
  • No major injury reports are available for this match.
  • The home advantage could favor Las Palmas, but Rayo Vallecano's higher league position suggests they might have an edge tactically.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Las Palmas aiming to avoid relegation and Rayo Vallecano seeking to secure a top-half finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Las Palmas: 140, Rayo Vallecano: 200, Draw: 230 Draw or Rayo Vallecano β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Las Palmas: -0.25 105, Rayo Vallecano: 25 -125 Rayo Vallecano +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Las Palmas 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match is expected, with Rayo Vallecano potentially having the upper hand due to their better league position and recent form.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Girona vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 5, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

Girona, currently 16th in La Liga, hosts Mallorca, who are 9th. Mallorca has dominated recent matches between the two teams, winning their last three encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona struggles with consistency, while Mallorca seeks to sweep the season series.
  • Mallorca has won the last three matches against Girona.
  • No significant injury reports available for this match.
  • Mallorca might have an advantage given their recent form and success against Girona.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Mallorca's desire to sweep the series could provide an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: 105, Mallorca: 300, Draw: 225 Mallorca win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Girona: -0.5 105, Mallorca: 50 -125 Mallorca +0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2: -122, Under 2: 102 Under 2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mallorca 100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Mallorca at 100% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mallorca is likely to win based on recent head-to-head performance.

Predicted Score: Girona 0, Mallorca 1


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Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Reale Arena, San Sebastian, Spain

Game Overview

Real Sociedad, currently ranked 10th in La Liga, faces Athletic Bilbao, ranked 4th. The match is pivotal for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league. Real Sociedad seeks to climb the rankings, while Athletic Bilbao looks to maintain its top-four spot.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Sociedad has shown inconsistent form, while Athletic Bilbao has demonstrated more consistency, sitting higher in the league table. Both teams have the potential to score, but defense could be key.
  • Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested. Athletic Bilbao's recent performances might give them a slight edge in terms of confidence and form.
  • No specific information is available regarding current injuries for this match. Injuries could impact team dynamics and player availability.
  • The home advantage might benefit Real Sociedad, but Athletic Bilbao's form suggests they are capable of securing results away from home.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Real Sociedad aiming to climb the table and Athletic Bilbao seeking to secure a Champions League spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 205, Real Sociedad: 150, Draw: 215 Draw or Athletic Bilbao, as both teams are closely matched. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 25 -134, Real Sociedad: -0.25 112 Real Sociedad to cover, given home advantage. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -112, Under: 2 -108 Under 2 goals, given both teams' defensive capabilities. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Sociedad 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Real Sociedad at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match could be tightly contested, with both teams looking for a vital win. Given Athletic Bilbao's recent form and higher league position, they might have a slight edge, though neither team is clear favorite.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw


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Espanyol vs. Real Betis Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium

Game Overview

Espanyol hosts Real Betis in a crucial La Liga match on May 4, 2025. Both teams have had mixed seasons but will be looking to secure points for different reasons: Espanyol to avoid relegation and Betis to maintain their pursuit of European spots.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol has shown resilience at home, while Real Betis has been inconsistent away from their own stadium.
  • Historically, matches between the two teams have been closely contested, with both teams having some victories.
  • Current injury lists are not fully disclosed, but any major absences could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions could affect the pace of the game, with potential rain influencing ball control and tempo.
  • Betis has more motivation to win as they are still contending for a European place, whereas Espanyol fights to secure a mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 225, Real Betis: 140, Draw: 210 Betis Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Espanyol: 25 -122, Real Betis: -0.25 102 Betis to cover spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Real Betis at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Betis's motivation and slight edge in recent performances, they have a slight advantage in this match.

Predicted Score: 1-1 or 0-1 in favor of Betis


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