Match Analysis: Real Betis vs Alavés – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio La Cartuja, Seville, Spain
Game Overview
Real Betis will host Deportivo Alavés in the second round of the 2025-2026 La Liga season at Estadio La Cartuja. Real Betis aims to capitalize on home advantage and recent scoring form, while Alavés have historically been resilient against Betis in recent meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Betis scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches, showing a moderately strong offensive output. Alavés scored 5 goals in the same period. Real Betis's Hector Bellerin leads shots on target per match, whereas Alavés have been unbeaten in their last 5 meetings with Betis (2 wins, 3 draws).
- Historically, Real Betis has 7 wins against Alavés's 6, with 6 matches drawn. However, in the most recent 5 encounters, Alavés have not lost to Betis, recording 2 wins and 3 draws.
- No specific injury data for key players is available at this time, though final lineups and injury updates will be confirmed close to kick-off.
- The match will be played at Estadio La Cartuja, not Betis' usual home ground Estadio Benito Villamarín which might slightly reduce home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are unreported but assumed standard for August in Seville.
- Both teams will seek early points in the season. Real Betis, with their slightly better recent form and home advantage, may have a psychological edge. Alavés is motivated to continue their unbeaten streak against Betis and avoid relegation battles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Betis: -121, Draw: 255, Alavés: 350 | Real Betis win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Real Betis: -0.5 -122, Alavés: 50 102 | Real Betis -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Betis -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match with a slight edge to Real Betis due to home venue and recent offensive form. A draw is also a strong possibility given Alavés's resilience in recent head-to-heads.
Predicted Score: Real Betis 2 – 1 Alavés