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Sport Recife vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Ilha do Retiro, Recife

Game Overview

Sport Recife will host Cruzeiro in a Brazilian Campeonato match on May 11, 2025. Both teams have a competitive historical record with Cruzeiro having the edge in wins, but Sport Recife performs strongly at home. The match is expected to be balanced with moderate scoring opportunities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife has an average scoring rate of 1.45 goals per home match this season, with 80% of their home games exceeding 1.5 total goals. Cruzeiro averages 1.17 goals per away match, with 66.67% of away games over 1.5 goals but only 33.33% over 2.5 goals. Recent performances show Cruzeiro's slight dominance in overall wins but a close contest is likely.
  • In 21 recent matches, Cruzeiro leads with 12 wins, Sport Recife has 5 wins, and 4 ended in draws. Both teams average roughly 1.81 goals per match in their meetings. The last 12 meetings show Cruzeiro winning 6 times and Sport Recife 2 times with 4 draws, indicating Cruzeiro's historical advantage but also competitive balance.
  • No specific injury information is available from the current data, suggesting no major absences affecting key players for either side at this time.
  • The match is played at Sport Recife’s home ground, which historically favors the home team given their better home record and higher home attendance support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal for a May evening in Recife.
  • Sport Recife will be highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standing, while Cruzeiro will look to extend their superior head-to-head record and maintain consistent away results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: 2.05, Sport Recife: 1.45, Draw: 2.2 Sport Recife win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Cruzeiro: -0.25 @ -130, Sport Recife: +25 @ 110 Sport Recife -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2 goals @ -115, Under: 2 goals @ -105 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sport Recife 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sport Recife at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match leans slightly in favor of Sport Recife due to home advantage and better recent home scoring form, but a draw or a narrow Cruzeiro win is plausible given historical trends. Expect a moderately open game with goals likely but not high scoring.

Predicted Score: Sport Recife 1 – 0 Cruzeiro


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Flamengo vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Two teams in strong contention for continental spots, Flamengo (4th) and Bahia (7th), clash in a mid-table battle with significant implications for both side's CONMEBOL Libertadores ambitions. Flamengo is favored at home, but Bahia's form and recent history suggest they can be dangerous.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo is currently in 4th place and in contention for a Libertadores spot, showing solid home performances. Bahia is in good form in Serie A, coming off a strong string of results and a notable away win. Flamengo averages 2.0 goals per match at home, Bahia averages 1.0 on the road.
  • Flamengo dominates the recent head-to-head, winning 15 of the last 23 meetings, with 4 draws and 4 Bahia wins. Last 5 meetings show Flamengo with 2 wins, 2 draws, Bahia with 1 win. Flamengo averages 2.0 goals per match, Bahia 1.1. In the Brasileirao, H2H record is 14-4-4 (Flamengo wins, draws, losses) vs. Bahia's 4-14-4.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as per latest updates.
  • Flamengo enjoys a strong home crowd, potential for weather impact (Rio is rainy season, but stadium has cover). Bahia may have some travel fatigue.
  • Both teams highly motivated for Libertadores qualification. Flamengo has extra incentive to secure a top-4 spot at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -250, Draw: +370, Bahia: +725 Flamengo win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Flamengo -1.25 (-112), Bahia +1.25 (-108) Flamengo covers ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 53%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo is favored to win at home based on head-to-head dominance and superior goal-scoring statistics, but Bahia's recent form and defensive solidity suggest a lower scoring match than the average Flamengo fixture.

Predicted Score: 2-0 (Flamengo win)


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Mirassol vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol, BRA

Game Overview

Mirassol hosts Corinthians in a Brazilian Campeonato match. Mirassol is newly promoted to the top division this season and currently struggles near the lower end of the table, while Corinthians holds a mid-table position. Mirassol has scored 1 goal and conceded 2 in recent league matches, showing a mix of resilience and defensive vulnerabilities. Corinthians, a more established top-division club, shows stronger overall form and squad quality but may face challenges playing away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has had mixed results with a recent 4-1 home win against Grêmio but also draws and losses in other matches. Their offense has been moderate with 1 goal scored in recent matches, while defense has been breached multiple times. Corinthians ranks 8th in the league, showing more consistent form and better defensive statistics than Mirassol, though their offense struggles to produce high numbers of shots on goal.
  • Historically, Corinthians holds the upper hand given their longer tenure in the top league, though this is Mirassol's first season at this level making head-to-head data limited. Past encounters tend to favor Corinthians due to their experience and squad depth.
  • No specific injury data available from recent sources for either team, suggesting both squads are likely close to full strength for this fixture.
  • Playing at home provides Mirassol an advantage especially with their recent strong home win. Weather and pitch conditions in Mirassol typically favor the home side’s playstyle. Corinthians may have travel fatigue or less acclimatization to the venue.
  • Mirassol is motivated to prove themselves in the top tier and gain points against a stronger opponent, critical for their survival hopes. Corinthians aims to secure points to maintain or improve league standing, motivated by better positioning prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians: 140, Mirassol: 210, Draw: 220 Corinthians win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Corinthians -0.25: 105, Mirassol +25: -125 Corinthians -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians is predicted to edge out a narrow victory given their superior squad strength and league experience, but Mirassol’s home advantage and motivation could keep the score tight. A close 2-1 win for Corinthians is anticipated.

Predicted Score: Mirassol 1 – 2 Corinthians


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Vitoria vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Barradão, Salvador (Vitoria home ground)

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazil Campeonato match between Vitoria and Vasco da Gama is set to be a competitive contest with both teams showing mixed recent form. Vitoria hold a slight historical edge in head-to-head meetings, especially at home, where they have secured important wins. Vasco da Gama, meanwhile, have shown some resilience away but come with longer winless streaks recently. This match is poised to be a tight affair with potential for moderate goal scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitoria have displayed better defensive stability and slightly higher average goals scored per match than Vasco da Gama in recent encounters, conceding fewer goals on average (1.35 vs 1.49). Vasco have had longer runs of losses (up to 4) and draws, while Vitoria have a stronger home performance historically.
  • Historically, Vitoria has won 13 of the 26 direct matches (50%) against Vasco da Gama, who have won 10 (38.5%), with 3 draws (11.5%). In recent 20 meetings, Vitoria won 10 times. The average goals per match between them is about 2.85, suggesting a moderately high-scoring encounter.
  • No specific injury data available from current sources; however, absence of key players for either side could tilt the balance, particularly impacting defensive or creative midfield roles.
  • The match venue favors Vitoria playing at home in Estádio Barradão, Salvador, which historically boosts their confidence and performance. Weather conditions or fan support typical of this venue often impact match tempo and physicality.
  • Both teams will be motivated to climb the Brazil Campeonato standings. Vitoria seeks to capitalize on home advantage and improve their form, while Vasco aims to break their recent winless streak and restore confidence on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitoria: 115, Vasco da Gama: 250, Draw: 230 Vitoria win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Vitoria: -0.25 -118, Vasco da Gama: 25 -102 Vitoria -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -122, Under 2 goals: 102 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitoria at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical advantage, home ground benefit, and slightly better recent defensive and offensive stats, Vitoria are favored to edge this match. However, the close head-to-head record and moderate odds on draw suggest that a draw is also a plausible outcome, with Vasco capable of an away upset.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Grêmio vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, BRA

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Grêmio and Red Bull Bragantino-SP is a Brazilian Campeonato Série A fixture taking place at Grêmio's home ground in Porto Alegre. Grêmio, currently 9th in the league, face Bragantino, placed 15th. Both teams have scored and conceded a similar number of goals recently, with Grêmio showing slightly better form at home. This fixture is critical as both sides look to climb the table, with Grêmio aiming to leverage home advantage and Bragantino seeking an upset on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio holds a mid-table position with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded in recent matches, maintaining moderate attacking and defensive balance. Bragantino has struggled more, positioned lower in the table with a comparatively weaker defense and offense. Grêmio's recent clean sheets are zero but they have slightly more shots on goal (8 vs. 7) indicating a marginally better attacking threat.
  • Recent head-to-head data points to a balanced contest historically, though specific recent encounters show no distinct dominance. Both teams have scored in past meetings but outcomes have been mixed, making this a competitive matchup.
  • No detailed injury data is available from current sources for this specific match, suggesting no major absences reported for either squad.
  • Playing at home is an important factor favoring Grêmio, given their comfortable familiarity with Arena do Grêmio and supportive home fans. Weather and pitch conditions are presumed normal for Porto Alegre in May with no disruptions expected.
  • Grêmio is motivated to secure points to push towards the top half of the table and possibly qualify for continental tournaments, while Bragantino is fighting to improve their league standing and avoid relegation zone proximity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino-SP: 2.1, Grêmio: 1.3, Draw: 2.4 Grêmio Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bragantino-SP: -120, Grêmio: 100 Grêmio -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win narrowly, capitalizing on home advantage and slightly superior team form.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Fortaleza vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

Fortaleza and Juventude clash in the Brazilian Campeonato, with Fortaleza positioned higher in the league. Fortaleza has historically performed better against Juventude, and their form suggests an advantage in this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza is performing well, holding third place in the league, while Juventude is struggling. Fortaleza has shown consistency in their recent matches.
  • Fortaleza leads the head-to-head record, having won more encounters than Juventude. Juventude has failed to secure a recent win against Fortaleza in some of their last meetings.
  • No specific injury information is provided for this match.
  • Weather conditions and home advantage could influence the match, but specific external factors are not detailed.
  • Fortaleza is highly motivated given their league position and past performance against Juventude.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -155 for Fortaleza, 420 for Juventude, 290 for Draw Fortaleza Win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -0.75 for Fortaleza, 75 for Juventude Fortaleza to Cover ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 and Under 2.25 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fortaleza is likely to win based on historical performance and current league standing.

Predicted Score: 1:0 in favor of Fortaleza


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Juventude vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-05
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi – Caxias do Sul

Game Overview

7th-round Brasileirão clash between mid-table strugglers, with Juventude (13th, 7pts) hosting Atletico-MG (17th, 6pts). Both teams have struggled defensively, particularly Juventude, who conceded 11 goals in their last 3 matches[2].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventude: ❌✅❌➖❌ | Atletico-MG: ➖➖❌✅➖[1]. Atletico shows marginal improvement with a recent win, while Juventude remains inconsistent.
  • Recent H2H data unavailable. Current form suggests closely matched teams given near-identical point tallies.
  • No injury reports available from provided sources.
  • Juventude's home advantage at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi could be offset by defensive vulnerabilities[2].
  • Critical match for both to avoid early relegation zone positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético-MG +120 | Juventude +235 | Draw +235 Atlético-MG or Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Atlético-MG -0.25 (-110) | Juventude +25 (-110) Atlético-MG -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-115) | Under 2.25 (-105) Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Narrow away victory or draw due to Atletico-MG's slightly improving form against Juventude's defensive struggles.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Atlético-MG (Alternative: 1-1 Draw)


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Bragantino-SP vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 05, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nabizao, Bragança Paulista, BRA (though ESPN mentions Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques for a similar date)

Game Overview

Red Bull Bragantino-SP, currently third in the league standings, faces Mirassol, positioned 14th. Bragantino has shown strong home performance with recent wins, while Mirassol has managed several draws.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino is strong at home, while Mirassol has struggled but shown resilience with draws.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Bragantino's home form is a key advantage.
  • No specific injury data is provided for this match.
  • Weather conditions at Bragança Paulista are forecasted to be warm.
  • Bragantino aims to maintain their high league position, while Mirassol seeks points to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino: -120, Mirassol: 340, Draw: 250 Bragantino win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bragantino: -0.5 -115, Mirassol: 50 -105 Bragantino to cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 142%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 142% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino is likely to dominate given their home record and current form.

Predicted Score: 2:0 in favor of Bragantino


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Cruzeiro vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in data

Game Overview

Cruzeiro has a strong recent form against Flamengo, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings (D1, L0), while Flamengo holds a historical edge (19 wins in 42 meetings). Flamengo's current Serie A form includes two recent away wins, but Cruzeiro's recent H2H dominance suggests competitiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro: 1.2 goals scored, 0.8 conceded in last 5 matches. Flamengo: 2.4 goals scored, 0.0 conceded in last 5 matches[2].
  • Cruzeiro: 15 wins, Flamengo: 19 wins, 8 draws in 42 matches[2]. Recent 5 games: Cruzeiro 4W-1D-0L[2].
  • Not specified in data
  • No crowd/weather data available
  • Both teams likely pushing for league position, with Flamengo potentially favored due to superior goal-scoring form

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: +330, Flamengo: -110, Draw: +240 Flamengo (lean Draw) 65% Flamengo, 25% Draw, 10% Cruzeiro
Spread Cruzeiro +50 (-112), Flamengo -0.5 (-108) Flamengo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (+102), Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

High probability of under 2.25 goals given Cruzeiro's defensive record against Flamengo's clinical attack. Narrow Flamengo win or draw most likely.

Predicted Score: 0-1 or 1-1 (leaning 0-1)


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Vasco da Gama vs. Palmeiras Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified (typically Vasco da Gama plays at Estádio São Januário)

Game Overview

Vasco da Gama hosts Palmeiras in a Brazilian Campeonato match. Palmeiras, being one of the stronger teams, is favored by the moneyline odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has historically performed better, particularly in recent years, with a strong squad and tactical depth. Vasco da Gama, however, has shown resilience, especially in last five matches against Palmeiras, winning three and drawing two.
  • Palmeiras has won 17 out of 34 matches against Vasco da Gama since 2004, with Vasco da Gama winning only six and drawing 11 times[2].
  • No specific injury reports provided for this match.
  • The match's venue often favors Vasco da Gama's home advantage, but Palmeiras' overall quality and depth can mitigate this.
  • Palmeiras aims to assert dominance and maintain their position at the top, while Vasco da Gama seeks an upset to boost their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama: 420, Palmeiras: -135, Draw: 260 Palmeiras win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Palmeiras: -0.75 -105, Vasco da Gama: 75 -115 Palmeiras covers the spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -108, Under: 2.25 -112 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 39%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is anticipated to win due to their superior performance history and strong team dynamics.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Palmeiras


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