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Internacional vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Internacional vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brasileirão matchup sees local rivals Internacional and Grêmio face off at Estadio Beira-Rio, with both sides showing mid-table form and cautious, defensive styles in recent games. The fixture is typically tight, underscored by recent low-scoring results and closely contested encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional has a slightly better seasonal record (7-6-9) and strong home form (5-2-4), while Grêmio struggles away (2-3-6). Both teams have similar points tally (27 vs 25). Both sides tend to play defensively, reflected in a trend toward under 2.5 goals in their recent matches.
  • Historically, matches between these teams tend to be tight, often low scoring, with no clear dominance. Recent H2H results do not indicate a strong edge for either team, increasing the probability of a close contest.
  • No significant injury updates impacting key starters reported for either side, suggesting both teams will field strong lineups.
  • The game is played at Internacional's home stadium, which should offer a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard, with no adverse impacts foreseen.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings; Internacional aims to capitalize on home advantage, whereas Grêmio seeks to rescue points from away challenges. The importance of local rivalry adds intensity but also caution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Internacional: -116, Draw: +245, Grêmio: +325 Internacional ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Internacional -0.5: -115, Grêmio +50: -105 Internacional -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Internacional win; Spread: Internacional -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sport Recife vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena de Pernambuco

Game Overview

A Brazil Serie A clash where Corinthians enter as favorites given their superior form and standing compared to struggling Sport Recife.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians have a stronger recent form with 7 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, holding 9th place. Sport Recife struggle with 1 win, 8 draws, and 12 losses, sitting at 20th with poor goal difference (-19).
  • Recent Head-to-Head data favors Corinthians with more consistent results, and a historical advantage over Sport Recife.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either side.
  • Match played at Sport Recife's home ground but home advantage is mitigated by their poor home form and motivation.
  • Corinthians motivated to chase important points to improve their mid-table position, while Sport Recife battle to climb from the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sport Recife: +188, Draw: +200, Corinthians: +160 Corinthians ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sport Recife: +102, Corinthians: -122 Corinthians 0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 2: -115, Under 2: -105 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians to win on the moneyline, with spread on Corinthians 0 and over 2 goals in total.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Flamengo vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Flamengo, currently 1st in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A, hosts Vasco da Gama, ranked 15th. Flamengo has a strong historical record and better recent form, with a home advantage at Maracanã.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo won 3, lost 2 in last 5; averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Vasco won 1, drew 2, lost 2; averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
  • In 82 matches since 2004, Flamengo holds the edge with 36 wins to Vasco's 18, and 28 draws. Recent H2H shows Flamengo with 3 wins and 3 draws in last 6 meetings, no Vasco wins.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI availability or key players.
  • Game at Maracanã benefits Flamengo with home crowd support. No adverse external conditions currently impacting the match.
  • Flamengo motivated to maintain top spot and home dominance; Vasco under pressure near relegation zone aiming for points to improve standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline flamengo: -280, vasco_da_gama: 750, draw: 375 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread flamengo_-1.25: -122, vasco_+1.25: 102 Flamengo -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5: -120, under_2.5: 100 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Mirassol vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Game Overview

Mirassol host Juventude in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A clash where Mirassol rank 4th and Juventude sit near relegation at 18th. Both teams have shown solid form recently but Mirassol demonstrate greater defensive stability and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has gone undefeated in their last 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Juventude have a strong recent run as well with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 but concede more at 2.2 goals per game.
  • The head-to-head series is balanced with 1 win each and 1 draw in 3 matches since 2023. The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, showing a closely matched rivalry. Mirassol holds a slight edge at home historically.
  • No major injury reports for either side that would significantly impact starting lineups or tactics.
  • Home crowd support at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia and the motivation to maintain their higher league position favor Mirassol. Juventude face pressure due to their low table standing.
  • Mirassol aim to consolidate a top-tier position aiming for continental qualification, while Juventude fight to escape relegation, likely increasing urgency but also risk exposure defensively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: -210, Juventude: 550, Draw: 325 Mirassol ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mirassol -1: -120, Juventude +1: 100 Mirassol -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol to win on moneyline, cover the -1 goal spread, and match to finish under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Game Overview

Palmeiras hosts Fortaleza in a Brazil Campeonato match where Palmeiras is the strong favorite given their home form and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras holds a strong recent form with 14 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, showing consistency; Fortaleza struggles with 4 wins and 12 losses, including recent poor away form.
  • In the previous meeting on 20/04/2025, Palmeiras won 2-1 away at Fortaleza. Overall, Palmeiras has dominated recent encounters.
  • No major injury concerns reported for Palmeiras; Fortaleza has typical squad rotation issues but no key absences.
  • Match at Palmeiras’ home ground gives them a clear advantage; no weather or travel issues reported.
  • Palmeiras is motivated to consolidate league position with a home win, Fortaleza aims to upset but is under pressure due to poor away results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras: -300, Fortaleza: +825, Draw: +390 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Palmeiras -1.25: -122, Fortaleza +1.25: +102 Palmeiras -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win straight up, with a winning margin of at least 2 goals and a game total of under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Botafogo vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Botafogo enters this home fixture relatively stronger in recent form and head-to-head history versus Atletico Mineiro, who have displayed uneven performances and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo holds better recent form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in last 5) with a solid defense conceding only 0.4 goals per match; Atletico Mineiro has 3 wins but 2 losses, conceding 1.4 goals per match.
  • Historically, Botafogo leads with 25 wins out of 52 matches against Atletico Mineiro’s 16, with 11 draws; recent H2H meetings show parity, but Botafogo won the last season matchup 2-0 at home.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters from either side ahead of this match.
  • Home advantage for Botafogo at Estádio Nilton Santos and no reported weather or travel complications; motivation for Botafogo to consolidate top-table position greater than mid-table Atletico.
  • Botafogo currently ranks 6th in the league and aims to maintain upward momentum, while Atletico Mineiro sits 13th, fighting inconsistency and defensive issues.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -148, away: 440, draw: 255 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -112, away: -108 Botafogo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win on the moneyline, cover -0.75 spread, and match to go under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Ceará vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Ceará vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ceará home stadium (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A clash features home side Ceará hosting Bahia in a tightly contested matchup. Both teams have shown mixed recent form with Bahia historically holding a slight upper edge in recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia leads slightly in recent head-to-head and overall quality but Ceará has home advantage and is motivated to improve on recent results, including a home victory over Vasco da Gama and a solid draw against Red Bull Bragantino. Both teams have fluctuated in form.
  • Recent H2H shows Bahia with a marginal edge: last meeting ended in a narrow Bahia 1-0 win. Past probabilities from predictive models show Bahia favored at ~45% win chance, draw ~25%, and Ceará ~30%.
  • No specific injury info provided for key players in either team, suggesting relatively full-strength squads for this fixture.
  • Match played at Ceará’s home venue, providing them a supportive environment. Weather and pitch conditions unknown but not noted as problematic.
  • Mid-season motivations for both sides to accumulate points are high to maintain or improve league standing. Home pressure will motivate Ceará to avoid defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 193, Ceará: 157, Draw: 200 Bahia ★★★☆☆ 56%
Spread Bahia 0: 105, Ceará 0: -125 Ceará 0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia moneyline win; Ceará +0 spread; Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: Bahia 1 – 0 Ceará


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Vitoria vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Manoel Barradas

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Série A clash where Fluminense, currently higher in standings with better recent form, visits Vitoria, a team struggling with inconsistent results especially away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense has an 8-4-8 record with recent form showing areas of strength, especially at home, but vulnerable away. Vitoria carries a weaker 4-10-9 overall record but shows moderate home resistance. Fluminense’s offense and away resilience have been better comparatively.
  • Historically, Fluminense has dominated this matchup with more wins; recent matches favor Fluminense but many close or drawn encounters suggest a competitive game.
  • No major injuries reported that severely impact starting lineups on either side based on available data.
  • The game is at Vitoria’s home ground potentially giving slight home advantage; however, pitch conditions and weather are standard with no significant disruptions anticipated.
  • Fluminense, aiming to solidify top half positioning and recover from inconsistent performances, likely has higher motivation than Vitoria who battles near the lower end for survival.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: 193, Vitoria: 161, Draw: 195 Fluminense ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Fluminense: 105, Vitoria: -125 Vitoria +0 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: -108, Under: -112 Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 41%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away moneyline (Fluminense win), Vitoria +0 spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Botafogo vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-17
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Botafogo Home Stadium

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Mirassol in a closely contested Brazil Campeonato match. Both teams show strong attacking potential with relatively good recent form; Botafogo’s slight home edge and defensive solidity contrast with Mirassol's strong comeback ability and wing attacks.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo holds a decent record with 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, averaging 1.13 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game recently. Mirassol is slightly better in points with 7 wins, 7 draws, 2 losses and averages about 1.69 goals scored, 1 goal conceded, highlighting a more offensive style but more fragile defense.
  • Mixed recent H2H with Botafogo winning 2 of the last 5 matches and Mirassol 2 wins as well. Botafogo holds a slight ATS edge (60%) and all recent games have hit the over line, showing likelihood for goals.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, indicating both teams at full competitive strength.
  • Game is at Botafogo’s home ground providing a slight crowd support and atmosphere advantage. Weather conditions appear stable with no disruptions expected.
  • Both teams are motivated; Mirassol pushing to maintain top 5 positioning while Botafogo aims to capitalize on home matches to close gap in league table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -150, Mirassol: 425, Draw: 265 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Botafogo -0.75: -112, Mirassol +75: -108 Botafogo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, and match to go over 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Bahia vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Cruzeiro in a key Brazilian Serie A matchup. Cruzeiro hold a better overall H2H record but Bahia is strong at home. Both teams have similar recent form with Cruzeiro slightly stronger overall and more consistent defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro has a superior overall record (13-5-4) compared to Bahia (10-6-4), with a better points total (44 vs 36). Bahia is strong at home (7-3-0), while Cruzeiro also performs well away (4-4-2). Both teams have comparable recent results with Cruzeiro slightly sharper defensively.
  • Across 23 meetings, Cruzeiro leads with 12 wins compared to Bahia's 4; 7 matches ended in draws. Cruzeiro holds a historical edge both overall and in 2nd half performance.
  • No significant injury information available, suggesting both squads close to full strength.
  • Match played at Bahia’s home ground may provide an advantage for the home side. No adverse weather or travel factors noted.
  • Cruzeiro sits higher in the table and may be more motivated to maintain or extend their lead, but Bahia’s home form and need for points keeps motivation high on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 145, Cruzeiro: 205, Draw: 200 Bahia ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia -0.25: 110, Cruzeiro +25: -130 Bahia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win on moneyline; Bahia -0.25 on spread; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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