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Santos vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santos vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Santos hosting Grêmio at Estadio Urbano Caldeira. Santos enter as slight favorites despite a recent inconsistent form, while Grêmio have struggled away but remain competitive. Both teams have shown capability to score, suggesting a moderately open game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santos have a 7-5-11 record with recent mixed results including defeats and draws, showing some home advantage but inconsistency. Grêmio hold a similar 7-8-9 record with recent draws and losses but are battling to gain points away from home.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings are balanced, with tight contests and occasional draws. Neither team dominates decisively, indicating potential for a close match outcome.
  • No major injuries reported for either squad that would significantly weaken starting lineups, allowing both teams to field strong squads.
  • Playing at home gives Santos a venue advantage, but weather or pitch conditions are assumed normal with no reported disruptions or external impacts.
  • Both teams are motivated to earn points to improve or maintain mid-table standings toward season end, with Santos possibly more driven due to home support and pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santos: +104, Grêmio: +255, Draw: +245 Santos ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Santos -0.5: +105, Grêmio +50: -125 Santos -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Santos to win outright given home advantage and current odds. For spread, taking Santos -0.5 is optimal reflecting their slight edge. Over/Under is predicted under 2.25 goals considering both teams' recent low-scoring patterns and cautious approach expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Internacional vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Internacional vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

The match between Internacional and Corinthians is a crucial 26th round fixture in the Brazilian Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, with both teams close in league standings and under pressure to improve.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians holds a slight edge in recent form with better consistency and higher league position (10th with 29 points) compared to Internacional (15th with 28 points). Corinthians has won more matches recently and shows stronger offensive output.
  • The recent head-to-head favors Corinthians who have a higher win probability (57.47%) against Internacional's 29.41%, with draws significantly less likely around 13%. The fixture tends to be competitive with neither side dominating historically.
  • No critical injury information is reported for either side that could drastically affect lineups, indicating both teams may field close to full strength.
  • The match is played at Internacional’s home stadium Beira-Rio, lending some home advantage, but the motivation for Corinthians to climb the table and gain continental qualification is pronounced.
  • Corinthians appears more motivated given their slightly higher league position and realistic aspirations to secure a continental tournament spot, whereas Internacional fights to avoid sliding further down the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Internacional: 106, Draw: 215, Corinthians: 280 Internacional ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Internacional -0.25: -128, Corinthians +25: 108 Internacional -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: 110, Under 2.25: -130 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Internacional at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Internacional; Spread: Internacional -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Mirassol vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Game Overview

The matchup features Mirassol hosting Bragantino-SP in a Brazilian Serie A clash with both teams having competitive form but differing standings and motivation levels. Bragantino is mid-table with a slightly better recent record while Mirassol struggles near the bottom, recently showing resilience but limited scoring power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has a stronger overall performance with a recent record of 5-1-1 and 16 points, while Mirassol has 1-4-2 and 7 points. Bragantino tends to score more goals and control matches. Mirassol has been resilient recently but lacks offensive firepower.
  • Their last meeting ended with Bragantino winning 1-0. Historically, in the last 10 matches, both teams have won four times each with two draws, indicating a balanced rivalry but recent edge to Bragantino.
  • No major injury reports for either side have been noted in the latest match data, suggesting both teams can field strong lineups.
  • The match is at Mirassol’s home ground, which could offer them slight advantage. Weather and other external conditions appear normal, with no disruptions expected.
  • Bragantino aims to consolidate mid-table position and push higher, showing better motivation and recent form. Mirassol needs points to avoid relegation troubles, which supports their defensive resilience but may limit attacking ambition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: -112, Bragantino-SP: +325, Draw: +230 Mirassol ★★★☆☆ 61%
Spread Mirassol -0.5: -112, Bragantino-SP +50: -108 Mirassol -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Mirassol to win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sport Recife vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Sport Recife Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Brazil Serie A matchup features Sport Recife hosting Fluminense. Fluminense currently sits 9th in the league with moderate offensive output but a tendency to concede slightly more goals than expected. Sport Recife struggles defensively with 34 goals conceded so far, but has shown competitive spirit at home and has won 4 of their recent 5 matches. Fluminense holds psychological edge with 4 consecutive wins over Sport Recife and better recent H2H stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense averages 1.18 goals scored per match and concedes around 1.32, showing defensive vulnerability despite balanced attack. Sport Recife’s defense is porous with 34 goals conceded (1.55 avg). Sport Recife’s recent form includes narrow scores, highlighting low-scoring games.
  • Fluminense leads recent H2H encounters with 4 consecutive wins over Sport Recife. Overall H2H favors Fluminense (8 wins vs 4 for Sport). The last direct encounter ended 2-1 to Fluminense in May 2025.
  • Sport Recife is missing Hereda and Sérgio Oliveira due to injury, which weakens their defensive and midfield options. Fluminense has injured Ganso and Nonato, likely affecting their creativity and midfield depth.
  • No significant external disruptions reported. Match is at Sport Recife’s home venue which provides them a motivational boost.
  • Sport Recife motivated to defend home turf and improve defensive record. Fluminense aims to maintain dominance in H2H while climbing league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: 153, Sport Recife: 205, Draw: 207 Fluminense ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Fluminense 0: -134, Sport Recife 0: 114 Sport Recife 0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -123, Under 2: 103 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline, Sport Recife +0 spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: Fluminense 1 – 0 Sport Recife


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Palmeiras vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras, playing at home in Allianz Parque, face Vasco da Gama in a Brazil Campeonato match where Palmeiras are favored heavily due to superior recent form, home advantage, and a strong historical record against Vasco.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras show strong home form and consistent scoring, with over 61% of their matches having more than 1.5 goals. Vasco da Gama struggle away with lower offensive output and poor form.
  • In the last 10 encounters, Palmeiras won 7 times, Vasco has never won, and 3 matches ended in draws, showing clear dominance by Palmeiras.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for Palmeiras, while Vasco has minor squad uncertainties but no key absences detailed.
  • Home crowd at Allianz Parque expected to boost Palmeiras. No adverse external conditions reported. Palmeiras fined by CONMEBOL recently but no impact on matchday.
  • Palmeiras motivated to maintain strong league standing and leverage home advantage; Vasco coached by Fernando Diniz, aiming to improve but under consistent pressure with modest recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras: -260, Vasco da Gama: 765, Draw: 373 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Palmeiras -1.25: -111, Vasco da Gama +1.25: -109 Palmeiras -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 66%
Over/under Over 2.5: -111, Under 2.5: -109 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline; Palmeiras to cover -1.25 on the spread; match to go over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro hosts Juventude in a critical Brasileirão Serie A matchup with Atletico slightly favored, notable home advantage, and recent form advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro is mid-table with recent inconsistent form but better overall results compared to Juventude, which struggles near the relegation zone with few wins and a poor goal difference (-26).
  • Atletico Mineiro dominates the H2H with 6 wins in the last 9 matches versus Juventude's 2 wins and 1 draw, showing clear superiority historically and psychological edge.
  • No significant injury news reported for Atletico Mineiro; Juventude suffers from a less stable squad and possibly lower squad fitness levels due to tougher season.
  • Match at Atletico’s home (Arena MRV) benefits the home side; no adverse weather or external disruptions forecasted; motivation is influenced by league standings with Atletico aiming to climb and Juventude to avoid relegation.
  • Atletico Mineiro has higher motivation to secure points and improve league standing, while Juventude battles relegation but has shown limited recent comeback capability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro: -200, Juventude: 550, Draw: 310 Atletico Mineiro ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Atletico Mineiro -1: -115, Juventude +1: -105 Atletico Mineiro -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro to win outright; -1 spread for Atletico Mineiro; under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sao Paulo vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Morumbi Stadium, São Paulo

Game Overview

Sao Paulo hosts Ceara in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A clash. Sao Paulo are the favorites with a slight edge in recent form and home advantage, while Ceara show resilience but have struggled away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo have a 9-8-7 record recently; form is mixed but includes key wins. Ceara stand at 7-7-9 with more draws and losses, especially struggling offensively on the road.
  • Their 2025 meeting ended in a 1-1 draw at Ceara’s home. Historically, Sao Paulo hold the upper hand with more wins and better performances at home.
  • No critical injuries reported for Sao Paulo; Ceará have a few minor absences but nothing that severely impacts starting XI.
  • Home crowd support strongly favors Sao Paulo; weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal; no significant travel fatigue for either side.
  • Sao Paulo are fighting for a higher league position and possible Libertadores qualification, giving strong motivation. Ceara aim to avoid relegation but are under pressure with less to play for.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -159, Draw: +267, Ceara: +514 Sao Paulo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sao Paulo (-0.75): -123, Ceara (+75): 103 Sao Paulo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -122, Under 2 goals: 102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Corinthians vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Neo Química Arena, São Paulo

Game Overview

The upcoming Brasileirão Serie A match sees top-of-the-table Flamengo visiting mid-table Corinthians. Flamengo leads the league with 51 points from 23 matches, while Corinthians sit 10th with 29 points from 24 games, showing clear strength disparity between the teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo have been in excellent form with a record of 15W-6D-2L, while Corinthians have struggled maintaining consistent results, recording 7W-8D-9L. Flamengo’s offensive and defensive solidity is reflected in their +37 goal difference compared to Corinthians’ negative 5.
  • In the last 10 encounters, Flamengo won 4, Corinthians 2, and 4 ended in draws. Historically, Flamengo holds a slight dominance overall and in recent meetings.
  • No significant injury absences reported for either side from available data, suggesting both teams should field their strongest squads.
  • The match being at Corinthians’ home ground offers them home advantage; however, Flamengo’s superior league position and momentum can mitigate this factor.
  • Flamengo is highly motivated to maintain their lead atop the table late in the season. Corinthians have less incentive, currently mid-table and with less chance of title contention, reducing their urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians +380, Flamengo -125, Draw +235 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Corinthians +50 +105, Flamengo -0.5 -125 Flamengo -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2 -108, Under 2 -112 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the game to finish under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Bragantino-SP vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP, playing at home, face Santos in a tightly contested Brasileirão Serie A matchup. Bragantino is slight favorite per bookmakers, with both teams showing mixed recent form but Bragantino holding a slight edge due to home advantage and recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has had a mixed run with 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses recently, showing some resilience but inconsistency. Santos has a 6-5-11 record with some struggles in away encounters and recent losses.
  • In their last meeting on 27/04/2025, Bragantino won 2-1 away at Santos, indicating competitive balance but a recent Bragantino edge.
  • No major injury reports for key starters on either side, thus both squads should field close to full strength.
  • Bragantino playing at home benefits from familiar conditions and crowd support. No unusual weather or travel concerns expected.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points; Bragantino pushing to consolidate mid-table and Santos to escape lower rankings, but home advantage favors Bragantino's motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +131 Bragantino-SP ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread -0.25 -102 Bragantino-SP -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino-SP Moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Bahia vs. Palmeiras Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Palmeiras in a crucial Brasileirão Serie A match with Palmeiras favored due to superior form and table position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras sits 3rd with 49 points (15-4-3 W-D-L), strong away form (7-2-1), and good recent momentum (W-W-D-W-W-W). Bahia is 6th with 37 points (10-7-6), decent home record (7-3-1), but weaker recent form (D-L-L-W-W-D).
  • Palmeiras generally outperforms Bahia with better recent results and higher table rank, indicating a psychological and quality edge.
  • No notable injury information available suggesting major absences; both teams expected to field strong lineups.
  • Match played at Bahia's home stadium, which slightly balances the odds but Palmeiras' superior away record suggests resilience.
  • Palmeiras is pushing for top positions with high motivation; Bahia is fighting for a strong mid-table finish, moderately motivated but less so than Palmeiras.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia +255, Palmeiras -115, Draw +230 Palmeiras ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Bahia +25 at +100, Palmeiras -0.25 at -120 Palmeiras -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25 at -106, Under 2.25 at -114 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline; Palmeiras -0.25 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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