Parramatta Eels vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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July 13, 2025 Parramatta Eels Penrith Panthers Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 6:05 AM UTC
• Location: CommBank Stadium, Parramatta / Burramattagal

Game Overview

This matchup between Parramatta Eels and Penrith Panthers is a highly anticipated clash in the 2025 NRL season. The Panthers are favored due to their consistent performance, while the Eels will look to capitalize on home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Penrith Panthers have been performing well, with Lindsay Smith emerging as a key player. Parramatta Eels rely heavily on Isaiah Iongi's fullback skills.
• In their last meeting (Round 13, 2025), the Panthers won 18-10.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• The match is at CommBank Stadium, which could give the Eels an edge due to home support.
• Both teams are motivated to secure crucial points in the NRL standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Parramatta Eels: 240, Penrith Panthers: -300, Draw: 2300	Penrith Panthers	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Parramatta Eels: 9.5 -110, Penrith Panthers: -9.5 -120	Penrith Panthers to cover -9.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 45.5 -115, Under: 45.5 -115	Under 45.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Penrith Panthers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 45.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are likely to win due to their recent form and depth in the squad.

Predicted Score: Panthers 22, Eels 14

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New Zealand Warriors vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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July 13, 2025 New Zealand Warriors Rugbyleague Wests Tigers

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland, New Zealand

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors host the Wests Tigers in Round 19 of the 2025 NRL season at a sold-out Go Media Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4pm local time (UTC 04:00). Both teams are motivated to secure vital points mid-season, with the Warriors holding home advantage and stronger recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• The New Zealand Warriors have shown improved consistency this season, benefiting from strong home support and solid defensive structures. Wests Tigers have struggled for form and consistency, often conceding more points than they score, placing them as underdogs.
• Historically, the Warriors have dominated recent encounters against the Wests Tigers, especially at home, suggesting a psychological and tactical edge. The Tigers have failed to secure wins in the majority of their recent matchups with the Warriors.
• Current injury lists indicate no significant absences for the Warriors, allowing them to field a full-strength squad. The Wests Tigers have minor injury concerns which may limit depth and impact key positional play, slightly weakening their lineup.
• Playing in front of a full-capacity crowd at Go Media Stadium provides a substantial morale boost for the Warriors. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with no rainfall forecasted, allowing for fast-paced, open rugby league.
• Warriors are keen to consolidate their ladder position as a strong playoff contender, while the Wests Tigers are motivated to break their losing streak and improve season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	New Zealand Warriors: -235, Wests Tigers: 195, Draw: 2300	New Zealand Warriors win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	New Zealand Warriors -7.5: -115, Wests Tigers +7.5: -115	Warriors to cover -7.5 spread	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115	Over 46.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	New Zealand Warriors -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors are predicted to win comfortably, leveraging home advantage and superior form. The spread favoring Warriors -7.5 is likely to hold, and total points are expected to be around the mid-40s, favoring the over on 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 28 – Wests Tigers 16

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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Canterbury Bulldogs July 12, 2025 North Queensland Cowboys Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 9:35 AM UTC
• Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville, Australia

Game Overview

A crucial NRL Round 19 clash between the North Queensland Cowboys, whose season is hanging by a thread, and the high-flying Canterbury Bulldogs, who are in strong form. The Cowboys have several Origin players returning, but injuries and fatigue could impact performance. The Bulldogs are favorites on the road as they push for finals contention[1][3][4].

Key Factors to Consider

• The Bulldogs are in better form, while the Cowboys have struggled for consistency, especially with their season nearly on the line. The Bulldogs have momentum, but the Cowboys are boosted by the return of key players from State of Origin duty[1][3].
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but this fixture historically produces close contests. Historical NRL matches between these teams have occasionally ended in draws[4].
• Cowboys: Sam McIntyre (calf), John Bateman remain sidelined. Karl Lawton returns from suspension, and Murray Taulagi could return from a knee injury[1][3]. Bulldogs: No major injuries reported as of the latest available data.
• Origin players for the Cowboys likely to be fatigued, but the home crowd at Queensland Country Bank Stadium could provide a boost[1][3].
• The Bulldogs are pushing for a top-eight finish and are highly motivated. The Cowboys need a win to keep their slim finals hopes alive and will be desperate at home[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Home: 185, Away: -225, Draw: 2100	Canterbury Bulldogs win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Home: +7.5 -110, Away: -7.5 -120	Cowboys (+7.5) cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -115	Under 48.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canterbury Bulldogs -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 48.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Bulldogs are the stronger team on form and motivation. However, the Cowboys at home with returning Origin stars could make this game closer than expected. Expect a competitive match, but the Bulldogs should edge out the Cowboys, though a narrow margin is likely given the Cowboys' potential to rally at home.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 22 – North Queensland Cowboys 18

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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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July 12, 2025 Rugbyleague St George Illawarra Dragons Sydney Roosters

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 7:30 AM UTC
• Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The NRL clash between St George Illawarra Dragons and Sydney Roosters is set for July 12, 2025, at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium. The Roosters are looking to rebound after a recent upset loss, while the Dragons are fighting to keep their season alive amidst inconsistent form. Both teams bring strong rivalry history and key player returns, making this an intense contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• St George Illawarra Dragons have only one win in their last four games and are currently 11th on the ladder, showing inconsistency. The Sydney Roosters slipped to ninth following a shock defeat but have a strong recent dominance over the Dragons, winning 12 of the last 14 matches including the last four. The Roosters have scoring power with James Tedesco’s nine tries in six games against the Dragons, while Damien Cook anchors the Dragons' defense with a high tackle count.
• Sydney Roosters have a significant edge in recent head-to-head encounters against the Dragons, having won 12 out of the past 14 meetings and the last four straight matches, suggesting a psychological and tactical advantage.
• The Dragons see the return of Luciano Leilua (quad) and Hamish Stewart (concussion), strengthening their lineup. The Roosters welcome back key playmaker Sam Walker, which could be a decisive factor. There are no critical new injuries reported altering team strength drastically.
• The match is hosted by the Dragons at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, which could offer some home advantage despite their form. The Roosters are motivated to recover from their recent upset. Weather and pitch conditions are not mentioned, so assumed normal.
• The Roosters are eager to make a statement after their upset loss and solidify their finals credentials. The Dragons battle to keep their season alive and improve consistency, indicating high motivation levels on both sides but with Roosters slightly more driven to prove themselves.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	St George Illawarra Dragons: 161, Sydney Roosters: -182, Draw: 2000	Sydney Roosters win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	St George Illawarra Dragons: 5.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: -5.5 -120	Sydney Roosters to cover the -5.5 spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 47.5: -117, Under 47.5: -109	Under 47.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sydney Roosters -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 47.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters to win due to stronger recent form, better head-to-head results, key player returns, and higher motivation after a recent loss.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 24 – 18 St George Illawarra Dragons

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Newcastle Knights vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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July 12, 2025 Melbourne Storm Newcastle Knights Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 5:00 AM UTC
• Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights host the Melbourne Storm in Round 19 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm, coming off a strong 2024 season as grand finalists, face a Knights team looking to improve their standing. The match promises to be intense, with both teams eager to secure crucial points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Melbourne Storm have been consistent performers in recent years, while the Newcastle Knights have shown improvements but tend to struggle against top-tier teams.
• Historically, Melbourne Storm have a competitive edge over the Knights, often winning key matches.
• Injuries can significantly impact team performance, but specific details for this match are not provided.
• Weather conditions and crowd support can influence team morale and performance.
• Both teams will be highly motivated, with the Knights seeking an upset and the Storm looking to maintain their form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Storm: -375, Knights: 300, Draw: 2400	Melbourne Storm	Not available
Spread	Storm: -10.5, Knights: 10.5	Melbourne Storm	Not available
Over/under	Over: 46.5, Under: 46.5	Over	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Melbourne Storm -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 46.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are favored to win due to their past performance and current form.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 – 16 Newcastle Knights

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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Dolphins July 11, 2025 Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-11
• Time: 10:00 AM UTC
• Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 19 NRL match sees the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Dolphins at Sharks Stadium. Both teams are coming off a bye week, offering rest and preparation time. The Sharks, currently 10th on the ladder, seek to break a recent two-game losing streak and regain home form. The Dolphins, positioned 7th, aim to consolidate their top-eight standing after a strong recent victory over South Sydney.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Sharks have struggled recently, winning only one of their last five games, but remain formidable at home. The Dolphins have been in excellent form, scoring 184 points in their past four games and boasting top performers like Herbie Farnworth with nine tries in 10 games. Sharks winger Ronaldo Mulitalo has been prolific at home with 38 tries in 37 games. The Dolphins' injury to Kodi Nikorima brings Isaiya Katoa into a larger playmaking role, potentially strengthening their attack.
• Historically, the Dolphins have dominated, winning both of the only two previous meetings against the Sharks, including a narrow 30-28 win at Sharks Stadium in 2024. The Sharks have yet to defeat the Dolphins in NRL competition.
• The Dolphins are missing Kodi Nikorima due to a hamstring injury, which could impact their halfback dynamics. No major injury concerns reported for the Sharks, with Craig Fitzgibbon naming a familiar squad to maintain consistency.
• Both teams are well-rested after a bye week, which should level physical readiness. The match will take place in Sydney, favoring the Sharks' home advantage. The game is scheduled for an evening kickoff and will be broadcast live on multiple platforms, ensuring maximum exposure and motivation.
• The Sharks are motivated to halt their losing streak and strengthen their finals chances, while the Dolphins look to solidify and improve their top-eight position after a dominant performance before the bye. Emerging players like Isaiya Katoa add a confidence boost to the Dolphins.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -152, Dolphins: 132, Draw: 2100	Dolphins win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -3.5 (-115), Dolphins: +3.5 (-115)	Dolphins +3.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115	Over 46.5 points	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 40%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Dolphins hold the edge given recent form, head-to-head dominance, and offensive potency. However, the Sharks' home advantage and their strong individual performers like Mulitalo make this a tightly contested match. A close win to the Dolphins is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 28 – Sharks 24

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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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July 6, 2025 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Rugbyleague South Sydney Rabbitohs

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-06
• Time: 6:05 AM UTC
• Location: 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 18 match features Manly Warringah Sea Eagles hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs at 4 Pines Park. Both teams come into the game after their Round 17 clashes; Manly faced Wests Tigers while South Sydney played against the Dolphins. The match is expected to be competitive given their recent encounter in the same round ended in a draw.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manly Sea Eagles have shown solid home form and competitive spirit, demonstrated by a recent draw with South Sydney in Round 18 earlier in the season. South Sydney Rabbitohs maintain strong form led by experienced coach Wayne Bennett and key players like Alex Johnston and Jack Wighton, indicating a balanced and motivated squad.
• Recent head-to-head includes a 2025 Round 18 match that finished in a draw at 4 Pines Park, highlighting the close contest between these two teams. In reserve grade matches, South Sydney Reserve narrowly defeated Manly Reserve 24-22, underscoring tight competition.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either side from the latest squad announcements, with South Sydney naming a full-strength 21-player squad including key players like Alex Johnston and Jack Wighton. Manly's injury report is stable with no major absences noted.
• The match is played at Manly's home ground, which could provide them a home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not indicated to impact the match significantly. Coaching strategies by Anthony Seibold (Manly) and Wayne Bennett (South Sydney) will be pivotal.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a win to improve their standings, with South Sydney aiming to build momentum before Round 20 against Penrith, and Manly preparing for a tough Round 20 clash against Melbourne. The previous draw between them adds impetus to claim outright victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	manly: -290, south_sydney: 230, draw: 2300	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	manly: -9.5 -115, south_sydney: +9.5 -115	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -9.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: 47.5 -115, under: 47.5 -115	Over 47.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Sydney Rabbitohs are marginal favorites due to their stable squad, coaching experience, and recent form, but the match will be close given Manly's strong home performance and recent draw between these teams.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – 22 South Sydney Rabbitohs

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Sydney Roosters vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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July 6, 2025 Rugbyleague Sydney Roosters Wests Tigers

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-06
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Wests Tigers at Allianz Stadium in Round 18 of the 2025 NRL season. The Roosters are currently positioned 6th on the ladder and have a strong winning history against the Tigers, having won 18 of their last 19 encounters. The Tigers, struggling in 14th place with six consecutive losses, are desperate to reverse their fortunes and avoid a fourth consecutive wooden spoon. The match features Roosters missing five Origin players, somewhat balancing the scale as Tigers also miss key players Jarome Luai and Api Koroisau. Expect a highly motivated Tigers team eager for a rare upset and a Roosters side with strong attacking threats including try-scorers Mark Nawaqanitawase and Daniel Tupou.

Key Factors to Consider

• Roosters have a dominant recent record over Tigers and strong attacking form with players like Nawaqanitawase (9 tries in last 7 games) and Tupou (21 tries in 15 games vs Tigers). Tigers have struggled, currently on a six-game losing streak, but have some attacking threats such as Starford To’a and Sunia Turuva with multiple recent tries.
• Roosters have won 18 of their past 19 games against the Tigers, indicating a significant historical advantage.
• Roosters missing five players due to Origin duties and absences include Robert Toia, Lindsay Collins, Connor Watson, Angus Crichton, Siua Wong, and Spencer Leniu. Tigers missing key players Jarome Luai (NSW Origin) and Api Koroisau (concussion).
• The game is at Allianz Stadium with a large crowd expected for a double-header day including NRLW and AFL matches, potentially boosting home team morale. The Roosters are also celebrating the 50th anniversary of their 1975 premiership, adding to the occasion atmosphere.
• The Tigers are highly motivated to avoid the wooden spoon and end their losing streak. The Roosters aim to consolidate a finals position and capitalize on Tigers' form slump despite missing Origin players.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sydney Roosters: -420, Wests Tigers: 315, Draw: 2500	Sydney Roosters win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Sydney Roosters: -13.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 13.5 -115	Sydney Roosters -13.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 49.5 -120, Under: 49.5 -110	Under 49.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sydney Roosters -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 49.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are predicted to win by a comfortable margin due to superior form, dominant historical record, and home advantage. However, Tigers may keep the margin competitive due to their motivation and some attacking talent.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – 12 Wests Tigers

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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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July 5, 2025 Melbourne Storm North Queensland Cowboys Rugbyleague

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 9:35 AM UTC
• Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville, Australia

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Melbourne Storm is set to take place at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the home ground of the Cowboys. Historically, Melbourne Storm has dominated their encounters with the Cowboys, holding a strong lead in head-to-head records since 1998. This match is critical for both sides as they look to establish dominance in the mid-season period of the 2025 NRL campaign.

Key Factors to Consider

• Melbourne Storm leads the overall head-to-head series with 33 wins out of 46 matches versus 13 for the Cowboys. At Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the Cowboys have had recent success winning 3 of the last 4 matches against Storm. Melbourne scores more consistently overall, but Cowboys' home form and recent wins make this a competitive fixture.
• Melbourne Storm have a commanding overall record with 33 wins vs. 13 for the Cowboys since 1998. At the Cowboys’ home ground, the record is more balanced with 16 Storm wins and 9 Cowboys wins in 25 matches. Recent clashes favor the Cowboys with 3 wins at home in the last 4 encounters against Melbourne.
• No specific injury updates are provided in the current data. Both teams are expected to field strong lineups, with no notable absences reported before the match.
• Queensland Country Bank Stadium is known to give the Cowboys a strong home advantage, including fan support and familiarity. The match being played in Townsville could potentially neutralize some of Melbourne’s away strengths. Weather and travel factors are not specified but typically are stable for July.
• Melbourne Storm aims to reinforce their dominance and continue their winning streak. The Cowboys, motivated by recent home victories and chasing redemption in the rivalry, will be keen to upset the Storm at home and boost their season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Melbourne Storm: -335, North Queensland Cowboys: 265, Draw: 2300	Melbourne Storm win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, North Queensland Cowboys +10.5: -115	Melbourne Storm to cover -10.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115	Under 49.5 points total	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Melbourne Storm -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 49.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is predicted to win the match but by a narrower margin than usual due to the Cowboys' strong home form and recent victories at Queensland Country Bank Stadium. The match is expected to be competitive with a moderate points spread.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 – North Queensland Cowboys 14

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Canberra Raiders vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Canberra Raiders July 5, 2025 Rugbyleague St George Illawarra Dragons

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 7:30 AM UTC
• Location: GIO Stadium Canberra, Canberra, Australia

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL Round 18 clash at GIO Stadium Canberra. Canberra has shown consistency at home, while the Dragons have struggled on the road during the season. This match is expected to be a test of the Raiders' ability to maintain their home form against an undermotivated Dragons side that is currently underperforming.

Key Factors to Consider

• Canberra Raiders have been strong performers at GIO Stadium with solid attacking and defensive stats. The Dragons have experienced mixed results, particularly away from home, showing vulnerability in defense that Canberra could exploit.
• Recent encounters favor Canberra Raiders, especially playing at home, where the Raiders have edged out the Dragons in most recent matches. The Dragons have found it difficult to break Canberra's defense in past games.
• No major injuries reported for Canberra Raiders. St George Illawarra Dragons have some squad concerns which might impact their attacking options and bench depth, contributing to their current form struggles.
• Playing at home in Canberra provides the Raiders with a temperature and crowd advantage. No significant external disruptions expected. The Dragons' travel and away disadvantage play a role.
• Raiders are highly motivated to consolidate their position in the standings with a home victory. Dragons, with a disappointing season so far, may lack the same intensity but will aim for an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders: -360, St George Illawarra Dragons: 270, Draw: 2500	Canberra Raiders	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Canberra Raiders: -11.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: +11.5 -115	Canberra Raiders to cover -11.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110	Over 46.5 points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Canberra Raiders -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 46.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are predicted to win decisively, leveraging home advantage and superior form. Expect the Raiders to cover the spread, with a moderately high scoring game given the attacking capabilities of both sides but favoring the over on total points.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 St George Illawarra Dragons

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