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North Queensland Cowboys vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville, Australia

Game Overview

A fiercely competitive NRL Round 21 showdown between the North Queensland Cowboys (home) and St George Illawarra Dragons (away). Both teams are in desperate need of a victory to maintain their push for finals football. The Cowboys are favoured slightly, benefitting from a strong home record, while the Dragons bring momentum and a reputation as underdog threats on the road. The match is expected to be a tight, defensive battle, possibly influenced by Townsville’s humid tropical conditions[1][4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form is nearly even, with both sides conceding heavily lately. The Cowboys have a slim edge in home performance, but the Dragons’ attack averages 1.4 points per game more than the Cowboys this season[1].
  • Historically, the Cowboys have been stronger at home, but statistical power rankings place these teams very close (Cowboys 12.33 vs Dragons 13.67). The season’s form guide shows both teams with even momentum heading into the clash[1].
  • No injury news is provided in the available sources; injury reports closer to match time could be pivotal.
  • Townsville’s humid conditions and Queensland Country Bank Stadium’s home advantage are significant, potentially affecting fatigue and gameplay style[1].
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a finals spot, raising the stakes for a high-intensity, potentially low-scoring contest[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys: -174, Dragons: 148, Draw: 2100 Cowboys Medium
Spread Cowboys: -4.5 (-115), Dragons: +4.5 (-115) Dragons +4.5 Medium
Over/under Over: 46.5 (-145), Under: 46.5 (+110) Under 46.5 High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a virtual coin-flip fixture. The Cowboys have a strong home presence, but the Dragons have demonstrated value as underdogs and their attack has a slight statistical advantage. The match is predicted to be low scoring due to tough defensive efforts and challenging weather. Most statistical models, however, give the Cowboys a moderate win probability, but not by a wide margin[1][3].

Predicted Score: Cowboys 17 – Dragons 14


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Sydney Roosters vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-24
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters face the Melbourne Storm in Round 21 of the NRL 2025 season at Allianz Stadium. The Storm enter this match as favorites, backed by strong recent form and a solid head-to-head record against the Roosters. The game is anticipated to be competitive, with both teams eager to secure critical points in the premiership race.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have demonstrated consistent performance this season, placing 3rd on the ladder and winning the majority of recent matches. Sydney Roosters have been competitive but are currently viewed as underdogs against the Storm, struggling to match their opponent's defensive and offensive execution.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm has had the upper hand against Sydney Roosters in recent encounters, including a notably strong 67% winning probability in simulated matches for this fixture. Previous matches at Allianz Stadium have often been closely contested, with the last meeting resulting in a draw.
  • No specific injury updates have been detailed for either team in the available data, suggesting both teams are likely to field near-full strength squads, maintaining high competition levels.
  • Playing at Allianz Stadium gives the Roosters home ground advantage, but crowd influence may be mitigated by the Storm's superior form and mental resilience.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to win, with the Storm pushing to consolidate their top-tier position and the Roosters aiming to upset a favored opponent to boost their season prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline melbourne_storm: -210, sydney_roosters: 178, draw: 2100 Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread melbourne_storm: -5.5 (-115), sydney_roosters: +5.5 (-115) Melbourne Storm to cover -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over_46.5: -115, under_46.5: -115 Over 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win narrowly, leveraging their superior form and historical edge against the Roosters at Allianz Stadium.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 – Sydney Roosters 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 20 July 2025
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights face off against the New Zealand Warriors in a defensive struggle, with the Warriors favored due to their superior form and power ranking. The match promises to be a closely contested, low-scoring affair.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have a strong power ranking of 8.33 compared to the Knights' 15.17, indicating more potent attacking capability. The Knights are driven by desperation, playing for pride.
  • Recent meetings suggest a competitive yet low-scoring match, as both teams prioritize defensive structure.
  • Notable absences include Dylan Lucas for the Knights, replaced by Brodie Jones in the back row. Tyson Gamble is on the bench.
  • The game's setting at McDonald Jones Stadium traditionally favors tight, grinding matches where home advantage is significant.
  • The Knights are highly motivated by home support and pride, while the Warriors seek to maintain their impressive away form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 190, New Zealand Warriors: -230, Draw: 2200 Warriors win ★★★☆☆ 59%
Spread Newcastle Knights: +7.5, New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 Warriors win but Knights cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 43.5: -115, Under 43.5: -115 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1258%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1258% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are expected to win but by a narrow margin, with a likely low-scoring match.

Predicted Score: Warriors 20 – Knights 13


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Wests Tigers vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Campbelltown Stadium, Campbelltown, Australia

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers and Gold Coast Titans face off in a low-stakes NRL match, with both teams struggling near the bottom of the ladder. The Tigers are favored to win, looking to improve their standing against a Titans team that has also been inconsistent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have had a tough season so far, but the Wests Tigers have shown some resilience with recent team changes, including the inclusion of Taylan May. The Titans need to improve their consistency to compete.
  • Historically, both teams have had mixed results against each other, but recent head-to-heads favor the Wests Tigers slightly.
  • The Wests Tigers have some injuries, notably Samuela Fainu with a knee injury, which could impact their lineup.
  • The match is being played at Campbelltown Stadium, which could slightly favor the Wests Tigers due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to prove themselves and gain momentum in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Wests Tigers: -179, Gold Coast Titans: 139 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Wests Tigers: -8.5 121, Gold Coast Titans: +8.5 -161 Wests Tigers -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under over: 46.5 -147, under: 46.5 107 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

The Wests Tigers are predicted to win based on current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 26, Gold Coast Titans 20


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Melbourne Storm vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

The Round 20 NRL clash between Melbourne Storm and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles is set at AAMI Park. Melbourne Storm, currently 2nd in the standings, will host the Sea Eagles, who are 7th, in a high-stakes match where both teams aim to build momentum. Melbourne is on a quest for their third consecutive win, with key players like Nick Meaney (150th NRL game) and Eli Katoa in strong form. Manly, coming off steady performances, will look to overcome their previous defeat to Storm in Round 5 where they lost 48-24. Both teams have few injury concerns going into this game, indicating a potentially strong contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has demonstrated strong home form with multiple wins recently and have consistency in their squad selections. Manly, despite their lower ranking, has had some key player returns and has shown resilience but lacks the same depth of attacking power shown by Storm earlier in the season.
  • In the Round 5 meeting of the season, Melbourne Storm decisively defeated Manly Sea Eagles 48-24 at Manly's home ground, evidencing Melbourne's dominance. Historically, Melbourne has the edge in head to head, particularly in home fixtures, leveraging tactical and physical advantages.
  • Melbourne Storm will miss Ryan Papenhuyzen due to a minor calf strain but are boosted by the return of Xavier Coates from State of Origin duties. The Sea Eagles have incorporated players like Aaron Schoupp and Caleb Navale, though there are no major injury setbacks reported. Both teams are largely at near full strength.
  • The match is part of the annual Starlight Round which often uplifts team motivation and crowd engagement. The venue of AAMI Park gives Melbourne a home crowd advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are presumed favorable given Melbourne's mid-winter scheduling and indoor venue protection.
  • Melbourne Storm seeks to cement their position near the top of the ladder and maintain winning momentum after recent successes. Manly Sea Eagles, positioned in the top 10 but outside the top 4, aims to notch a significant upset on the road and disrupt Melbourne's form to improve their finals chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 2.55, Melbourne Storm: -3.15, Draw: 23 Melbourne Storm to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 8.5 @ 1.00, Melbourne Storm: -8.5 @ 1.30 Melbourne Storm to cover -8.5 points spread ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 47.5: -1.15, Under 47.5: -1.15 Over 47.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is favored to win owing to their superior form, home advantage, and psychological edge from prior convincing victory over Manly. The expected outcome is a strong Storm win by about 9-12 points, with the game likely to be high scoring given both teams' attacking capabilities.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 30 – Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 18


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs will host the St George Illawarra Dragons in what is anticipated to be a tightly contested NRL match at Accor Stadium. Both teams are motivated to cement finals positions, with recent form showing the Bulldogs as slight favourites but the Dragons possessing significant attacking potential. The game is projected to be a balanced contest that may come down to moments of individual brilliance or defensive lapses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have been building momentum with an unbeaten start in the NRLW and strong team cohesion, particularly with playmaker Tayla Preston impressing. The Dragons, while inconsistent recently, have a younger lineup and a potent attack that can challenge any defense. Defence vulnerabilities on the Dragons' side could be exploited by the Bulldogs' balanced attack.
  • Recent encounters between the Bulldogs and Dragons have been closely fought with minimal separation in performance metrics. Power rankings show Bulldogs at 5.50 and Dragons at 13.33. Historical results suggest a narrow margin of victory is common, supporting the prediction of a close match.
  • No significant injury news has been reported to alter lineups drastically. The Dragons named Pia Tapsell to start, with Ahlivia Ingram moving to the bench, and Bulldogs' key player Holli Wheeler is set for her 40th NRLW appearance, indicating stable team selection.
  • The match is held at Accor Stadium, Sydney, providing a home ground advantage to the Bulldogs. The venue and match timing in the Saturday evening twilight may affect player performance and crowd influence.
  • Both teams are desperate to secure their finals credentials, creating high motivation to perform. The Bulldogs aim to extend their unbeaten run, while the Dragons seek to rebound after a recent loss to defend their competitive standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -290, St George Illawarra Dragons: 245, Draw: 2300 Canterbury Bulldogs win ★★★☆☆ 59%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -8.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: +8.5 -115 Canterbury Bulldogs to cover -8.5 points ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Bulldogs are predicted to win narrowly, with a projected margin of around 2 points. The match is expected to be decided by key moments, with both teams capable of scoring but Bulldogs holding a slight edge due to form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – 22 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Canberra Raiders vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders are set to face off against the Parramatta Eels in Round 20 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at GIO Stadium. The Raiders, playing at home, are favorites given their strong season performance and the odds heavily favor them. The match kicks off at 3:00 PM local time (05:00 UTC), with expectations for a high-intensity clash between two competitive teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have shown solid form throughout the season, leveraging home advantage. Key players such as Kaeo Weekes, Josh Papalii, and Joseph Tapine bring experience and skill. Parramatta Eels have been competitive but are underdogs in this fixture based on current odds. Both teams have a strong lineup, but the Raiders possess a deeper squad with notable replacements and reserves.
  • Historically, matches between Canberra Raiders and Parramatta Eels have been competitive. Recent encounters have favored Canberra slightly, with home games tilting the balance further. The last five matches show a close rivalry with marginal wins on both sides, but the Raiders maintain a home edge at GIO Stadium.
  • No explicit injury data is currently available, but Canberra's squad appears well-prepared with senior players fit and ready. Parramatta's squad depth may be tested if key players face fitness issues closer to game day.
  • Playing at GIO Stadium provides the Raiders with strong crowd support and familiarity with conditions. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for Canberra in July, likely not influencing the gameplay drastically.
  • Canberra Raiders, vying for a better ladder position late in the season, will have strong motivational factors to secure a home win. Parramatta Eels will be aiming to upset the favorites and improve their standing, adding competitive intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -500, Parramatta Eels: 365, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Canberra Raiders -13.5: -120, Parramatta Eels +13.5: -110 Canberra Raiders to win by more than 13.5 points ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110 Over 46.5 points total ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders are predicted to win the match convincingly based on current form, home advantage, and odds. Parramatta Eels could challenge but are less likely to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 14 Parramatta Eels


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Penrith Panthers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The upcoming Round 20 NRL match features the Penrith Panthers hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs at CommBank Stadium. The Panthers are coming into this game in strong form, having won five consecutive matches and currently positioned 6th on the ladder. Conversely, the Rabbitohs are struggling with form and injuries, sitting 16th and on a six-game losing streak. The Panthers are the favorites but the Rabbitohs have shown resilience previously, including a Round 4 win over the Panthers without full strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have won 12 of their last 15 games against the Rabbitohs and hold momentum with five straight wins recently. The Rabbitohs have suffered from significant injury troubles and are close to receiving the wooden spoon, reflecting a difficult season.
  • Penrith Panthers have dominated recent encounters, including a narrow 30-26 win in Round 18, replicating the margin from an earlier season match. South Sydney's last win over Penrith was in Round 4 with a convincing 28-18 result even missing key player Latrell Mitchell.
  • The Rabbitohs have been severely impacted by injuries all season, weakening their squad depth and performance. Penrith has managed player rotation effectively, resting Ivan Cleary and Justin Yeo while recalling T.R. Dodd to maintain team strength.
  • The match is played at CommBank Stadium, Sydney, offering home ground advantage to Penrith. The State of Origin period is over and the Panthers have adapted well, facing a series of lower-ranked opponents.
  • Penrith is highly motivated to climb in the ladder and maintain their premiership defense momentum. The Rabbitohs are desperate to end their losing streak and avoid the wooden spoon, adding psychological pressure and urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -250, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 205, Draw: 2300 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -8.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +8.5 -120 Penrith Panthers to cover -8.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over 46.5 total points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the momentum, stronger squad, and favorable home conditions, Penrith Panthers are predicted to win. However, South Sydney Rabbitohs may challenge strongly as motivated underdogs given their resilience in certain past matches.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – 18 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Dolphins vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Dolphins will host the North Queensland Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium in Round 20 of the 2025 NRL season. The Dolphins enter the match with strong recent form, having previously defeated the Cowboys 58-4 in Round 15. The game promises competitive play with both teams eager to gain important points late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have demonstrated exceptional form this season, notably crushing the Cowboys 58-4 earlier, indicating a significant performance gap. The Cowboys have been impacted by key player absences but are looking to recover. The Dolphins have shown consistency at home, while the Cowboys have struggled on the road recently.
  • The recent Round 15 clash saw the Dolphins decisively win 58-4 against the Cowboys, underscoring their dominance. Historically, the Dolphins have had a stronger run in this matchup, especially at Suncorp Stadium.
  • The Cowboys are missing several key players including Viliami Vailea, Jaxson Paulo, Tom Dearden, Reece Robson, John Bateman, Jeremiah Nanai, and Reuben Cotter. The Dolphins have fewer injury concerns, with Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow and Max Plath sidelined.
  • Playing at the Dolphins’ home ground, Suncorp Stadium, offers a home advantage. Weather and external conditions near the date are expected to be typical for Brisbane winter evenings, with no major disruptions forecasted.
  • Both teams have strong motivations; the Dolphins to maintain their winning streak and consolidate ladder position, and the Cowboys aiming to redeem their prior heavy loss and improve standings. The psychological edge favors the Dolphins given recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -179, North Queensland Cowboys: 153, Draw: 2200 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 69%
Spread Dolphins: -4.5 -115, North Queensland Cowboys: +4.5 -115 Dolphins -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dolphins at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Dolphins are strongly favored to win this match due to superior form, home advantage, and Cowboys' key absences.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 30 – 16 North Queensland Cowboys


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Round 19 NRL Telstra Premiership match between the Gold Coast Titans and the Brisbane Broncos is set to take place at the Cbus Super Stadium on July 13th, 2025, with a kickoff at 6:15pm local time (08:15 UTC). This local derby is a highly anticipated event, featuring a strong rivalry on the Gold Coast and a double-header including the NRLW match earlier in the day. The Broncos come into this game as favorites, having recently defeated the Titans convincingly in Round 14 with a score of 44-14. The Titans, playing at home, will look to improve their form and capitalize on home ground advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have shown strong recent form, notably a dominant 44-14 win over the Titans in Round 14. The Titans have struggled defensively in that fixture but hold home advantage for this rematch. The Broncos have also won their recent Round 18 game against Canterbury, maintaining momentum, while the Titans last played in Round 17 versus North Queensland.
  • Historically, the Broncos have had the upper hand over the Titans, including the recent Round 14 victory in 2025. The rivalry is intense given regional proximity, but the Broncos have tended to emerge as stronger in recent meetings.
  • No specific injury updates are available from the provided data; therefore, the assumption is that both teams are near full strength for this critical derby match.
  • Playing at Cbus Super Stadium gives the Titans home ground advantage with strong local support. The match being part of a double-header event increases atmosphere and motivation. Weather or other conditions are not specified but should be normal for the Gold Coast mid-July.
  • The local derby rivalry adds significant motivation for both teams. The Titans aim to upset the favored Broncos on home turf, while the Broncos seek to consolidate dominance and continue their winning streak. Both teams will be highly motivated to gain valuable premiership points at this stage of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -335, Gold Coast Titans: 270, Draw: 2300 Brisbane Broncos win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -10.5 at -115, Gold Coast Titans: +10.5 at -115 Brisbane Broncos to cover -10.5 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Over 49.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos are favored to win this match given their superior recent form, head-to-head dominance, and current momentum. However, the home advantage for the Titans and derby intensity could keep the game competitive. Expect a Broncos win by a margin around 10 points, with a moderately high confidence level due to the clear betting market and recent performances.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – Gold Coast Titans 18


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