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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia, Sydney

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the New Zealand Warriors in a closely matched NRL Round 23 game at Stadium Australia. The Bulldogs are favourites but the Warriors have shown resilience and possess upset potential. This contest is expected to be tight with strong defensive efforts from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have built impressive late-season momentum with solid home performances, whereas the New Zealand Warriors struggle with inconsistency, especially on the road but have shown the capability to compete fiercely.
  • Recent history between the teams is balanced with no clear dominant side. Both teams have similar defensive strength and moderate scoring, projecting a close contest.
  • No major injury updates altering team strengths significantly for either side have been reported in the data.
  • Playing at home gives the Bulldogs a tangible advantage given the momentum they have at Stadium Australia, whereas the Warriors face the challenge of travel and away form.
  • The Bulldogs are positioned to secure a crucial late-season victory with playoff implications, while the Warriors seek to salvage pride toward the end of their campaign, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -275, New Zealand Warriors +225, Draw +2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Bulldogs -8.5 (-115), Warriors +8.5 (-115) Canterbury Bulldogs to cover -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 42.5 (-105), Under 42.5 (-125) Under 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win moneyline; Bulldogs to cover the -8.5 spread; Under 42.5 total points

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 22 – New Zealand Warriors 16


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Dolphins vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Dolphins host the Sydney Roosters in a highly anticipated NRL Round 23 clash at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams show strong attacking capabilities, with the Dolphins enjoying home advantage and recent momentum, while the Roosters remain battle-tested and favored by bookmakers. The match is expected to be closely contested with a relatively high scoring outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins are currently in strong form, playing well at home with attacking momentum, whereas the Roosters exhibit solid but inconsistent away performances. Recent data suggest a tight match with both teams capable of scoring heavily.
  • Limited history between the two franchises, but recent matches indicate tight contests. The Dolphins won a high-scoring meeting earlier this season at Suncorp Stadium 36-26. Both teams have roughly equal power rankings around 5.5 and 5.8, signaling balanced competition.
  • No significant injury reports impacting starting lineups have been noted for either side, suggesting strongest teams available.
  • Home crowd support strongly favors the Dolphins at Suncorp Stadium. The Roosters face the challenge of travel and playing away, which has historically affected their performance.
  • Dolphins are motivated by continuing their winning streak and maintaining home dominance late in the season. The Roosters seek consistency and value this game as pivotal to sustaining finals aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins +102, Sydney Roosters -121, Draw +2000 Sydney Roosters ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Dolphins +1.5 (-115), Sydney Roosters -1.5 (-115) Sydney Roosters -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-115), Under 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters moneyline win

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28, Dolphins 24


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tight NRL derby between southern Sydney rivals with near parity in recent form and performance metrics, expected to be a close, low-scoring contest reflective of derby intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams exhibit strong defense and balanced attack; Sharks have marginally better recent form with a 70-77% win probability in modeling but Dragons build momentum approaching this match.
  • Virtually even split in recent derby matchups; no dominant side with equal power rankings and similar scoring and defensive statistics.
  • No major injury news publicly available indicating significant absences for either side; squads appear near full-strength.
  • Dragons at home in an intense derby atmosphere at Jubilee Stadium which may slightly enhance their performance; Sharks have strong away record but face hostile environment.
  • Sharks highly motivated aiming for finals push; Dragons motivated by home ground pride and derby rivalry making this a high-intensity matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sharks: -205, St George Illawarra Dragons: 172, Draw: 2200 Cronulla Sharks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Cronulla Sharks -7.5: -115, St George Illawarra Dragons +7.5: -115 Cronulla Sharks -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1096%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 1096% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Cronulla Sharks to win, but the market undervalues Dragons' chance suggesting potential value on Dragons for spread and moneyline. Spread predicted to favor Sharks covering -7.5 given their superior form with moderate confidence. Total points expected under 46.5 due to derby intensity limiting scoring.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 22 – St George Illawarra Dragons 15


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Canberra Raiders vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in this NRL Round 23 matchup, with the Raiders currently top of the standings and in strong form, while the Sea Eagles sit mid-table with inconsistent recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders hold a strong 11-3 win-loss record (79% win rate), showing excellent form recently with 4 wins in their last 5 games. Manly Sea Eagles are 6-8 (43%) and have struggled with a 1-3 win-loss in their last 4 matches.
  • Historically, Canberra leads with 11 wins to Manly's 6 from 17 encounters. Recent predictive analytics give the Raiders a 67% chance to win this fixture at home.
  • No critical injury updates specified, indicating key players are likely available for Canberra, which supports their strong expected performance.
  • Home advantage at GIO Stadium Canberra and stable conditions favor the Raiders. There are no major external disruptions impacting this game.
  • Canberra Raiders appear motivated to consolidate their top table position and secure finals advantages, whereas Manly's motivation is dampened by recent inconsistent results and lower ladder standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -230, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +188, Draw +2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Canberra Raiders -8.5 -105, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +8.5 -125 Canberra Raiders -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5 -115, Under 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright and cover the line, with total points likely to exceed 45.5.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 16 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Newcastle Knights vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights host the Penrith Panthers in a Round 23 NRL match. Panthers enter as strong favourites based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and superior squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers display strong recent form with consistent wins, superior fitness, and tactical execution. Newcastle Knights have been competitive but generally fall short against top-tier teams like the Panthers.
  • Historical data and simulations give Panthers around 80% chance to beat the Knights, usually by a moderate margin. Panthers have held dominance in recent matchups, especially at Newcastle's home ground.
  • No critical injury updates indicate significant absences impacting either side, suggesting both squads likely near full strength.
  • Match played at McDonald Jones Stadium favors Knights slightly due to home advantage, but Panthers’ mental and tactical edge likely neutralizes this factor.
  • Panthers motivated to maintain top-tier momentum heading into finals, while Knights aim to challenge but face a tough test against a dominant side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 305, Penrith Panthers: -400, Draw: 2400 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Newcastle Knights +12.5: -120, Penrith Panthers -12.5: -110 Newcastle Knights +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win by a margin within 1-12 points, in a controlled, tactical match likely scoring below or near total set line.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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Melbourne Storm vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-07
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

This NRL Round 23 matchup features the Melbourne Storm hosting the Brisbane Broncos at AAMI Park. Melbourne enters as strong favorites based on form, head-to-head data, and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has demonstrated strong performance recently, leveraging home advantage and consistent form. Brisbane Broncos have struggled for consistency and are underdogs with recent losses.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm holds an advantage over Brisbane Broncos, winning about 67% of matches based on simulations of 10,000 games. Recent encounters also favor Melbourne, including a close encounter earlier in 2025.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly impact the outcome. Both teams expected to field near full-strength lineups.
  • Playing at home in Melbourne provides Storm with a familiar environment and crowd support, which historically boosts their win probability.
  • As the season progresses towards finals, Storm's motivation to secure a top ladder position appears higher than the Broncos, who have less to play for currently.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -210, Brisbane Broncos +176, Draw 2100 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Storm -6.5 (-115), Broncos +6.5 (-115) Melbourne Storm -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win straight up

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 – 16 Brisbane Broncos


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the North Queensland Cowboys in an important Round 22 NRL clash. The Sharks are strong favourites, aiming for a fourth straight win and solidifying their top-eight position, while the Cowboys are desperate to keep their faint finals hopes alive with a favourable run home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have been showing consistent form recently, with three consecutive wins including a narrow 14-12 victory over the Rabbitohs. The Cowboys managed a high-scoring 38-32 win over the Dragons but continue to suffer from the league's worst defense.
  • The Sharks have a strong historical advantage and recent dominance against the Cowboys, including a comprehensive 36-12 win earlier in 2025. Simulations predict an 80% chance of Sharks winning this match.
  • The Cowboys are missing key five-eighth Tom Duffy due to injury, replaced by Jake Clifford. Suspended forward Karl Lawton is also out; Emarly Bitungane debuts. Sharks have key players Briton Nikora and Siosifa Talakai returning, strengthening their pack.
  • The match is at Shark Park, giving the Sharks home-ground advantage. The Sharks are motivated to maintain top-eight positioning; the Cowboys are motivated to spark a late-season finals charge.
  • Cronulla is motivated to continue their winning streak for finals security; the Cowboys must win to keep playoff hopes alive, adding urgency to their play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -240, away: 205, draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread home: -110, away: -120 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Over 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win straight up, cover the -8.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: 28-18 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Wests Tigers vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers face the Canterbury Bulldogs in NRL Round 22 with the Bulldogs heavily favored to continue their winning form and secure a finals berth, while the Tigers struggle for form but have some key players returning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have won back-to-back matches convincingly, including a dominant 44-12 win over Manly, propelled by the dynamic halfback Lachlan Galvin. The Tigers were recently humbled 36-2 by Penrith and have struggled to gain momentum this season.
  • Recent simulations assign the Bulldogs an 81% chance to win against the Tigers, signaling clear dominance in this matchup historically and currently.
  • The Tigers welcome back star fullback Jahream Bula and add Samuela Fainu to bolster their pack, while the Bulldogs will replace injured Connor Tracey with Jacob Kiraz at fullback but have Jethro Rinakama returning on the wing.
  • The match is played at CommBank Stadium, which is neutral but closer to Bulldogs territory; weather and other external conditions are not expected to adversely affect either side.
  • With finals contention on the line, the Bulldogs are highly motivated to maintain form and secure a win. The Tigers, while struggling, have motivation from returning players and will look to spoil the Bulldogs’ campaign.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -360, Wests Tigers +285, Draw +2400 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Bulldogs -11.5 (-115), Tigers +11.5 (-115) Canterbury Bulldogs -11.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 43.5 (-115), Under 43.5 (-115) Over 43.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 43.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win straight up, cover the -11.5 point spread, and the match to go over 43.5 points.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 30 – 12 Wests Tigers


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Manly

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the Sydney Roosters in a critical NRL Round 22 clash, with both teams pushing for finals positioning late in the season. Manly enters with home advantage and favorable recent form against the Roosters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have shown consistent and strong form this season, with a 59% win probability in simulations against the Roosters and a slight edge in scoring ability. The Roosters have been competitive but less consistent lately.
  • Recent head-to-head data and simulations indicate Manly edges the Roosters with a 59% win probability. The Sea Eagles have also demonstrated the ability to cover a -2.5 spread, reflecting close but controlled victories.
  • No significant injury news indicating absence of key players on either side, maintaining full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Lottoland offers Manly home ground advantage. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the season, not favoring either team significantly.
  • Manly is highly motivated to consolidate their finals spot, while Roosters are fighting hard to remain relevant, but slightly less consistent form suggests lower motivation effectiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -134, away: 115, draw: 2100 Home ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -110, away: -120, spread_points: 2.5 Home -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 110, under: -145, total_points: 48.5 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1220%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 1220% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total points to stay under 48.5.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Sydney Roosters 18


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders enter this match as strong favorites against the St George Illawarra Dragons, playing at home after a run of dominant performances, while the Dragons are struggling with injuries and inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders are on a six-game winning streak at home, averaging 32 points per game. The Dragons have had recent struggles with form and injuries, returning to winning only recently and facing a tougher lineup disruption.
  • Raiders have won the last four encounters against the Dragons and are unbeaten at Canberra since 2015, demonstrating clear dominance in recent meetings.
  • St George Illawarra is impacted by multiple injuries and Origin call-ups, notably missing key players like Valentine Holmes and Nathan Lawson. Canberra has some lineup changes but retains a settled spine and welcomes back Hudson Young.
  • Playing at home in front of a supportive crowd enhances Canberra's advantage. Weather or other conditions not noted as significant.
  • Raiders aim to consolidate their top-of-the-table position and extend their winning streak, while Dragons are motivated to break their losing streak but face a challenging environment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -218, St George Illawarra Dragons 185, Draw 2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Canberra Raiders -6.5 (-115), St George Illawarra Dragons +6.5 (-115) Canberra Raiders -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-105), Under 46.5 (-125) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Canberra’s strong form, home advantage, head-to-head dominance, and the Dragons’ injury setbacks, the Raiders are favored to win comfortably and cover a moderate spread.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 14


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