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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 10, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Game Overview

This match between St. George Illawarra Dragons and New Zealand Warriors is a highly anticipated event in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season. Both teams are seeking to improve their standings and will likely present strong performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent team performance indicates a slightly better form for the Warriors, but both teams are closely matched.
  • Historical results between these teams are mixed, but recent matches have often been competitive.
  • There is no specific mention of severe injuries affecting either team's lineup for this match.
  • The game is played at a neutral venue, Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, which may influence neither team significantly.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, given their current positions in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors: -130, Dragons: 113, Draw: 2000 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 51%
Spread Warriors: -1.5 -115, Dragons: 1.5 -115 St. George Illawarra Dragons +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -115 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warrior's slight edge in recent form gives them a marginal advantage, but this is a closely contested matchup.

Predicted Score: Dragons 22 – 25 Warriors


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Canberra Raiders vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders and Canterbury Bulldogs face off in a top-of-the-table clash during the NRL's Women in League Round. The Raiders are positioned second, while the Bulldogs lead the league. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to maintain their positions in the standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown strong performances this season, with the Bulldogs currently leading the league. The Raiders have been consistent at home, which could be a decisive factor.
  • Historically, head-to-head matchups between these teams have been competitive, but recent trends may favor the Raiders due to their home advantage.
  • Injury reports are not specified for this match, but any significant absences could impact team dynamics.
  • The Women in League Round may add an extra layer of motivation for both teams, as they support important causes.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with the Bulldogs seeking to maintain their top position and the Raiders looking to overtake them.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Raiders: -132, Bulldogs: 114 Raiders ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Raiders: -2.5 -105, Bulldogs: 2.5 -125 Raiders ★★★☆☆ 57%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -115, Under: 44.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Canberra Raiders have a slight edge due to their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: Raiders 23, Bulldogs 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium

Game Overview

This is a key match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and Brisbane Broncos in the 2025 NRL season. The Broncos are favored to win, with strong odds on the moneyline, spread, and over/under bets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Brisbane Broncos have shown solid form this season, with a strong attacking lineup. The Rabbitohs, however, are dealing with injuries, which could impact their performance.
  • Historically, head-to-head matchups between these teams have been competitive, but the Broncos have had the edge recently.
  • The Rabbitohs are facing an injury crisis, which will significantly affect their team selection and strategy.
  • Playing at Accor Stadium, the Rabbitohs will have some home advantage, but the Broncos' current form and depth might counter this.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to win, but the Broncos' confidence and recent performance give them an edge in this matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -325 (Broncos), 260 (Rabbitohs), 2300 (Draw) Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread -10.5 -115 (Broncos), 10.5 -115 (Rabbitohs) Broncos to cover ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under 48.5 -130 (Over), 48.5 100 (Under) Over ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win

Predicted Score: Broncos 28, Rabbitohs 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in data

Game Overview

Round 3 clash replay insights apply minimally here, as current match lacks recent performance data. Historical context shows both teams competitive but no live tactical updates available.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Insufficient fresh data post-Round 3 (22 Mar 2025) to assess current form. Assume baseline NRL competitive parity.
  • Recent H2H unspecified; default to competitive rivalry.
  • No injury reports available for this specific matchup.
  • No venue advantage confirmed; assume neutral conditions.
  • Mid-season positioning likely driving both squads.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Knights -213 / Titans +176 / Draw +2200 Knights ML ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Knights -6.5 (-115) / Titans +6.5 (-115) Titans +6.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under 46.5 (O/U -115) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 1354%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 1354% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Knights hold slight edge with home advantage (implied by odds), but Titans capable of covering spread in tight contest.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 22-18 Gold Coast Titans


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Parramatta Eels vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 08/05/2025
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

Round 10 NRL clash between Parramatta Eels and Dolphins, with recent form showing competitive performances from both teams. Parramatta previously secured a 38-22 victory over an unspecified opponent (likely Wests Tigers) in late April[2], indicating offensive capability but limited historical data on direct H2H matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta demonstrated strong attacking form in recent weeks, though Dolphins' specific performance metrics are unavailable in the provided data. Venue advantage may favor Parramatta as the home team.
  • Insufficient historical H2H data available from the provided sources for detailed analysis.
  • No injury reports available in the provided data.
  • Standard playing conditions expected with no weather disruptions mentioned. Travel demands for Dolphins could factor into fatigue management.
  • Mid-season positioning makes this crucial for both teams' ladder aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: 109 | Eels: -125 | Draw: 1900 Parramatta Eels (moneyline) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Dolphins: 1.5 (-125) | Eels: -1.5 (-105) Parramatta Eels -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-145) | Under 46.5 (110) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta's home advantage and recent scoring form suggest narrow victory potential, though Dolphins' spread odds indicate bookmaker expectations of a tight contest.

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 24-20 Dolphins


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Melbourne Storm vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 8:25 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm and Canberra Raiders face off in a critical NRL match as Magic Round concludes. Both teams have been impressive, with the Storm sitting second and the Raiders third in the league standings. The Storm have a strong historical performance at Suncorp Stadium, while the Raiders have defied expectations with their attacking prowess.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams boast strong forward packs and skilled backs. The Storm's halves, led by Jahrome Hughes, and the Raiders', led by Jamal Fogarty, are crucial. The Storm won their last game against the Rabbitohs 24-16, while the Raiders staged a significant comeback to beat the Dolphins.
  • The Storm have a historical upper hand, including a previous 30-10 win against the Raiders at Suncorp Stadium in the 2020 season's preliminary final.
  • The Storm's Tui Kamikamica is set to return, and Nelson Asofa-Solomona is in the extended squad. The Raiders have no changes to their lineup.
  • The neutral venue might reduce home-field advantages, but the Storm's past success at Suncorp Stadium could be a factor.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they are closely matched in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -197, Canberra Raiders 171 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Melbourne Storm -5.5 (-125), Canberra Raiders +5.5 (-105) Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the Storm's historical success and current form, they are favored to win, though the Raiders' recent performance suggests a close match.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 25, Canberra Raiders 20


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Penrith Panthers vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers (17th) face Brisbane Broncos (5th) in Round 9 NRL, with Broncos favored due to superior form, home-state advantage (Magic Round at Suncorp), and a stronger forward pack featuring Haas/Carrigan. Panthers lack attacking cohesion but retain key playmaker Nathan Cleary[3][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos rank 5th with recent dominant wins; Panthers struggle at 17th with inconsistent performances despite Cleary's return[3][5].
  • Recent historical data unavailable, but Broncos hold significant form advantage[2][4].
  • Panthers: Brad Schneider out. Broncos: Minimal changes to winning squad[3].
  • Magic Round crowd at Suncorp likely to favor Broncos; refereeing team led by Ashley Klein[3].
  • Broncos pushing for top-4 position; Panthers desperate to avoid bottom-four status[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Broncos -179 / Panthers +154 / Draw +2100 Brisbane Broncos ML ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Broncos -4.5 (-110) / Panthers +4.5 (-120) Broncos -4.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 44.5 (-145) / Under 44.5 (+110) Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos (-4.5) to cover spread in high-scoring contest (Over 44.5), leveraging home advantage and superior forward momentum[2][5].

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28-20 Penrith Panthers


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 3:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans host the Canterbury Bulldogs in what promises to be an exciting NRL match. Both teams will aim to win, given the competitive nature of the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Canterbury Bulldogs have generally shown strong form against the Titans in recent years, while the Gold Coast team seeks to improve its home performance.
  • Historically, the Bulldogs have an edge over the Titans. However, recent matches have been competitive, suggesting an improving trend for the Titans.
  • No critical injury updates were found that would significantly impact the team's performance.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence team morale and performance.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Bulldogs may have an edge based on past head-to-head results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -385, Gold Coast Titans: 290, Draw: 2300 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -10.5 -120, Gold Coast Titans: 10.5 -110 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given historical data and current odds, the Canterbury Bulldogs are favored to win, though the Titans might put up a strong fight.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs: 28 – 18 Gold Coast Titans


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Wests Tigers vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 9:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers (9th) face the St George Illawarra Dragons (10th) in a tightly contested Round 9 NRL clash at Magic Round, with both teams fielding lineup changes. The Dragons debut Corey Allan and promote Lyhkan King-Togia to halfback, while the Tigers deal with off-field distractions surrounding Lachlan Galvin.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Tigers are marginally favored (60% win probability per Stats Insider's model[5]), but face instability due to Galvin's contract dispute[3]. The Dragons' reshaped halves pairing (King-Togia/Ilias) introduces unpredictability[2][4].
  • Recent historical data unavailable in sources, but current rankings (9th vs 10th) suggest parity.
  • Dragons: Hamish Stewart returns from concussion[4]. Corey Allan debuts after 2024 ACL recovery[4]. Tigers: No explicit injury reports, but Galvin's legal issues may affect focus[3].
  • Magic Round atmosphere at Suncorp Stadium could intensify pressure on inexperienced players like King-Togia[4][5].
  • Dragons seek to capitalize on Tigers' off-field turmoil[3], while Wests aim to leverage home crowd momentum (designated home team per NRL draw[1][5]).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tigers -121 / Dragons +102 / Draw +1900 Wests Tigers ML (-121) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Tigers -1.5 (-115) / Dragons +1.5 (-115) Tigers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-115) / Under 46.5 (-115) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wests Tigers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers by ≤4 points in high-variance contest. Stats Insider's 60% probability aligns with slight edge, but Dragons' revamped lineup introduces hedging risk[5].

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 24-20 Dragons


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New Zealand Warriors vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors face the North Queensland Cowboys in Round 9 of the NRL season. The Warriors have been performing well, with halves Luke Metcalf and Chanel Harris-Tavita leading the team to recent victories. The Cowboys, however, are on a strong run, having impressed with their scoring ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors have won four of their last five encounters against the Cowboys. The Cowboys have had a strong recent run, scoring seven tries in 33 minutes against the Titans.
  • Recent head-to-head data favors the Warriors, but the Cowboys have momentum coming into this game.
  • Jacob Laban from the Warriors is subject to concussion protocols and is replaced by Te Maire Martin on the bench.
  • The game is part of Magic Round, which can sometimes impact team dynamics.
  • Both teams have been motivated by recent performances, but the Cowboys' current form might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors: 108, Cowboys: -130, Draw: 1900 Cowboys ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Warriors: +1.5 -115, Cowboys: -1.5 -115 Cowboys to cover -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 44.5: -150, Under 44.5: 115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: North Queensland Cowboys at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Cowboys are predicted to win due to their current form and scoring potential.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 25, Warriors 20


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