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Canberra Raiders vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Gold Coast Titans in Round 11 of the NRL, seeking to bounce back from a disappointing loss to the Bulldogs. The Raiders have a strong record against the Titans, especially in Canberra.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders have shown strong first-half performances but struggled in the second half against the Bulldogs. The Titans are looking to break their losing streak.
  • The Raiders lead the head-to-head 19-13, with 10 wins in Canberra from 15 matches.
  • No specific injuries reported for this match.
  • Home advantage and recent form favor the Raiders.
  • The Raiders are motivated to recover from their recent loss and maintain their top-four spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Raiders: -305, Titans: 245, Draw: 2500 Raiders ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Raiders: -10.5 -110, Titans: 10.5 -120 Raiders cover ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 49.5 -115, under: 49.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders win

Predicted Score: Raiders 32, Titans 20


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Brisbane Broncos vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos face the St George Illawarra Dragons in Round 11 of the NRL 2025 season. The Broncos are favored to win, with a strong home advantage and recent form suggesting a high probability of victory. The Dragons, however, will be seeking to upset the favorites and gain crucial points in the standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Broncos have been performing consistently well, with a strong attacking and defensive strategy that makes them formidable opponents. The Dragons, while capable of surprise wins, have struggled for consistency.
  • Historically, the Broncos have a slight edge in head-to-head matches against the Dragons, but recent results are mixed, with each team having moments of dominance.
  • Injuries could play a significant role, especially if key players are missing from either team. However, specific injury details are not provided in the available data.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but such factors are generally even for both teams at Suncorp Stadium.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated, with the Broncos seeking to maintain their form and the Dragons looking to cause an upset and gain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -315, St George Illawarra Dragons: 260, Draw: 2500 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -10.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 10.5 -115 Brisbane Broncos to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -115 Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on the available data and analysis, the Brisbane Broncos are likely to win the match due to their home advantage and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 32, St George Illawarra Dragons 18


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The 2025 NRL Round 11 match between Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and Melbourne Storm is set for May 17 at Sharks Stadium. The Storm enter as favorites with a strong form record, but the Sharks have shown resilience and home advantage could be a factor. Both teams bring competitive edge with key players potentially impacting the game flow.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm are statistically stronger across most key metrics this season, showing more consistent wins and effective defense. Cronulla have struggled with injuries but maintain a competitive edge at home. Recent form slightly favors Melbourne, but the Sharks have upset teams at Sharks Stadium previously.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning a majority of recent encounters. However, Cronulla's ability to upset at home adds complexity to the predictions.
  • Cronulla may see limited bench rotations due to injury concerns. Key players like Atko's participation depends on other injuries. Melbourne Storm appear relatively fit with no major injury concerns noted.
  • The match is played at Sharks Stadium giving Cronulla home-ground advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for May in Sydney, unlikely to affect play conditions significantly.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to gain crucial points mid-season. Melbourne Storm aim to consolidate their position near the top of the ladder, while Cronulla seek to capitalize on home advantage to break a possible losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 151, Melbourne Storm: -179, Draw: 2000 Melbourne Storm win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 4.5 -120, Melbourne Storm: -4.5 -110 Melbourne Storm to win by less than 4.5 or Sharks to cover +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -106, Under: 46.5 -118 Under 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win a closely contested match, but the Sharks could cover the spread given home advantage and motivated performance.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 – 20 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville

Game Overview

Round 11 NRL clash between the 6th-placed Cowboys and the 8th-placed Sea Eagles. Manly makes positional changes in the forwards with Bullemor starting at prop and Jake Trbojevic at lock; Cowboys start Hess in the front row and debut Purdue at five-eighth, with Dearden moving to halfback after Taumalolo is sidelined.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cowboys sit 6th with a slightly better recent form, while Manly is 8th, having lost their last game to the Sharks. Manly’s forward rotation sees experienced players like Trbojevic shifting positions, possibly impacting cohesion. The Cowboys' backline is adjusted due to Purdue’s debut at five-eighth and Laybutt returning from injury.
  • Recent meetings are competitive, with both teams displaying closely matched statistics. The Cowboys hold a slight edge in home games at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
  • Jason Taumalolo (Cowboys) remains sidelined with a calf injury, a significant loss for their forward pack. Manly is mostly full strength, with only minor interchange changes.
  • Home advantage for the Cowboys is significant, especially at Queensland Country Bank Stadium. There are no major weather concerns reported for the match.
  • Both teams are mid-table and eager to solidify their positions for the finals. The return of Laybutt for the Cowboys boosts morale, while Manly aims to bounce back from a recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 118, North Queensland Cowboys: -132, Draw: 1800 North Queensland Cowboys ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 1.5 -105, North Queensland Cowboys: -1.5 -125 Cowboys -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 51.5 -115, Under: 51.5 -115 Under 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Cowboys are favored slightly based on home ground advantage, positional stability, and the Sea Eagles’ recent loss. The return of Laybutt and the debut of Purdue could be wildcards, but the Cowboys’ pack and home crowd give them a narrow edge.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 26 – Sea Eagles 18


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Dolphins vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins are looking to extend their recent form after defeating Parramatta, while the Warriors aim for a fifth consecutive win. The match is set at Suncorp Stadium, where the Dolphins have historically performed well against the Warriors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors are on a four-game winning streak and sit second on the ladder, whereas the Dolphins are 12th but have shown resilience by beating Parramatta last week.
  • The Dolphins have won two of the last four encounters at Suncorp Stadium, while the Warriors have won both their matches at the Dolphins' home venue.
  • James Fisher-Harris returns for the Warriors, replacing Bunty Afoa, who is out with a knee injury. Jackson Ford is also out due to concussion.
  • The Warriors have a strong recent record but face the challenge of a long road trip. The Dolphins will benefit from playing at home.
  • Both teams are motivated; the Warriors to extend their winning streak and the Dolphins to climb the ladder.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: 108, Warriors: -121, Draw: 1800 Warriors ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Dolphins: -1.5 100, Warriors: 1.5 -130 Warriors +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -120, Under: 47.5 -110 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Warriors to win given their recent form and team improvements.

Predicted Score: Warriors 24, Dolphins 20


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney Olympic Park, NSW

Game Overview

Round 11 of the NRL Telstra Premiership features the in-form Canterbury Bulldogs hosting crosstown rivals Sydney Roosters. The Bulldogs are leading the competition with an 8-1 record, while the Roosters are struggling at 4-5. Recent head-to-head history and recent form strongly favor the Bulldogs, who have won 8 of their last 10 and 10 of the last 14 encounters between the two teams. The Roosters are coming off a loss to the Bulldogs in lower grades but showed resilience with a big comeback win in the NSW Cup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bulldogs: 8 wins, 1 loss, top of the ladder; Roosters: 4 wins, 5 losses, mid-table. Bulldogs have been dominant with only one loss, while the Roosters have struggled for consistency.
  • Bulldogs: 10 wins, Roosters: 4 wins, 0 draws in last 14 games.
  • No major injury updates reported. Both teams have announced their NRL lineups.
  • Game to be played at Accor Stadium, Sydney. Weather and venue conditions expected to be ideal for rugby league.
  • Bulldogs are motivated to maintain top spot; Roosters need a win to stay in finals contention. Recent results and ladder position suggest Bulldogs are more motivated and confident.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bulldogs: -260, Roosters: 210, Draw: 2200 Bulldogs win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Bulldogs -8.5 (-105), Roosters +8.5 (-125) Bulldogs cover -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5 (-115), Under 44.5 (-115) Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 1556%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canterbury Bulldogs at 1556% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 70.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs are strong favorites due to superior form, better head-to-head record, and home ground advantage. The Roosters have shown some potential in comebacks, but the Bulldogs' consistency should see them cover the spread and win by a comfortable margin.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 28 – Roosters 16


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Newcastle Knights vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights face the Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL match. The Knights have recently secured a significant signing with Dylan Brown from the Eels, although this does not affect the current match directly. The Eels have shown strong performance in pre-season matches, but the Knights' recent signings could boost their morale and performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle has been improving with recent high-profile signings, while Parramatta has shown strong pre-season form but is losing key players like Dylan Brown. The Knights' squad depth and recent signings could enhance their team dynamics.
  • Historically, the head-to-head has been competitive. The Eels recently defeated the Knights in a pre-season match, indicating strong offensive capabilities.
  • Not specified in the current data
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match outcome.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win, but the Knights may have an edge due to recent signings and home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: -132, Parramatta Eels: 112, Draw: 1900 Newcastle Knights ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Newcastle Knights: -2.5 -110, Parramatta Eels: 2.5 -120 Parramatta Eels +2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 48.5 110, Under: 48.5 -145 Under ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Knights are favored to win due to recent signings and home advantage, but the Eels have shown strong pre-season form.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights: 22, Parramatta Eels: 20


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 11, 2025
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park (also known as Lottoland), Brookvale

Game Overview

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are facing Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in an NRL Round 10 match. The Sea Eagles, favored by bookmakers, have a strong chance of winning based on predictive analytics models. The Sharks are looking to reverse their form after previous encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sea Eagles have shown resilience with their edge running game, while the Sharks are potent in second-phase play. The Sharks' previous win over the Sea Eagles in Round 6 2025 indicates they can compete at a high level.
  • Recent results favor the Sharks, who won 24-18 in Round 6 2025 and 40-20 in Round 27 2024.
  • Notably, Tom Trbojevic's injury has impacted the Sea Eagles previously, but they have shown adaptability with replacements like Lehi Hopoate.
  • The game's venue and crowd support might favor the Sea Eagles. Weather conditions are not specified but could influence the game.
  • Both teams are motivated, with the Sea Eagles seeking to solidify their position in the top 8 and the Sharks aiming to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sea Eagles -139, Sharks 125, Draw 2000 Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Sea Eagles -2.5 -115, Sharks +2.5 -115 Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5 -145, Under 46.5 110 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Sea Eagles are predicted to win based on their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Sea Eagles 22, Sharks 20


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Melbourne Storm vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm face the Wests Tigers at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium. Melbourne Storm have historically dominated this matchup with superior recent form and a strong home advantage. Wests Tigers, struggling with performance inconsistencies, will need to overcome significant odds to challenge the Storm on their turf.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have maintained strong form in the current NRL season, consistently outperforming opponents with robust defense and effective attacking strategies. Wests Tigers have struggled for consistent wins and often falter against top-tier teams like Melbourne.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm lead the head-to-head record decisively, with 26 wins to Wests Tigers' 12 out of 38 encounters. Melbourne's dominance is particularly marked at home venues, where they have secured numerous comfortable victories including recent wins with significant point margins.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available, but Melbourne traditionally fields a well-conditioned squad with fewer injury concerns. Wests Tigers' injury situation remains uncertain, potentially impacting squad depth and match fitness.
  • The match is played in Melbourne, providing home ground advantage to the Storm, including crowd support and familiarity with conditions. Weather forecasts and other environmental factors are not currently impacting the game conditions significantly.
  • Melbourne Storm are motivated to assert dominance at home and improve their standing in the league, while Wests Tigers will be motivated to upset the odds and secure an unexpected away win, though the challenge is considerable.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -575, Wests Tigers: 395, Draw: 2800 Melbourne Storm win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -16.5 (100), Wests Tigers: +16.5 (-130) Melbourne Storm to cover -16.5 points ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -115 Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are highly favored to win due to superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage. The expected outcome is a strong victory margin for Melbourne, with Wests Tigers likely to struggle to keep pace.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 32 – 14 Wests Tigers


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville, Australia

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Penrith Panthers on May 10, 2025, is set to be a closely contested affair. The Cowboys are looking to extend their winning streak against the Panthers, having won the past two encounters. However, the Panthers' recent return of senior players may give them an edge in form and depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Queensland Cowboys are dealing with the absence of key player Reuben Cotter due to suspension, while Penrith Panthers have recently welcomed back some senior players, enhancing their team dynamics.
  • In recent games, the Cowboys have had success against the Panthers, winning the last two matches, including one earlier in the season.
  • Reuben Cotter's suspension is a significant blow to the Cowboys, but Sam McIntyre stepping into the lineup provides an opportunity for other players like Tom Mikaele to contribute.
  • Home advantage could play a role in favoring the Cowboys, but the Panthers' returning players may counterbalance this.
  • Both teams have strong motivation, with the Panthers seeking to start a winning streak and the Cowboys aiming to maintain their success against Penrith.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 143, away: -164, draw: 2100 Penrith Panthers ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread home: 4.5, away: -4.5, price: -115 Penrith Panthers to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under over: 48.5, under: 48.5, over_price: -110, under_price: -120 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Cowboys' past success against the Panthers, the return of key players for Penrith may swing the match in their favor.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 26, North Queensland Cowboys 20


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