Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-22
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia
Game Overview
The Brisbane Broncos will host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in Round 16 of the 2025 NRL season at Suncorp Stadium. The Broncos hold a historical advantage over the Sharks, with a strong home record and more wins overall in their head-to-head encounters. Both teams are expected to compete vigorously, but Brisbane's home form and recent performances position them as favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brisbane Broncos have shown strong form at home with 27 wins out of 35 matches against the Sharks at their venue. The Sharks have struggled away but have managed 14 wins overall against Brisbane. Points scored favor the Broncos significantly, especially at home where they have outscored the Sharks 459 to 324. Current season form details are limited but historical performance suggests the Broncos maintain a competitive edge.
- Historically, Brisbane leads the head-to-head 41 wins to 23 over Cronulla in 64 matches, with a particularly dominant home record (27 wins to 8). At Suncorp Stadium specifically, Brisbane is 12-7 against Cronulla. The Sharks have shown ability to win away but are generally underdogs in Brisbane.
- No specific injury updates were available from the provided sources, but monitoring closer to match day is essential for final assessment.
- Playing at home is a distinct advantage for Brisbane. Weather and pitch conditions expected at Suncorp Stadium generally favor the home team. No other external disruptions noted.
- Brisbane will be motivated to maintain dominance at home and push for higher ladder positioning. Cronulla aims to upset the home side and improve their away record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brisbane Broncos: -179, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 157, Draw: 2100 | Brisbane Broncos to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Brisbane Broncos: -4.5 -115, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 4.5 -115 | Brisbane Broncos -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110 | Under 46.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brisbane Broncos -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 46.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brisbane Broncos are favored to win this match given their superior head-to-head record, strong home form, and current live odds. The Sharks face an uphill battle but could keep the scoreline close.
Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 18